Sentences with phrase «gdp growth over»

Yet given that most economists expect only modest GDP growth over the next several years, focusing exclusively on class - B malls in today's environment could prove to be a tough play, says Sullivan.

Despite the slowdown, GDP growth over all of 2017 accelerated to 2.3 percent, faster than the 1.5 percent rate of growth in 2016.

While the second estimate was an improvement over the initial 0.7 percent, it was far below the average 3.4 percent typical of first - quarter GDP growth over the 1950 - 16 period.

Following the worst 10 - year returns for the S&P 500, the average cyclically - adjusted P / E was just 12, GDP growth over the following decade average 10.5 %, earnings growth averaged 8.63 %, and the S&P 500 return over the following decade averaged 11.33.

If American students were making gains as large as those made by students in Germany, he notes, our country would experience much greater GDP growth over the next decades.

It has been the key deliverer of our GDP growth over the last 10 years and it will continue to contribute to our GDP growth in the future.

For those inclined to make that assumption, a decline in the unemployment rate to zero over a 5 - year horizon add an extra 0.8 % annually to real GDP growth over that period.

In contrast to strong domestic demand, net exports have acted as a substantial drag on GDP growth over the past couple of years, although this drag has begun to diminish.

Per a recent article in the Financial Times, The Penn Wharton Budget Model expects at most a 0.1 % uplift to annual GDP growth over the next 10 years.

Thus it appears Chinese gold demand remains very strong indeed despite the sharp fall in the country's GDP growth over the past year.

Although export growth remains healthy, net exports subtracted 0.7 percentage points from GDP growth over the year to the September quarter, reflecting growth in imports from strong domestic demand.

However, net exports subtracted 3.4 percentage points from GDP growth over the same period.

But once those three assumptions reach their limits, as they eventually must, the excess of reported GDP growth over the GDP growth that would have been reported had these conditions not existed will be amortized in the form of a negative excess.

The primary determinants of GDP growth over time are 1) growth in total employment plus 2) growth in real output per hours worked.

But investors have a screw loose if they believe that the overall prospects for GDP growth over the coming 4 years have changed significantly.

Indeed, service exports have made a noticeable contribution to GDP growth over the past few years, with tourism, education and business services exports all increasing.

Two years ago it was hard to find analysts who expected average GDP growth over the rest of this decade to be less than 8 %.

This could cause GDP growth over the Xi administration period to be higher than my 3 - 4 % best - case scenario.

While stocks have a terminal value beyond a 10 - year period, the effects of interest rates and nominal growth on those projections largely cancel out because higher nominal GDP growth over a given 10 - year horizon is correlated with both higher interest rates and generally lower market valuations at the end of that period.

In fact, it's the average for GDP growth over the next five years that is unchanged from the 2012 budget.

He predicts that the crunch will slow earnings gains to at least a point below GDP growth over the next decade.

Not exact matches

Tightening of monetary policy meant to cool the housing market over the past year, combined with a wind - down in public works, has served to slow GDP growth into the single digits.

For year over year GDP growth, «real GDP» is usually used, as it gives a more accurate view of the economy.

Fortune ran numbers to calculate how much extra revenue the U.S. would need to raise, over the next decade, if it lowered the rate of growth in Social Security by one percentage point, reduced increases in Medicare, Medicaid, and other health care spending by a proportional amount, and held discretionary spending below growth in GDP (albeit from the higher base established by the new laws).

Over the coming decade, the 600 largest and best - connected cities on the planet will contain a fifth of the world's population, capture almost two - thirds of its economic growth, and encompass more than half of global GDP, according to the McKinsey Global Institute.

If the other items in the plan have a similar jobs - to - GDP relationship, the GDP growth figures for the three years are over 20 % each year.

For the rest of this year, U.S. GDP growth will likely rebound and run above a 2 - percent rate over the next two quarters, he added.

If the bulls are right, EPS would grow 8.5 points faster than the economy (assuming 2.5 % real annual GDP growth plus 2 % inflation) for the next ten years, hitting over 16 % of national income by 2028.

Emerging markets also account for over 50 % of world GDP, and have been responsible for the lion's share of global growth ever since the 2008 financial crisis, but capital has flooded out of them as the Federal Reserve has tightened its monetary policy and the limits of China's economic model have become apparent.

