Table 1 shows how
European election turnout was affected by holding a local election on the same day.
Not exact matches
First we have assumed that
turnout will overall be 60 %, but the variation in
turnout between local authorities will mirror that in the 2014
European elections.
But Hague will argue that
turnout for
European elections is falling despite the gradual increase in the powers of EU laws.
Turnout can often be low, particularly when council
elections are being held on their own instead of alongside
European or general
elections.
In 2004, as an accession country, Slovakia recorded the lowest
turnout in the history of the
European elections (just 17 % of eligible voters).
In the 2004 and 2009
European elections, voter
turnout was much lower, coming in at 82.4 % and 78.8 % respectively — and it is projected to decline further in the 2014
election.
Turnout has fallen in every single
European election since 1979 when direct voting was first introduced, standing at a miserable 43 % in 2009.
European elections are low
turnout elections, so some of the errors may have been down to too strict
turnout filters (ComRes used a very strict
turnout filter for Euros and would probably have been better if they'd used the method they use for general
election polling.
A «Get Out the Vote» randomised experiment in the 2009
European and Local
Election; The Political Representation of Ethnic Minorities in the UK in Comparative Perspective; and Electoral Registration and
Turnout in South Asian Communities in Great Britain.
Later this year both the
European and local
elections will take place, with the question of increasing voter
turnout remaining a headache for politicians.
First,
turnout is always much lower in
European elections.
However, the comparison with the US voter
turnout is hampered due to the fact that the US President is elected in separate and direct
elections (presidential system), whereas the President of the
European Commission is only approved by the
European Parliament (parliamentary system), giving the
European Parliament
elections considerable weight.
Drivetime (RTE Radio 1): Discussion of recent opinion polls and voter
turnout issues ahead of upcoming local and
European elections (21st May 2014).
Low
turnout has been a feature of direct
elections to the
European Parliament in Great Britain since they were introduced in 1979.
Noted: Holding
European Parliament
elections concurrently with local
elections increases
turnout and benefits... http://t.co/29xJzLyYDe
Holding
European Parliament
elections concurrently with local
elections increases
turnout & benefits certain parties http://t.co/06gxpdrDDH
Holding
European Parliament
elections concurrently with local
elections increases
turnout and benefits... http://t.co/WQOdw4Q3SF
Despite the fact that the
European elections were the almost perfect second - order
elections — with the coalition divided over Europe,
European elections scheduled one year before general
elections, and low
turnout — and the two «UKIP MPs» were nothing more than rebranded Tory MPs, most of the British media and pundits enthusiastically bought into Nigel Farage's «Purple Revolution».
As most would expect,
turnout tends to be higher for
European elections when combined with local
elections.
If there was any increase in the
turnout for the
European elections this time it came in the votes for fringe parties.
The
turnout figure was being closely watched as a gauge of the legitimacy of the
European parliament and
elections since fewer voters have voted at every opportunity since 1979 when the EU average was 43 %.
The
turnout was lower than hoped at 33 % and critics said the BNP's result was little different from the
European elections in June, when it took 4.3 % in the Glasgow North East area.
The party has had success in local and
European elections for which
turnout is low but it it is relatively untested in bigger battles.