«If some are not happy with the tag «Neoclassical Economics» then we can say that
Equilibrium modelling in economics has been falsified.»
Not exact matches
Just a classic general
equilibrium models, efficient markets, smooth continuous price movements, the Phillips curve, Black - Scholes — I'm good friends with Myron Scholes, and he's taught me a lot, but there's a lot of flaws
in that
model.
This belief is so powerfully embedded
in the standard
equilibrium models most economists use that, strangely enough, even those of us who described the imbalances
in one paragraph and
in the very next paragraph insisted that a crisis was unlikely —
in China's case because of the government's very high credibility and its role as financial guarantor — were automatically assumed to be predicting an imminent crisis.
So why would Singer (and, to be fair, most other economists who use conventional
equilibrium models) have found it impossible to see the sentences
in which I said crisis was unlikely, once they read sentences
in which I said imbalances were deep?
Alpha can also refer to the abnormal rate of return on a security or portfolio
in excess of what would be predicted by an
equilibrium model like CAPM.
Jay W. Forrester, professor of management at MIT whose sophisticated computer
modeling of social and environmental issues led to the Club of Rome report on «The Limits of Growth,» sees the political and economic stresses
in the world as caused by the necessary transition from worldwide growth to
equilibrium.
«Punctuated
equilibria: an alternative to phyletic gradualism» (1972) pp 82 - 115
in «
Models in paleobiology», edited by Schopf, TJM Freeman, Cooper & Co, San Francisco.
Using «fully reciprocal action» as a criterion would qualify a diatomic molecule like diiodine or, less naively, a set of molecules
in chemical
equilibrium, as a
model of an actual entity.
The cluster
equilibrium can be quantitatively characterized by means of a multiple - binding
model usually applied
in protein / ligand binding
equilibria (26)(SOM section 2.4 and figs.
Using global climate
models and NASA satellite observations of Earth's energy budget from the last 15 years, the study finds that a warming Earth is able to restore its temperature
equilibrium through complex and seemingly paradoxical changes
in the atmosphere and the way radiative heat is transported.
We show elsewhere (8) that a forcing of 1.08 W / m2 yields a warming of 3/4 °C by 2050
in transient climate simulations with a
model having
equilibrium sensitivity of 3/4 °C per W / m2.
Teachers appreciate this facility, because it allows students to
model Hardy - Weinberg
equilibrium in gene systems under selective pressure — such as the sickle cell mutation.
He recounts what he sees as the differences between evolutionary gradualism and punctuated
equilibria, though not
in any depth; nor does he mention the adaptationist / neutralist controversies, instead assuming that everyone accepts the strict Darwinian
model.
While some scientists believe there was indeed an explosion of diversity (the so - called punctuated
equilibrium theory elaborated by Nils Eldredge the late Stephen J. Gould -
Models In Paleobiology, 1972), others believe that such rapid acceleration of evolution is not possible; they posit that there was an extended period of evolutionary progression of all the animal groups, the evidence for which is lost in the all but nonexistent precambrian fossil recor
In Paleobiology, 1972), others believe that such rapid acceleration of evolution is not possible; they posit that there was an extended period of evolutionary progression of all the animal groups, the evidence for which is lost
in the all but nonexistent precambrian fossil recor
in the all but nonexistent precambrian fossil record.
This required a
model with a full representation of all the forces involved
in ice flow applied specifically to PIG: «A more detailed understanding of PIG's departure from
equilibrium flow will require an understanding of its particular stream mechanics» (Shepherd et al., 2001).
Hannachi, A., and A. O'Neill, 2001: Atmospheric multiple
equilibria and non-Gaussian behaviour
in model simulations.
There have been quite a number of papers published
in recent years concerning «emergent constraints» on
equilibrium climate sensitivity (ECS)
in comprehensive global climate
models (GCMs), of both the current (CMIP5) and previous (CMIP3) generations.
To properly interpret the Schmittner et al. paper on this point wouldn't we need to know the
equilibrium land - ocean warming contrast inherent
in the
model used?
