Animation 1 compares
the GISS land surface air temperature trends to UAH lower troposphere temperature trends over land for the period of 1979 to 2012.
Not exact matches
However, the CRU global mean combined
land air / sea
surface temperature estimates for Jan - Aug 2005 lag behind the 1998 annual mean estimate by 0.08 C (0.50 C vs. 58C for 1998) while
GISS indicates a lag of 0.02 C.
So the infilled
GISS data, which extends out over the Arctic, would show the greater warming since the 1970s... until the warming stops for Northern Hemisphere sea
surface temperatures and for the low - to - mid latitude
land surface air temperatures.
This is likely caused, in part, by
GISS masking sea
surface temperature data in the polar oceans and replacing it with
land surface air temperature data, which is naturally more volatile.
Blue points: the
GISS 1999
land + sea global
surface air temperature record.
Cowtan and Way argued several years ago that much of the apparent discrepancy in trends at
surface arose because the most common
temperature series (HadCRUT4,
GISS etc) spliced
air temperature over
land with sea
surface temperatures.
Figure 6 shows the global
land surface air temperature plus sea
surface temperature anomalies (average of
GISS LOTI, HADCRUT4 and NCDC datasets, like The Escalator) before, during and after the 1997/98 El Niño.