GISS ModelE is completely and totally deterministic.
@Igor (and VS in a way), According to MartinM over at Tamino's blog,
GISS ModelE output has a unit root.
This lack of «completeness» of the physics is my primary issue with AGW predictions — I am certain that climate models (at least the source code I've examined in
GISS ModelE) do not capture very important parts, namely clouds and evaporation effects as they are exceptionally dependent upon many factors that are too small to model.
We attempted to apply irrigation realistically in space and time to the land surface component of a global atmosphere general circulation model,
the GISS ModelE, allowing the model to compute explicitly the water and energy dynamics of the land surface.
The only data point that I have is the NASA /
GISS ModelE / ModelE1.
Marvel et al. cites Hansen 2005 in support, but that gives values for the earlier
GISS ModelE.
[3] It is thought to be similar to that in
GISS ModelE, which was estimated as ~ 0.07 W / m2 in 2000 relative to 1850 — only about a third of the unexplained excess.
FORTRAN 90 source and documentation for
the GISS ModelE series of coupled atmosphere - ocean models.
Koch, D., G.A. Schmidt, and C.V. Field, 2006: Sulfur, sea salt and radionuclide aerosols in
GISS ModelE.
; — RRB - Easy, I can safely say that the precautionary principle has not played any role in
GISS ModelE development.
The figure clearly shows that
the GISS ModelE computer model greatly overestimates the volcano cooling signature.
Indeed, in the supplement file I plot
the GISS ModelE signature of the volcano forcing alone against the same signature obtained with two proposed empirical models that extract the volcano signature directly from the temperature data themselves.
1 James Hanson et al., «Dangerous human - made interference with climate:
a GISS modelE study», Atmospheric Chemistry and Physics, 7, 2287 - 2312, 2007.
This climate modeling experiment was performed using
the GISS ModelE general circulation coupled atmosphere - ocean climate model by zeroing out all of the non-condensing greenhouse gases.
You can just go to the websites of
the GISS modelE or the CCSM and find the documentation of the models.
What methodology can we expect to see in the up - coming
GISS ModelE -LRB-?)
What Jo is referring to is the fact that the models (
GISS ModelE in particular) predicted far more heat in the upper ocean than has been observed: -
Will super-parameterization (i.e. a cloud resolving model) be implemented in the up - coming frozen ar5
GISS ModelE -LRB-?)
I also meant to say that Hansen et al 2005 had used the earlier
GISS ModelE; it is MEA15 that used
GISS ModelE2 (in the E2 - R NINT version).
The GISS ModelE supports a tracer capability where the global dispersion of local pollution or chemical isotopes can be studied in detail.
What I would find much more informative than a re-hash on your paper of one year ago would be a tutorial on how the mechanics of
the GISS ModelE works.
An outline of what the model is doing is described in the published model papers: e.g., Schmidt et al. (2006) for
GISS ModelE http://pubs.giss.nasa.gov/abs/sc05200y.html Also, the early Hansen et al. (1983) Model I & Model II http://pubs.giss.nasa.gov/abs/ha05900x.html All available from the GISS web page.
As the Director of GISS and Principal Investigator for
the GISS ModelE Earth System Model, I am interested in understanding past, present and future climate and the impacts of multiple drivers of climate change, including solar irradiance, atmospheric chemistry, aerosols, and greenhouse gases.
Data products and related images obtained from several climate simulations and ensembles using
the GISS ModelE.
Annual average surface pollutant responses (parts per trillion by volume, pptv) to 30 % reduction in North American industrial and power generation emissions (top, showing sulfate) and Developing Asian domestic fuel burning emissions (bottom, showing black carbon) in the NASA
GISS ModelE (left column) and the NCAR Community Atmospheric Model (right column).
Figure of 400 ppm calculated using fossil fuel emissions from G. Marland et al., «Global, Regional, and National CO2 Emissions,» in Trends: A Compendium of Data on Global Change (Oak Ridge, TN: Carbon Dioxide Information and Analysis Center, Oak Ridge National Laboratory, 2007), and land use change emissions from R. A. Houghton and J. L. Hackler, «Carbon Flux to the Atmosphere from Land - Use Changes,» in Trends: A Compendium of Data on Global Change (Oak Ridge, TN: Carbon Dioxide Information and Analysis Center, Oak Ridge National Laboratory, 2002), with decay curve cited in J. Hansen et al., «Dangerous Human - Made Interference with Climate:
A GISS ModelE Study,» Atmospheric Chemistry and Physics, vol.
To demonstrate why this is may be an overstatement, one can look at the results from
the GISS ModelE simulations for the 20th Century (illustrated here).
Schmidt, G.A., et al., 2006: Present day atmospheric simulations using
GISS ModelE: Comparison to in - situ, satellite and reanalysis data.
Not exact matches
For reference,
GISS -
ModelE had a sensitivity of 2.7 ºC, and
GISS - E2 has sensitivity of 2.4 ºC to 2.8 ºC depending on version.
For reference,
GISS -
ModelE had a sensitivity of 2.7 ºC, and
GISS - E2 has sensitivity of 2.4 ºC to 2.8 ºC depending on version.
Note that the bulk of current
GISS modeling efforts are performed using the
ModelE series.
We track each of these types within the global
GISS «
ModelE» aerosol model.
Did you even bother to download the
GISS GCM
ModelE code and read it?
A full description of the
ModelE version of the Goddard Institute for Space Studies (
GISS) Atmospheric General Circulation Model (GCM) and results are presented for present - day climate simulations (c. 1979).