Background: Studies conducted
in animal
models and humans suggest the presence of a dynamic
equilibrium of amyloid - β (Aβ) peptide between cerebrospinal fluid (CSF) and plasma compartments.
In terms of modelling I think there is quite a bit of variation in time to equilibriu
In terms of
modelling I think there is quite a bit of variation
in time to equilibriu
in time to
equilibrium.
They conclude, based on study of CMIP5
model output, that
equilibrium climate sensitivity (ECS) is not a fixed quantity — as temperatures increase, the response is nonlinear, with a smaller effective ECS
in the first decades of the experiments, increasing over time.
Abstract: Background: Studies conducted
in animal
models and humans suggest the presence of a dynamic
equilibrium of amyloid - β (Aβ) peptide between cerebrospinal fluid (CSF) and plasma compartments.
In the model shown in Figure 9, we suggest that a similar uncommitted and self - renewing state may exist in the direction of ectodermal differentiation and we imagine the ground state could consist of at least three distinct populations in equilibriu
In the
model shown
in Figure 9, we suggest that a similar uncommitted and self - renewing state may exist in the direction of ectodermal differentiation and we imagine the ground state could consist of at least three distinct populations in equilibriu
in Figure 9, we suggest that a similar uncommitted and self - renewing state may exist
in the direction of ectodermal differentiation and we imagine the ground state could consist of at least three distinct populations in equilibriu
in the direction of ectodermal differentiation and we imagine the ground state could consist of at least three distinct populations
in equilibriu
in equilibrium.
Los Alamos researchers designed the SOMA
model to investigate
equilibrium mesoscale activity
in a setting similar to the way that ocean climate
models are deployed.
To touch upon Eli's so far ignored question (# 3) on bridging the hierarchy of
models: The issue at stake is the curvatuve
in a plot of N vs. Ts, where N is basically the TOA imbalance (which decays to zero as
equilibrium is approached) and Ts is the surface temperature.
Virtually all
equilibrium climate
models simulate a strong decrease
in the area of sea ice [18].
In the past scholars of economics have studies steady
models of market behavior which are patterns that cause a behavioral
equilibrium that induces no further reaction within the system.
We develop a theoretical and computational
model of
equilibrium school choice and achievement that embeds information asymmetries
in the production of education.
In our general
equilibrium model of residential location and community choice, households base optimizing decisions on commuting costs, school quality, and land rents.
Alpha can also refer to the abnormal rate of return on a security or portfolio
in excess of what would be predicted by an
equilibrium model like CAPM.
Jensen, Michael C., Black, Fischer and Scholes, Myron S. (1972), «The Capital Asset Pricing
Model: Some Empirical Tests», Studies
in the theory of Capital Markets, Praeger Publishers Inc., 1972; see also Fama, Eugene F., James D. MacBeth, «Risk, Return, and
Equilibrium: Empirical Tests», The Journal of Political Economy, Vol.
«Nothing
in the record suggests that an «
equilibrium» climate
model is the right standard of comparison.
We show elsewhere (8) that a forcing of 1.08 W / m2 yields a warming of 3/4 °C by 2050
in transient climate simulations with a
model having
equilibrium sensitivity of 3/4 °C per W / m2.
That's a really simplistic
model of the climate
in equilibrium.
PS T is a temperature anomaly; hence
in such a simplified
model at
equilibrium all T (j) are equal even though the actual temperatures vary.
OLR increases
in the optically thinner bands would lead to atmospheric warming
in general, but this has to be accompanied by OLR decreases somewhere, such as
in optically thicker bands (and always
in the band where optical thickness was added, assuming positive lapse rates everywhere as is the case
in a 1 - dimensional
equilibrium model with zero solar heating above the tropopause, or at least not too much solar heating
in some distributions), which will tend to cause cooling of upper levels.
The true
equilibrium climate sensitivity for the climate
models used
in this demonstration is
in the range 2.1 — 4.4, and the transient climate sensitivity is 1.2 — 2.6 (IPCC AR5, Table 8.2).
