When scientists
use climate models for attribution studies, they first run simulations with estimates of only «natural» climate influences over the past 100 years, such as changes in solar output and major volcanic eruptions.
Now Dorian Abbot and Raymond Pierrehumbert of the University of Chicago have
used climate models to study how dust from volcanoes and the weathering of rocks would affect the thaw.
But scientists from the Universities of Bristol, Cardiff, and Southampton have gone one stage further, by
using a Climate Model to simulate and explore the climate of the world of Game of Thrones.
Pinyon jay: flight to nowhere Johnson and his team
used climate models to study the relationship between each target species and the vegetation it uses for food resources, which is affected by shifts in temperature and precipitation.
To assess how future heat waves might affect air travel, researchers
used climate models to estimate hour - by - hour temperatures throughout the year at 19 particularly busy airports in the United States, Europe, the Middle East, China, and South Asia for the period between 2060 and 2080.
The next step, Fabel says, is to
use climate models to see whether the events would replay themselves if global warming shuts down the Atlantic conveyor once again.
This time, no return to cooler period Tim Barnett, a climatologist at Scripps Institution of Oceanography, said the new results appear to agree with his earlier work that
used climate models to show humans» greenhouse gas emissions have contributed to declining snowpack in the western United States.
Firstly,
they used the climate models to see how accurately they could simulate the ARs that occurred between 1980 and 2005.
Climatologist Stephen Sitch of the Met Office Hadley Centre for Climate Prediction and Research in Exeter, England, and his colleagues
used a climate model to examine the impact of rising O3 levels.
«It is difficult to
use climate models to study hurricane activity, and so studies such as ours, which produced a record of storms under different climate conditions, are important for our understanding of future storm activity,» Denniston said.
«It's an evolution in our ability to
use climate models to make predictions, particularly on timescales of a few decades,» says McKinley, also an affiliate of the Center for Climatic Research at UW - Madison's Nelson Institute for Environmental Studies.
Then
they used the climate models to simulate by how much ocean heat content has risen since the 1970s.
Using climate models to understand the physical processes that were at play during the glacial periods, the team were able to show that a gradual rise in CO2 strengthened the trade winds across Central America by inducing an El Nino - like warming pattern with stronger warming in the East Pacific than the Western Atlantic.
Trenberth says, and some scientists agree, that attribution studies that
use climate models do not work well for weather events that are local and dynamic — a flash in the pan.
For
that they use climate modeling, which relies on good data.
Using climate models to project into the future, the team found the amount of time increased temperatures are expected to strip the air of moisture could up to double by the 2080s.
The researchers
used a climate model, a so - called coupled ocean - atmosphere model, which they forced with the observed wind data of the last decades.
Using climate models and tree physiological data, researchers forecast a near - complete annihilation of evergreens in the southwest by the year 2100.
An unprecedented experiment So how does this finding negate the suggestion that «unknown unknown» climate factors might influence a warmer world, making it nearly impossible to simulate the future
using climate models?
Using climate modeling techniques, the scientists found no consensus regarding whether the blizzard could be attributed to a changing climate.
So Nerem and his team
used climate models to account for the volcanic effects and other datasets to determine the ENSO effects, ultimately uncovering the underlying sea - level rate and acceleration over the last quarter century.
Garner and her team
used climate models to simulate the paths of future hurricanes and what size storm surges they will produce.
Using climate models at the Laboratoire de Météorologie Dynamique, François Forget (CNRS) and Martin Turbet (UPMC) show that, with a cold climate and an atmosphere denser than it is today, ice accumulated at around latitude 25 ° S, in regions corresponding to the sources of now dry river beds.
By
using climate models to simulate what air pollution was like in 1850 and 2000, Jason West at the University of North Carolina at Chapel Hill and his colleagues have estimated its effect on current death rates.
Simulations
using a climate model showed that several large, closely spaced eruptions could have cooled the Northern Hemisphere enough to spark sea - ice growth and the subsequent feedback loop.
Using climate models and data collected about aerosols and meteorology over the past 30 years, the researchers found that air pollution over Asia — much of it coming from China — is impacting global air circulations.
