Not exact matches
In the first such event of a year crowded with
European elections, the Netherlands prepared to go to the polls in mid-March, potentially providing an early reading of political sentiment among
European voters following several populist upsets in 2016.
European elections are chiefly national rather than
European spectacles and so the parties try to please their respective parochial
voters.
In 2014, 300 million eligible
voters across the
European Union (EU) will have the opportunity to cast their vote in the
elections for the second - largest legislative body in the world: the
European Parliament.
This analysis confirms what we might have anticipated from the evidence of the polls — local authorities appear to contain more Leave
voters if there was a large vote for UKIP there in the 2014
European elections, if there was a small vote for parties of the «left» (Labour, Liberal Democrats, Scottish and Welsh Nationalists and Greens) on the same occasion, and in places with relatively low proportions of graduates, young people, and people from an ethnic minority background.
The 2014
European elections will be remembered as those that transformed the EU into a sort of Parliamentary democracy by indirectly electing the president of the
European Commission, or as those that ditched the whole process and lead instead to the first «coup d'état» operated by the
European Council against the
European Parliament and the
voters.
My research in 2014 has included a weekly national telephone poll, surveys in over 100 marginal seats, two rounds of my Project Blueprint research on the quest for a Conservative majority, a detailed study of
voters» attitudes to Europe, polling - day surveys of
voters in the
European elections, five by -
election polls, and regular updates on the state of the parties.
Moreover, analysis of voting behaviour during the 2014
European election shows that 21 per cent of Green
voters had supported Liberal Democrat candidates in the 2010 general
election; 18 per cent had voted Labour; and a further 18 per cent had have voted Green.
After all, local and
European elections have always been a chance for
voters to bloody the noses of mainstream parties.
A Com / Res poll for ITV on 30 April put UKIP 11 points ahead of Labour, with 38 % of
voters saying they intend to vote for Nigel Farage's party at the
European and local
elections on 22 May.
We now know that these larger poll numbers were predicated on large numbers of potential
voters who were powerfully demotivated; witness the Labour
voters who stayed at home at the 2009
European elections.
After the 2009
European Parliament
elections, only 28 % of UKIP
voters in the BES survey said they were planning on voting UKIP again at the next general
election.
Data from British
Election Study panel surveys shows that the main problem UKIP has faced in translating its success from
European Parliament
elections to general
elections has been retaining
voters, whether because some UKIP
voters only vote UKIP at
European Parliament
elections in protest and the return to their «normal» party for general
elections or because the nature of the British electoral system incentivises
voters to cast their vote for one of the existing main parties rather than a new entrant.
Voters, perversely, have responded to the debate by firming up their support for Europe — despite handing Ukip victory in this year's
European elections.
The photo of him eating a bacon sandwich awkwardly during the
European election campaign did little to cast him in a good light to
voters unsure of what to make of him.
The Liberal Democrat leader was on the brink of an expected disaster in local and
European elections the following month — the
voters» roar of disapproval at his decision to go into coalition with the Conservatives.
Lord Ashcroft's poll of UKIP
voters in last week's
European election found just over half had supported the Tories at the 2010
election.
In 2004, as an accession country, Slovakia recorded the lowest turnout in the history of the
European elections (just 17 % of eligible
voters).
In the 2004 and 2009
European elections,
voter turnout was much lower, coming in at 82.4 % and 78.8 % respectively — and it is projected to decline further in the 2014
election.
But there is a view that says that after the
European and local
elections are over, there could be a swing back to the Conservatives of UKIP
voters.
The
European elections in May are widely expected to see more Eurosceptics elected to the parliament, amid continuing economic hardship for millions of
Europeans and a much - criticised «disconnect» between EU institutions and
voters.
On the occasions when Ukip's vote increases dramatically (such as in
European elections) their new or temporary
voters are more likely to be middle - class, financially secure and from Conservative backgrounds.
What's more, the two main parties are less dominant than they were in the 1980s and
voters are increasingly willing to vote for an alternative, not just in by -
elections, local
elections or
European Parliament
elections.
In Tower Hamlets, the High Court suspended the Mayor, Lutfur Rahman, after he was found guilty of falsifying postal votes and putting undue pressure on
voters at polling stations during the 2014 local and
European elections.
