Can the Last
Glacial Maximum constrain climate sensitivity?
Not exact matches
At the last
glacial maximum we know the forcings to a W / m2 or two, but the signal is large (~ 6 deg C) so the response / forcing ratio is relatively well
constrained.
In particular, Annan and Hargreaves (2006) used a Bayesian statistical approach that combines information from both 20th century observations and from last
glacial maximum data to produce an estimate of climate sensitivity that is much better
constrained than by either set of observations alone (see our post on this, here).
The Last
Glacial Maximum (i.e. the most recent «ice age», abbreviated LGM) probably provides the best opportunity for using the past to
constrain climate sensitivity.
Here we present a new approach for
constraining this key uncertainty by combining ensemble simulations of the last
glacial maximum (LGM) with paleo - data.