Not exact matches
This change leads to a higher percentage
of emitted carbon dioxide remaining in the
atmosphere, which then
further accelerates global
warming.
But for planetary scientists, Jupiter's most distinctive mystery may be what's called the «energy crisis»
of its upper
atmosphere: how do temperatures average about as
warm as Earth's even though the enormous planet is more than fives times
further away from the sun?
If trees die because
of those droughts, the carbon they store will be released into the
atmosphere, where it will
further exacerbate global
warming.
Their results suggest a drop
of as much as 10 degrees for fresh water during the
warm season and 6 degrees for the
atmosphere in the North Atlantic, giving
further evidence that the concentration
of atmospheric carbon dioxide and Earth's surface temperature are inextricably linked.
If carbon dioxide in the
atmosphere doubled from its pre-industrial level, the graph suggested, global
warming would rise
far above the widely accepted prediction
of between 1.5 and 4.5 °C.
But the models also suggest that the scheme could go too
far: Adding excess sulfur could increase ice in Antarctica, «overcompensating» for
warming, says Rasch, which could affect ecosystems and the global ocean -
atmosphere system in a myriad
of ways that scientists haven't studied.
A northwards branch
of the gulf stream, the North Atlantic Drift, is part
of the thermohaline circulation (THC), transporting warmth
further north to the North Atlantic, where its effect in
warming the
atmosphere contributes to
warming Europe.
That's because methane (or CH4) has more than 30 times the global
warming impact
of carbon dioxide (CO2) over 100 years (and its more than 80 times more powerful over 20 years, since methane disappears from the
atmosphere far more quickly than CO2).
One
of the methods championed by climate scientists is represented in the fraction
of attributable risk [
FAR (Allen, 2003; Stone and Allen 2005)-RSB-, which assesses the attribution
of climate anomalies to anthropogenic
warming of the
atmosphere.
Another process knows as a «runaway greenhouse» occurs due to the increased greenhouse effect
of water vapor in the lower
atmosphere, which
further drives evaporation and more
warming.
Research so
far suggest that because
of a
warming, moistening
atmosphere, CAPE will like increase as temperatures continue to rise.
The accumulation
of organic carbon in the deep ocean would limit the release
of carbon into the
atmosphere as CO2, limiting
further warming by this greenhouse gas.
As humans release ever - larger amounts
of carbon dioxide into the
atmosphere, besides
warming the planet, the gas is also turning the world's oceans more acidic — at rates thought to
far exceed those seen during past major extinctions
of life.
Thus
far, Kepler has found 48 planetary candidates in their host star's habitable zone (
of which 10 are near Earth - size), but this number is a decrease from the 54 reported in February 2011 only because the Kepler team is now applying a stricter definition
of what constitutes a habitable zone around stars to account for the
warming effect
of planetary
atmospheres, which would move such a zone away from the star, outwards in orbital distance resulting in longer orbital periods (NASA news release; and Kepler Press Conference slides — in pdf).
Adding
further greenhouse gases to the
atmosphere warms the ocean cool skin layer, which in turn reduces the amount
of heat flowing out
of the ocean.
Absorption
of thermal radiation cools the thermal spectra
of the earth as seen from space, radiation emitted by de-excitation is what results in the
further warming of the surface, and the surface continues to
warm until the rate at which energy is radiated from the earth's climate system (given the increased opacity
of the
atmosphere to longwave radiation) is equal to the rate at which energy enters it.
This,
of course, would add GHG to the
atmosphere, feeding into
further warming.
The drought - induced decline
of carbon - dense tropical forests and their replacement by lower - carbon savannas would release enormous amounts
of CO2 to the
atmosphere, amplifying global
warming far beyond the effects
of just the CO2 released by burning fossil fuels.
When Mckibben mentioined: «We might even have to consider currently
far - fetched schemes to pull CO2 out
of the
atmosphere», I can only hope the next administration won't listen to people like «Wired» magazine that had a recent article on how ancient forests are contributing to global
warming.
