Prior to the publication of Superinvestors, the Fama
French Value index had outperformed the S&P 500 in 89 % of all rolling twenty year periods, and since then, that number has fallen to 62 %.
Prior to the publication of Superinvestors, the Fama
French Value index had outperformed the S&P 500 in 89 % of all rolling twenty year periods, and since then, that number has fallen to 62 %.
Not exact matches
The five factors Mladina used in his model are the Fama -
French market beta, size and
value factors plus the term (the return of the Barclays U.S. Treasury
Index minus the return of one - month Treasury bills) and default (the return of the Barclays U.S. Corporate High Yield
Index minus the return of the Barclays U.S. Treasury
Index) factors.
The small cap
value allocation capitalizes on the Fama and
French research that suggests that over the long term, small cap and
value stocks outperform the overall
indexes.
Exhibit 2 shows summary statistics of the four dividend
indices regressed on Fama -
French factor returns including market beta (Mkt - rf), small size (SMB),
value (HML), and momentum (MOM).
From 1926 until the time that Buffett wrote this article, the Fama
French U.S. Large
Value Index, which did not exist until the early 90s, crushed the S&P 500.
I understand there is a big difference, a huge difference in fact between the Fama
French Index and real
value investing via old school stock selection.
The studies of Fama,
French and many others have convinced splitters that they are likely to receive higher risk - adjusted returns by spreading their investments among several low - cost
index funds that invest in the four size / style quadrants of the market: Large Growth, Large
Value, Small Growth and Small
Value.
The Fama /
French US Small
Value Research
Index returned 14.9 percent annually from July 1926 through 2016, while the Fama /
French US Small Growth Research
Index returned just 8.6 percent.
Research by Fama and
French, among others, has shown that nearly all outperformance relative to a market
index can be explained by such common dimensions of risk and return as
value, size, «quality» (profitability), and momentum.
From 1970 - 1984, the Fama
French Large
Value Index outperformed the S&P 500 by more than 400 %, or 6.5 % a year.
Since this article was published, the Fama
French Large
Value Index has failed to keep up with the S&P 500
From 1926 until the time that Buffett wrote this article, the Fama
French U.S. Large
Value Index, which did not exist until the early 90s, crushed the S&P 500.
Believers in fundamental
indices point out that repeated research by Kenneth
French from Dartmouth's Tuck School and the University of Chicago's Eugene Fama has shown that small cap and
value stocks have outperformed other securities over most significant historical periods, and haven't yet displayed a reversion to the mean.
More recently, for the past eight years,
value investing has been a disaster with the Russell 1000 Value Index underperforming the S&P 500 by 1.6 % a year, and the Fama — French value factor in large - cap stocks returning − 4.8 % annually over the same pe
value investing has been a disaster with the Russell 1000
Value Index underperforming the S&P 500 by 1.6 % a year, and the Fama — French value factor in large - cap stocks returning − 4.8 % annually over the same pe
Value Index underperforming the S&P 500 by 1.6 % a year, and the Fama —
French value factor in large - cap stocks returning − 4.8 % annually over the same pe
value factor in large - cap stocks returning − 4.8 % annually over the same period.
The dividend, multi-factor, contrarian, fundamental, and Fundamental
Index strategies have positive four - factor Fama —
French alphas, 28 and by either or both measures the multi-factor, contrarian, fundamental,
value, small, and Fundamental
Index strategies have positive
value - add results.29 Based on these results, it would seem that the smart beta crowd may be onto something.