The basic issue looked at
in Proistosescu and Huybers (2017), is the
model result that suggests that there is a time dependence
in the evolution to
equilibrium.
The approximately 20 - year lag (between atmospheric CO2 concentration change and reaching
equilibrium temperature) is an emerging property (just like sensitivity) of the global climate system
in the GCM
models used
in the paper I linked to above, if I understood it correctly.
Not only do you («you» as
in Victor and not the general you, because I presume there are people who actually
model these things and may know the answer) not know how large the
equilibrium response would be, but you don't know if the boundary proposed by your argument (cognate to the
equilibrium response) had been reached over that period.
In the pure radiative equilibrium, you can get it into a range where the grey model gives you surface warming and stratospheric cooling (that's in one of the problems), but you have to work at it a bit, and also remember to plot things in pressure coord, not optical depth coordinate
In the pure radiative
equilibrium, you can get it into a range where the grey
model gives you surface warming and stratospheric cooling (that's
in one of the problems), but you have to work at it a bit, and also remember to plot things in pressure coord, not optical depth coordinate
in one of the problems), but you have to work at it a bit, and also remember to plot things
in pressure coord, not optical depth coordinate
in pressure coord, not optical depth coordinates.
All the
models, not just those of RealClimate, assume that CO2 (and H2O) are
in local thermodynamic
equilibrium (LTE) and radiate at the kinetic temperature of the air,
in which case they would effectively emit all the radiation the absorb.
To touch upon Eli's so far ignored question (# 3) on bridging the hierarchy of
models: The issue at stake is the curvatuve
in a plot of N vs. Ts, where N is basically the TOA imbalance (which decays to zero as
equilibrium is approached) and Ts is the surface temperature.
It is defined from an even more idealised simulation (abrupt4xCO2) than either the 1 % CO2 experiment, and
in almost every
model gives an underestimate of the
equilibrium value.
This might partly be explained by the fact that paleoclimate data is measuring a system
in equilibrium, while
models are predicting a climate
in transition.
In other words, they take the standard AOGCMs, input a certain stabilized CO2 concentration, and run the
models until the climate output stabilizes around some new
equilibrium.
Also
in the paper the sensitivity resulting from the
models appears to be about 2/3 deg C per W / m2, so if we maintain the current level of forcing indefinitely, this suggests the time delay before
equilibrium is established is as follows
IF the energy required by the GCMs to create the rise
in GHG induced temperature comes from the outflow to space (per Hank's model in 137, which I thought was pretty reasonable), BUT IF the GCMs are required to have inflow = outflow @TOA (ie equilibrium — per # 142 & the formal publications» descriptions of the GCMs from GISS etc,) THEN WHERE IN (rhetorical) HELL does the energy come from to create GHG Global warmin
in GHG induced temperature comes from the outflow to space (per Hank's
model in 137, which I thought was pretty reasonable), BUT IF the GCMs are required to have inflow = outflow @TOA (ie equilibrium — per # 142 & the formal publications» descriptions of the GCMs from GISS etc,) THEN WHERE IN (rhetorical) HELL does the energy come from to create GHG Global warmin
in 137, which I thought was pretty reasonable), BUT IF the GCMs are required to have inflow = outflow @TOA (ie
equilibrium — per # 142 & the formal publications» descriptions of the GCMs from GISS etc,) THEN WHERE
IN (rhetorical) HELL does the energy come from to create GHG Global warmin
IN (rhetorical) HELL does the energy come from to create GHG Global warming?
Models may be tuned to get the TOA balance right in equilibrium, but TOA balance is emergent, not enforced (and given that the models have internal variability, equilibrium is a rather fuzzy no
Models may be tuned to get the TOA balance right
in equilibrium, but TOA balance is emergent, not enforced (and given that the
models have internal variability, equilibrium is a rather fuzzy no
models have internal variability,
equilibrium is a rather fuzzy notion).
These additional feedbacks are not still accounted by GCM
models, at least those used
in IPCC 2007 for
equilibrium climate sensitivity.