--- ignorance about atmospheric chemistry really shows here...... snip --- «Moreover, the CO2 that is supposedly causing «catastrophic»
warming represents only 0.00035
of all the gases in the
atmosphere (1.25 inches out
of a 100 - yard football field), and proposals to control this vital plant nutrient ignore a
far more critical greenhouse gas: water vapor.»
This is a peer reviewed paper by respected scientists who are saying that aerosol forcing means that the majority
of the
warming caused by existing co2 emission has effectively been masked thus
far, and that as aerosols remain in the
atmosphere for
far shorter a duration
of time than co2, we will have already most likely crossed the 2 degree threshold that the G8 politicians have been discussing this week once the cooling effect
of aerosols dissipate.
As I discussed in # 333, requiring a
warmer lower part
of the
atmosphere, on
warming further and emitting more IR, to cause a cooler part receiving the excess IR to cool
further, violates radiative transfer principles and / or the Second Law.
This would actually not be true at sufficiently high latitudes in the winter hemisphere, except that some circulation in the upper
atmosphere is driven by kinetic energy generated within the troposphere (small amount
of energy involved) which, so
far as I know, doesn't result in much
of a global time average non-radiative energy flux above the tropopause, but it does have important regional effects, and the result is that the top
of the stratosphere is
warmer than the tropopause at all latitudes in all seasons so
far as I know.
The condition that portions
of the upper
atmosphere are significantly
warmer than otherwise via direct solar heating should (so
far as I know) enhance the GHG - induced cooling at those levels.
A few days ago the «shocking» headlines came out, describing some new research on how much methane is now seeping out
of the Arctic seafloor — a greenhouse gas
far more potent than carbon dioxide, but much shorter lived in the
atmosphere — as the region
warms and permafrost melts.
The net result is
further warming of the surface, which in turn induces additional heating
of the
atmosphere column above.
Computer simulations
of the
atmosphere and ocean, when run with rising greenhouse gases, show the
warm pool heating at the same rate as other ocean regions, in contrast to what has been observed there so
far, the researchers said.
The
warming is not homogeneous, and
further proof that it is not the
atmosphere warming the ocean directly, but GH gas concentrations altering the flow
of energy out
of the ocean.
This is because over the past three years, hundreds
of new scientific field accounts
of global
warming's impacts, as well as improved peer - reviewed analyses
of global
warming itself in both the deep past and the very near future, have depicted earth's
atmosphere as
far more «sensitive» to the invisible CO2, methane and other human - sourced greenhouse gases than had been hoped.
The history
of climate change goes back much
further: in the 19th century, physicists theorised about the role
of greenhouse gases, chiefly carbon dioxide, in the
atmosphere, and several suggested that the
warming effect would increase alongside the levels
of these gases in the
atmosphere.
Interesting, not
far off the the amount
of energy released in condensing water out
of the
atmosphere, but more by about a factor
of 5 (it doesn't seem as though condensing water in the
atmosphere can explain all the observed
warming).
It
further states that the
atmosphere and oceans have
warmed, the amounts
of snow and ice have diminished, sea level has risen, and GHG concentrations have increased.
The economic constraint on environmental action can easily be seen by looking at what is widely regarded as the most
far - reaching establishment attempt to date to deal with The Economics
of Climate Change in the form
of a massive study issued in 2007 under that title, commissioned by the UK Treasury Office.7 Subtitled the Stern Review after the report's principal author Nicholas Stern, a former chief economist
of the World Bank, it is widely viewed as the most important, and most progressive mainstream treatment
of the economics
of global
warming.8 The Stern Review focuses on the target level
of carbon dioxide equivalent (CO2e) concentration in the
atmosphere necessary to stabilize global average temperature at no more than 3 °C (5.4 °F) over pre-industrial levels.