Established media, state radio and tv and the political class had only a walk - on role in forcing the referendum which they collectively opposed: it was the victory by UKIP in a national
election (the 2014)
European Elections), social media, youtube and the spreading of the message even when it was kept away from the
voters by the elite that did the job.
82 % of likely UKIP
voters at the
European Parliamentary
elections think Ukip is more honest than other political parties.
Deputy Prime Minister Nick Clegg has said that he «totally accepts» the verdict of
voters after his party's mauling at last week's
European elections, but believes it was right to make a case for an open Britain that doesn't «blame foreigners.»
During his chat with our reporter, Blay also described how he called the police following a heated row with an East
European voter after he stuck a UKIP
election leaflet through his door.
In a country where there has never been a great deal of difference between parties or
voters on
European issues, the big question of this first distinct
European election is the fate of Juncker, who has been chosen by the
European People's Party as its candidate for the presidency of the
European Commission — he is not a candidate for the
European Parliament
election.
Until 2009 all party heavyweights stood in both
elections to ensure a good result for their
European list (in Luxembourg
voters can cast a vote for a party, one or several candidates on the same or on different lists, what is termed inter-party panachage).
The poll found that despite the surging popularity of Nigel Farage's party, a quarter (23 %) of likely Ukip
voters at the
European Parliamentary
elections say they are unlikely to vote for the party at the General
Election next year.
Later this year both the
European and local
elections will take place, with the question of increasing
voter turnout remaining a headache for politicians.
Fifteen million general
election voters do not bother to go to the polling station for the
European polls and those who do are typically older, whiter and more eurosceptic than general
election voters.
The survey also found that
voters typically are not interested in the
European elections, but that those who are tend to be eurosceptic.
The survey found that 72 % of UKIP
voters at the 2014
European Parliament
election say they could see themselves voting UKIP in a general
election.
The data suggests that many older
voters will switch away from the eurosceptic party in 2015 with less than three quarters of Ukip
voters in the 2014
European elections saying they could see themselves doing the same in a General
Election.
Given
voters» experience of public polling at the last general
election, it would be natural for them to take a more cynical and circumspect view of opinion research in the lead up to the
European referendum.
Voters in the recent
European elections used a party list system.
Less than three quarters (72 %) of UKIP
voters at the 2014
European Parliament
election say they could see themselves voting UKIP in a general
election, according to a new ITV News Index poll carried out by ComRes.
Less than three quarters of Ukip
voters from the 2014
European Elections would vote the same way in a general
election, an ITV News / ComRes poll has found.
Voters in parts of England and Northern Ireland are taking part in local
elections on Thursday, as well as the
European elections.
However, the comparison with the US
voter turnout is hampered due to the fact that the US President is elected in separate and direct
elections (presidential system), whereas the President of the
European Commission is only approved by the
European Parliament (parliamentary system), giving the
European Parliament
elections considerable weight.
A 1980 analysis by Karlheinz Reif and Hermann Schmitt concluded that
European elections were fought on national issues and used by
voters to punish their governments mid-term, making
European Parliament
elections de facto national
elections of second rank.
«Strategic defectors» are
voters who support Ukip at
European elections but return to the Conservatives at general
elections: they are older, financially comfortable, middle - class men with Conservative sympathies, socially conservative Eurosceptics who are motivated principally by their desire to send a message to the Conservatives.
Second, while fewer women supported UKIP in the
European elections, the figure below shows that UKIP's female
voters tend to be more loyal; 26 % of men supported the party vs. 20 % of women.
Drivetime (RTE Radio 1): Discussion of recent opinion polls and
voter turnout issues ahead of upcoming local and
European elections (21st May 2014).
The furore over expenses, which comes during the middle of the country's worst post-war recession, is expected to see
voter anger reflected in upcoming
European parliamentary and local
elections.
New Home Secretary Alan Johnson may have raised the idea in a bid to appeal to
voters ahead of disastrous local and
European election results for Labour, but there is very little evidence of an appetite in government for changing the voting system from first past the post to real proportional representation.
The
voters of Newark will go to the polls next week in the first electoral test the local and
European elections.
Parties needlessly confuse
voters when they field dozens of paper candidates in
European Parliament
elections http://t.co/Vcnfljy1ft
The
voters of Newark will go to the polls next week in the first electoral test since the local and
European elections.