An interesting chart that might represent how U.S. rates could remain low on the back of the European economy for a while shows the yield difference between the S&P
Eurozone Sovereign Bond 7 - 10 Years Index and the S&P / BGCantor 7 - 10 Year US Treasury Bond Index.
We also compared the five - year annualized volatilities of the S&P Pan Asia Bond Index (denominated in USD) with other major bond markets, such as the U.S. treasury, U.S. investment grade corporate, U.S. high yield corporate,
Eurozone sovereign and Australian bond markets, see the exhibit below.
Year - to - date, the S&P
Eurozone Sovereign Bond Index is returning 2.44 %, just about the 2.46 % it returned for all of 2013.
By examining the difference in spreads relative to the CDS European Banks to
Eurozone sovereign bonds and financials in the U.S., we see that insurance across these sectors has not been this comparable in price for years.
Clamour over
the eurozone sovereign debt crisis showed no sign of abating on Friday as Italy prepares to pass new austerity measures to prevent a Greece - style bailout.
European private lenders accessed the ECB's cheap loans and used them to purchase
Eurozone sovereign debt drastically bringing down treasury yields.
His work focuses on financial regulation, corporate law, contracts, and cross-border transactions and disputes, and his most recent article, «Boilerplate Shock: Sovereign Debt Contracts as Incubators of Systemic Risk,» examines the role of financial contracts in
the Eurozone sovereign debt crisis.
The reform agenda in the European Union has been slow and at times painful, but progress has been made since
the eurozone sovereign debt crisis.
Not exact matches
The
eurozone's recovery from the
sovereign debt crisis has been about improving situations in the economic bloc's peripheral economies like Italy and Portugal, and this new batch of uncertainty in Portugal's financial sector is not sitting well with investors.
Still, most analysts don't believe that the greatest fears — a currency collapse, a major
sovereign default, a banking meltdown or the dissolution of the
eurozone monetary bloc — will come to pass.
They're heavily exposed to Hungary, and considering the already fragile situation in the
eurozone, this could spark fears about the stability of Austria and its
sovereign rating — regardless of the fact that the country is in good shape.
But if there is any panic selling due to some event, such as a
sovereign debt default in the
eurozone, that could be a time to jump in.
German
sovereign paper is seen a proxy for the
eurozone's economy and the viability of the economic bloc.
Since then, savings accumulation shifted from Asia to other regions — notably Germany and the
eurozone, partly in response to the
sovereign crisis.
On March 22 at 9:00 AM ECRI's Lakshman Achuthan will join a panel discussion about the «Risks Beyond the
Eurozone and the Threat of Contagion» during the Bloomberg
Sovereign Debt Conference.
Just because there is a rule stipulating that QE program purchases of
sovereign bonds be in relation to GDP, the ECB has and will continue to do «whatever it takes» in order to prevent peripheral
Eurozone bond yields from blowing out to near - reality levels.
After years of buying
eurozone countries»
sovereign debt, the ECB announced in March that it would begin buying select corporate bonds as well.
The conditions have fueled a rally in Portugal's
sovereign bonds so far this year, although they remain the second - highest yielding bonds in the
eurozone, behind those of Greece.
Elsewhere, we favor selected
eurozone peripheral debt over other
sovereigns, due to higher yields and European Central Bank (ECB) support.
Before the European
sovereign debt crisis starting in 2010, Greece's economy represented about 2 % of the
eurozone's gross domestic product (GDP); after the crisis - induced recession, it accounts for even less.
In development cooperation, an area of «shared» competences between the EU institutions and the member states, it has remained unexplored how economic recession, the
sovereign debt crisis, austerity, the struggle in the
eurozone and increasing Euroscepticism have affected the relationship between the EU and its member states.
And lastly, we should also remember that the ECB is the proud owner of close to $ 250 billion worth of
sovereign debt from troubled
Eurozone countries, mainly Greece, Portugal, Italy and Spain, which it acquired through its Securities Market Program (SMP).
This is a natural consequence of a single currency — we have seen all too clearly how bank stability and
sovereign stability are so closely linked within the
eurozone.
Internal divisions over the management of the
Eurozone banking and
sovereign debt crisis and a four - year failure to regenerate economic growth have weakened the EU politically.
Triggered by the known «United States housing bubble», the 2007 - 2008 financial crisis soon led to the 2008 — 2012 global recession and subsequently affected
Eurozone by contributing to its
sovereign - debt (Baily and Elliot, 2009 & Lin and Treichel, 2012) Although the crisis that the EU faces has been mainly correlated with Greece, the truth is that it has also dramatically shaken many countries of the Southern Europe.
Similarly, one would have to look back to June of 2012 to find European bank default insurance priced as comparably to S&P / ISDA
Eurozone Developed Nation
Sovereign CDS OTR Index.
Expensive valuations are evident in relatively tight credit spreads across
eurozone countries despite the differentiation priced into
sovereign bonds.
The S&P China Government Bond Index is calculated in CNY and the S&P
Eurozone Developed
Sovereign Bond Index is calculated in EUR, while the other two indices are calculated in USD.
Some of the outperformers are the S&P
Eurozone Developed
Sovereign Bond Index (up 11.98 %), the S&P U.S. Issued Investment Grade Corporate Bond Index (up 7.71 %) and the S&P China Government Bond Index (up 10.35 %).
Andreas Rialas, Argo Group, Argo Real Estate Opportunities Fund, Cyprus bail - out, EU economy, European
sovereign debt crisis,
Eurozone, fiat money, Greenspan / Bernanke put, intrinsic value, Kyriakos Rialas, Lehman Brothers, Price / Cash, The Argo Fund
The recent stimulus buying by the ECB has pushed the yield of the S&P
Eurozone Developed
Sovereign Bond Index down to 0.42 %.
As of Feb. 8, 2016, performance of the S&P Switzerland
Sovereign Bond Index was one of the highest in the
eurozone, at 3.4 % YTD; the S&P Germany
Sovereign Bond Index came in at 3.04 % YTD, and the S&P Luxembourg
Sovereign Bond Index returned 1.70 % YTD (see Exhibit 2).
Additionally, they may also purchase credit default swaps on
sovereign debt throughout the
Eurozone, as insurance against any possible debt defaults.
The creation of European
Sovereign Bond Backed Securities (SBBS) would be unlikely improve the eurozone's institutional underpinnings sufficiently to provide a near - term boost to the sovereign ratings of the bloc's lower - rated c
Sovereign Bond Backed Securities (SBBS) would be unlikely improve the
eurozone's institutional underpinnings sufficiently to provide a near - term boost to the
sovereign ratings of the bloc's lower - rated c
sovereign ratings of the bloc's lower - rated countries.
If they opt - in, they're simply exchanging their
sovereign liability for a
Eurozone - wide liability, up to the same 75 % of their GDP.
European
sovereign bonds, as measured by the S&P Eurozone Developed Sovereign Bond Index, returned 12 %
sovereign bonds, as measured by the S&P
Eurozone Developed
Sovereign Bond Index, returned 12 %
Sovereign Bond Index, returned 12 % for 2014.
On the 12th September 2012, the German Constitutional Court issued its much - expected third judgment on the constitutionality of measures that have been taken at the level of European and international law in response to the ongoing
sovereign debt crises in the
Eurozone and the crisis of the currency union that resulted thereof.
When the
sovereign debt crisis was at its peak, Commission President Barroso argued on multiple occasions that a strengthening and consolidation of the
Eurozone's external representation should be pursued.
This was then reflected in 2010 with the
Eurozone debt crisis with
sovereigns hoarding their cash reserves at their central bank in case of potential runoffs on their bonds and deposits.