The rationale for this tactical shift has as much to do with the state of American markets as of those across the pond: There's a growing political risk, evidenced by the health - care debacle, that the new administration in Washington, D.C., will not be able to deliver much on its agenda — all while U.S.
equity valuations remain stretched.
Not exact matches
Company
valuations remain the No. 1 concern facing private
equity fund managers.
«While everyone is focused on
valuation and bubbles (to some degree rightfully so), the fact
remains that the last few years have been supported by a low level of net
equity issuance that has, all else equal, supported prices,» says Dan Greenhaus, chief global strategist at BTIG.
Equities really have had the best of all worlds these past few years, with earnings growth in the double digits and financial conditions
remaining very accommodative, despite the recent rise in both short - and long - term interest rates.1 The combination of rising earnings growth and benign financial conditions is a powerful set of tailwinds which usually drives stock
valuations higher.
Our general take on
equities remains that
valuations are somewhat on the high side, but with a dearth of investment alternatives, dividend - paying blue chips, such as those emphasized by the Dogs of the Dow strategy,
remain an attractive option.
«Absent material
equity valuation improvements for Ares and KKR, we expect further conversions of Fitch - rated alternative investment managers to be decreasingly likely, given that the
remaining managers generally have more incentive income which would not benefit from the lower tax rate,» said Meghan Neenan, head of North American Non-Bank Financial Institutions at Fitch.
We believe
valuations of select emerging - country
equity and sovereign bond investments
remain attractive relative to those available in developed markets.
The impact of a stronger dollar is likely to
remain a hurdle for earnings, but U.S.
equities are also contending with high relative
valuations and a likely increase in interest rates by the Federal Reserve (Fed) in the second half of this year.
Despite
valuations that appear cheap relative to the United States, we
remain neutral on European
equities because of downbeat sentiment and little conviction that growth will accelerate.
Despite their outperformance year to date, EM
equities remain attractively valued compared to their historical
valuations and to the
valuations of their developed market counterparts.
If
valuations remain high or increase, at some point higher yields may make bonds more attractive relative to
equities.
The Strategic Growth Fund and Strategic International
Equity Fund
remain tightly hedged here, but it bears repeating that our defensiveness at present is not driven by
valuation considerations alone, nor by our broader concerns about underlying debt and mortgage conditions.
The gains over the last six years have been much more impressive in the U.S. and, as a result,
valuations of many foreign
equity markets
remain more attractive than the stretched
valuations in the U.S., in our opinion.
Japanese
equities remain inexpensive even after outpacing the U.S. market year - to - date, as strong earnings momentum has kept
valuations in line.
Despite
valuations that appear cheap relative to the United States, we
remain neutral on European
equities because of downbeat sentiment and little conviction that growth will accelerate.
Portfolio Manager Mark DeVaul discusses the strength of the U.S. consumer and shares his thoughts on current market
valuations, explaining why he
remains optimistic about U.S.
equities in the current low interest rate environment.
Investors still cite the low costs of ETFs, but with the S&P 500 trading at a P / E ratio of 21x of higher, and earnings growth
remaining persistently low, Narhi and Barr don't think
equity valuations are worth the risk.