Extreme - weather researcher Daniel Swain and associate professor Noah Diffenbaugh ran simulations
using climate models.
There are two possibilities: 1)
using a climate model, this implies a perfect knowledge of all involved climatic mechanisms, and nobody has such a knowledge yet; 2) use a simpler phenomenological approach.
Research
using climate models suggests that the combined effects of higher temperatures and lower oxygen will drive many marine animals away from their current habitats to areas with more oxygen, according to in a recent press release...
Now, scientists at Pacific Northwest National Laboratory, Caltech and Lancaster University have established a technique
using climate models to compare the factors to the effects they have on climate change by peering into climate models from a different angle.
Spread of emissions from the Fukushima nuclear power plant accident modelled
using climate models
A study published earlier this year and led by Prestemon
used both climate models and projections of societal changes, like population growth and development, to look at how they might impact wildfire projections.
Keen not to jump to conclusions about the source of the warming in the early 1830s, Abram and her colleagues
used climate models to examine what kinds of external factors could be responsible.
One looked at the historical temperature record and compared how often such severe heat waves occurred a century ago versus today using 3 - day averages; the other
used climate models that simulate a world with and without warming to see how the odds of such an event shifted.
The study
uses climate modelling to predict three possible futures - the low, medium and high impact scenarios, which describe the severity of outcomes that could be expected in a changed climate.
RICHLAND, Wash. —
Using a climate model that can tag sources of soot from different global regions and can track where it lands on the Tibetan Plateau, researchers have determined which areas around the plateau contribute the most soot — and where.
They use climate models to understand likely changes in the future and the uncertainty associated with those predictions, and explain their findings using such popular indicates as the Palmer drought index.
If we had done a simple back - of - the - envelope estimate, surely someone would have criticized us for not
using a climate model... Besides we also looked into regional patterns and the sea - ice response in our paper, something one can not do without a climate model.
[Response: I wasn't trying to suggest that tacit knowledge was some kind of opinion that all scientists must agree with, but rather it is the shared background that, say, everyone
using climate models has — i.e. why we use initial condition ensembles, how we decide that a change in the code is significant, what data comparisons are appropriate etc..
Indeed, similar conclusions have been reached in earlier work
using climate model projections (e.g. Yoshimura et al., 2006, J. Meteorol.
«Numerous experiments have been conducted
using climate models to determine the likely causes of the 20th - century climate change.
From reading the paragraph, I conclude that prediction of climate
using climate models is similar to prediction of river flood levels using hydrologic models.
Thus there is no rational justification for
using climate model forecasts to determine public policy,» he added.
Reason being: those companies
use climate models to identify the likely current locations where ancient sedimentary basins originally formed that collected the organic material that eventually, with time, climate change, sediment accumulation and continental drift, became petroleum reservoirs.
One way to estimate this is to
use climate models.
As I understand it (perhaps incorrectly), Dr. Emanuel
used climate models supporting the IPCC conclusions, and he added to the models some code that generated tropical cyclones where conditions were favorable.
Updated, 3:10 p.m.
Using climate models and observations, a fascinating study in this week's issue of Nature Climate Change points to a marked recent warming of the Atlantic Ocean as a powerful shaper of a host of notable changes in climate and ocean patterns in the last couple of decades — including Pacific wind, sea level and ocean patterns, the decade - plus hiatus in global warming and even California's deepening drought.
Once we have used real observations to understand the probability in the historical record, then we can
use climate models to compare the probability in the current climate (in which global warming has occurred) with a climate in which there was no human - caused global warming.
In the rekognition of the uncertainties, the IPCC Good - Practice - Guidance - Paper on
using climate model results offers some wise advice (first bullet point under section 3.5 on p. 10): the local climate change scenarios should be based on (i) historical change, (ii) process change (e.g. changes in the driving circulation), (iii) global climate change projected by GCMs, and (iv) downscaled projected change.
The analysis also follows the advice in the IPCC Good - Practice - Guidance - Paper on
using climate model results: the local climate change scenarios should be based on (i) historical change, (ii) process change (e.g. changes in the driving circulation), (iii) global climate change projected by GCMs, and (iv) downscaled projected change.