«We're in a very positive situation economically, with more Canadians working, with a strong level of growth, and we'll continue to have an approach to fiscal conservatism that shows a declining debt - to - GDP over time,» said Morneau.

They find «the average real GDP growth rate for countries carrying a public debt - to - GDP ratio of over 90 percent is actually 2.2 percent, not -0.1 percent as [Reinhart - Rogoff claim].»

The Bank of Canada now projects that business «fixed» investment in things like infrastructure and equipment could spur GDP growth by 0.9 % this year, an increase over its previous projection of 0.6 %.

Because consumers are such a crucial driver of GDP, governments the world over have spent the last several years trying to coax consumers to open their wallets to fuel economic growth.

«China's economic growth has slowed over the past few years... but economic growth has rebounded this year, with GDP reaching 6.9 % in the first half, and may achieve 7 % in the second half,» Zhou was quoted as saying at the G30 International Banking Seminar in Washington on Sunday.

If GDP growth had not been artificially boosted by credit expansion, then it is hard to understand why Beijing has been trying urgently to get credit growth under control for over five years but has not even been able to prevent it from accelerating.

[2] Each quarter in the Statement on Monetary Policy, we publish forecasts for Australia's major trading partners» GDP growth, as well as Australia's terms of trade, GDP growth, unemployment rate and inflation over the next two - and - a-half years.

These, and other recent data, are consistent with the Reserve Bank's central scenario for GDP growth averaging around the 3 per cent mark over the next couple of years.

Growth in the Chinese economy has collapsed, but growth in economic activity has not collapsed (let us assume, with Grenville, that somehow the reduction in GDP growth from over 10 percent to 6.5 percent does not represent a slowdown in economic actiGrowth in the Chinese economy has collapsed, but growth in economic activity has not collapsed (let us assume, with Grenville, that somehow the reduction in GDP growth from over 10 percent to 6.5 percent does not represent a slowdown in economic actigrowth in economic activity has not collapsed (let us assume, with Grenville, that somehow the reduction in GDP growth from over 10 percent to 6.5 percent does not represent a slowdown in economic actigrowth from over 10 percent to 6.5 percent does not represent a slowdown in economic activity).

And over this period, GDP growth has averaged 2 3/4 per cent, higher than in most other advanced economies.

Overall, PDFP rose 2.2 percent over the past four quarters, above the 1.2 - percent growth in GDP over the same period.»

At longer horizons, the 6.3 % growth rate that we've assumed for nominal GDP over the coming years will begin to bail investors out given enough time, and as a result, our projection for 10 - year S&P 500 nominal total returns peeks its head up above zero, at about 2.4 % annually from current levels.

Labor market growth was viewed as consistent with above - trend growth of GDP over the previous two quarters.

As long as this government debt is rolled over continuously at non-repressed interest rates, which will be low as nominal GDP growth drops, China can rebalance the economy without a collapse in growth.

Over time this means that households will retain a growing share of China's total production of goods and services (at the expense of the elite, of course, who benefitted from subsidized borrowing costs) and so not only will they not be hurt by a sharp fall in GDP growth, but their consumption will increasingly drive growth and innovation in China.

Their studies were the basis of much of the austerity movement in Europe and the US, based on their claim that debt - to - GDP ratios over 90 % are linked to much slower economic growth.

While GDP growth in China has skyrocketed over the past several decades, it would seem difficult to argue that this has benefited the U.S. from a geopolitically.

Its gross domestic product (GDP) for the second quarter rose 6.9 percent over the same period last year, beating expectations and putting the country on track to meet the International Monetary Fund's 2017 growth forecast of 6.5 percent.

If you multiply China's GDP growth by its share of global GDP, you will find that Chinese growth over the last few years has comprised a larger share of global GDP growth than that of any other country.

Given present conditions, the range of potential GDP growth rates over the coming 4 - 8 year period is much more constrained than investors may recognize.

During her press coverage, Fed Chair Janet Yellen expressed doubt that the U.S. economy can grow much faster than 2 percent annually over the next couple of years, placing her squarely at odds with President Donald Trump, who campaigned on a pledge to boost GDP growth as much as 4 percent.