«
Further recognizing the fact that «[h] uman activity has and will continue to alter the
atmosphere of the planet» and that «[s] uch activity may lead to demonstrable changes in climate, including a
warming of the planetary mean temperature,» ALEC developed the Interstate Research Commission on Climactic Change Act in the mid-1990s.
While the Earth seems to be managing the steady increase in atmospheric carbon dioxide relatively well so
far (although the effects
of this increase may not be felt for many decades to come), there are concerns that passing the 400 parts per million atmospheric carbon dioxide threshold will bring the Earth's
atmosphere closer to a tipping point at which global
warming accelerates rapidly with dire consequences for mankind and other creatures on Earth.
Melting
of this ice may release large quantities
of methane, a powerful greenhouse gas into the
atmosphere, causing
further warming in a strong positive feedback cycle and; marine genus and species to become extinct.
Hence CO2 ramped up ever faster in the
atmosphere,
further accelerating
warming, until you have the same symptoms
of a global -
warming - mass - extinction like the end Triassic or even Permian (ocean acidification, jump in global temperatures, ocean anoxia, etc).
It being
further agreed that AGW works by
warming CO2 and hence the
atmosphere, resulting in a slowing
of the cooling
of the oceans into the
atmosphere, we are thus back to point (2) above --
It has been recorded since the 1960s in terms
of both rising ocean temperature and rising acidity, both
of which reduce the capacity to remove CO2 from the
atmosphere, thereby advancing AGW and
further ocean
warming.
Also note that human induced
warming probably will trigger natural C02 / methane emissions leading to
further warming so anthropogenic source will probably play a decreasing role in the amount
of C02 in the
atmosphere as the planet moves to a new equilibrium point.
That's the dark future we inch closer to with every 0.1 C degree
of further warming, with each additional megaton
of fossil fuel and industrial carbon hitting the
atmosphere.
Researchers said that a doubling
of carbon dioxide in the Earth's
atmosphere compared with pre-industrial times could result in a global temperature increase
of up to 5.3 C —
far warmer than the 4.6 C older models predict.
Elimination
of this assumption
further undermines the claim that the
warming in the industrial era period was due to human addition
of CO2 to the
atmosphere.
They found that, as humans burn ever more fossil fuels to release ever higher levels
of greenhouse gases into the
atmosphere, to stoke yet
further global
warming and trigger catastrophic climate change, all 571 cities will experience ever greater heatwaves: that is, three consecutive days and nights at which temperatures are about as high as they have ever been for that city.
And
further, in the Earth's real greenhouse
atmosphere, the windows can be opened as in a real greenhouse, that is, a real greenhouse has both heating and cooling capabilities — AGWSF the Greenhouse Effect greenhouse has taking out the cooling, created a fictional concept
of a greenhouse as only
warming.
This suggests a potential positive feedback loop wherein a
warming climate supports larger algal populations, larger algal populations provide more organic matter to support more methane production, and a portion
of the methane produced escapes to the
atmosphere, where it functions to
further warm climate.
Two years ago, an authoritative study predicted there could be as little as 10 years before this «tipping point» for global
warming was reached, adding a rise
of 0.8 degrees had already been reached with
further rises already locked in because
of the time lag in the way carbon dioxide the principal greenhouse gas is absorbed into the
atmosphere.
If there is no contribution
of cool SST's to that area, then the
warm tongue will move
farther east and change the vertical structure
of the
atmosphere creating a greater liklihood
of El Nino.
The pattern
of temperature change through the layers
of the
atmosphere, with
warming near the surface and cooling higher up in the stratosphere,
further confirms that it is the buildup
of heat - trapping gases (also known as «greenhouse gases») that has caused most
of the Earth's
warming over the past half century.
The theory is that increasing CO2 will cause a small bit
of warming and this will increase evaporation rates (which occur fastest in the tropics) and dumps more water vapour in the
atmosphere (water vapour is by
far a more potent greenhouse gas than CO2) and this feedback amplification is meant to continue until Earth settles down and finds a new equilibrium temperature.