Since hurricane intensity and detection data is problematic as one goes back in time, when reporting and observing practices were different than today, it is possible that we underestimated
global hurricane energy during the 1970s.
The North Atlantic only represents a 1/10 to 1/8 of
global hurricane energy output on average but deservedly so demands disproportionate media attention due to the devastating societal impacts of recent major hurricane landfalls.
The notion that the overall
global hurricane energy or ACE has collapsed does not contradict the recent climate change / TC linkage literature but provides an additional, perhaps less publicized piece of the puzzle.
Not exact matches
On Sandy Anniversary, the Green Party calls for Full Employment through Climate Action By Howie Hawkins, Green Party Candidate for Governor On the second anniversary of
Hurricane Sandy, New York needs to become a world leader in taking action on
global warming by committing to a 100 % clean
energy economy within 15 years.
On the second anniversary of
Hurricane Sandy, New York needs to become a world leader in taking action on
global warming by committing to a 100 % clean
energy economy within 15 years.
Cyclone
Energy) outcome for this year's
hurricane season) the world will not tolerate any further economic impacts, a la Hansen, while a
global credit crunch and potential recession are in the wings.
• Anyone who doubts that the threat of large
hurricanes is still being used as part of
global warming campaigns should look no further than the energy and climate platform of a presidential candidate [pdf alert], who writes, «Global warming is real, is happening now and is the result of human activ
global warming campaigns should look no further than the
energy and climate platform of a presidential candidate [pdf alert], who writes, «
Global warming is real, is happening now and is the result of human activ
Global warming is real, is happening now and is the result of human activities.
The recent
energy price shocks from
Hurricane Katrina remind us of the need to conserve to help the victims, and reduce our dependency on oil,» explained
Global Green President Matt Petersen.
Using a well - accepted metric called the Accumulated Cyclone
Energy index or ACE for short (Bell and Chelliah 2006), which has been used by Klotzbach (2006) and Emanuel (2005)(PDI is analogous to ACE), and most recently by myself in Maue (2009), simple analysis shows that 24 - month running sums of global ACE or hurricane energy have plummeted to levels not seen in 30
Energy index or ACE for short (Bell and Chelliah 2006), which has been used by Klotzbach (2006) and Emanuel (2005)(PDI is analogous to ACE), and most recently by myself in Maue (2009), simple analysis shows that 24 - month running sums of
global ACE or
hurricane energy have plummeted to levels not seen in 30
energy have plummeted to levels not seen in 30 years.
While it is true that one published report indicates decreasing
global accumulated cyclone
energy (ACE), that report was based on a
hurricane data set known to have strong biases outside the North Atlantic region.
Indeed, the very strong interannual variability of
global hurricane ACE (
energy) highly correlated to ENSO, suggests that the role of tropical cyclones in climate is modulated very strongly by the big movers and shakers in large - scale,
global climate.
tropical cyclones, climate change,
global warming, extreme weather,
hurricanes, typhoons, trend analysis, general linear model, applied statistics, accumulated cyclone
energy, ACE index, cyclone activity, trend analysis
With respect to
hurricane intensity, there are observed trends indicating this and model results predicting this, and while there are problems in each (data problems with
hurricanes, coarse resolution in
global models, etc.), theoretical arguments also make clear that there will be more
energy and water vapor available in the atmosphere to cause more intense
hurricanes, so a very strong case can be made for this happening.
Deep moist atmospheric convection controls the development of major weather systems like
hurricanes, drives the
global transport of
energy within the climate system and strongly influences the uncertainty of projected climate change.
-- Muller believes humans are changing climate with CO2 emissions — humans have been responsible for «most» of a 0.4 C warming since 1957, almost none of the warming before then — IPCC is in trouble due to sloppy science, exaggerated predictions; chairman will have to resign — the «Climategate» mails were not «hacked» — they were «leaked» by an insider — due to «hide the decline» deception, Muller will not read any future papers by Michael Mann — there has been no increase in
hurricanes or tornadoes due to
global warming — automobiles are insignificant in overall picture — China is the major CO2 producer, considerably more than USA today — # 1 priority for China is growth of economy —
global warming is not considered important — China CO2 efficiency (GDP per ton CO2) is around one - fourth of USA today, has much room for improvement — China growth will make per capita CO2 emissions at same level as USA today by year 2040 — if it is «not profitable» it is «not sustainable» — US
energy future depends on shale gas for automobiles; hydrogen will not be a factor — nor will electric cars, due to high cost — Muller is upbeat on nuclear (this was recorded pre-Fukushima)-- there has been no warming in the USA — Muller was not convinced of Hansen's GISS temperature record; hopes BEST will provide a better record.
It will also be interesting to see plaintiffs explain this graph of accumulated cyclone
energy in the light of their theory that man - made
global warming is increasing
hurricane strengths and frequencies (ACE is a sort of integration of
hurricane and tropical storm strengths over time).
So while CO2 levels are higher, the
global energy associated with
hurricanes is unchanged.
By co-incidence, at typical Atlantic
hurricane generates wind
energy at a rate comparable to
global electrical generation capacity.
Polar albedo changes,
hurricanes, ocean dynamics, forest feedbacks, soil chemistry, boundary layer physics,
global solar
energy fluxes, cloud feedbacks, etc..
CHICAGO (JUNE 13, 2013) Speaking to a
global audience at the 2013 Clinton Global Initiative America (CGI America) meeting, Global Green USA today announced its Commitment to Action to implement its catalytic «Solar For Sandy «program, which will equip five or more community facilities serving low income residents in New York and New Jersey neighborhoods devastated by Hurricane Sandy with grid - tied, back - up solar energy sy
global audience at the 2013 Clinton
Global Initiative America (CGI America) meeting, Global Green USA today announced its Commitment to Action to implement its catalytic «Solar For Sandy «program, which will equip five or more community facilities serving low income residents in New York and New Jersey neighborhoods devastated by Hurricane Sandy with grid - tied, back - up solar energy sy
Global Initiative America (CGI America) meeting,
Global Green USA today announced its Commitment to Action to implement its catalytic «Solar For Sandy «program, which will equip five or more community facilities serving low income residents in New York and New Jersey neighborhoods devastated by Hurricane Sandy with grid - tied, back - up solar energy sy
Global Green USA today announced its Commitment to Action to implement its catalytic «Solar For Sandy «program, which will equip five or more community facilities serving low income residents in New York and New Jersey neighborhoods devastated by
Hurricane Sandy with grid - tied, back - up solar
energy systems.
Perhaps
global warming might add 10 % of
energy to a
hurricane, and it's just that extra 10 % that make the dykes break.
Finally, I think what the media really want to know when they ask about Katrina and
global warming is whether the connection is «significant», and I don't think there's consensus there, partly as Gavin says, that's a matter of semantics, partly it's a genuine disagreement as to how important
global warming is where
hurricanes are concerned compared to other factors, and how «significant» an argument the influence of
global warming on
hurricanes is for deciding
energy policy.
* hope that the scientists forecasting low temperature rise are correct, * start mitigation programs (much of which are necessary anyway, such as preparation of the US East coast for rising sea levels (necessary anyway to prepare for normal
hurricane impacts) * crash fund climate research — rather than the underfunded, uncoordinated work done today — to better predict and prepare, * crash fund
energy research, * push use of alternatives (I don't expect much from this), * take steps to crash the
global economy — the alarmists recommendation, which I reject.
I examined the analysis fields of the
Global Forecast System (GFS) and found that somewhat surprisingly, the Convective Available Potential
Energy (CAPE) within
hurricanes, while positive, is quite low compared to average thunderstorm conditions over the US in spring and summer.
Fifth Circuit grants rehearing en banc of lawsuit alleging that the operation of
energy, fossil fuels, and chemical industries caused the emission of greenhouse gasses that contributed to
global warming, resulting in the harms caused by
Hurricane Katrina: Nine judges participated in last week's order granting rehearing en banc.