Not exact matches
Mr. Cuccinelli is well known
for his harassment of Michael Mann, a climate scientist vilified by industry apologists
for creating the «Hockey Stick»
graph illustrating the increase of average
global temperature measurements over the last millennium.
Temperature changes relative to the corresponding average
for 1901 - 1950 (°C) from decade to decade from 1906 to 2005 over the Earth's continents, as well as the entire globe,
global land area and the
global ocean (lower
graphs).
According to the latest
global satellite data courtesy of the University of Alabama in Huntsville and made into an easy to read
graph by algorelied.com: «
For the record, this month's Al Gore / «An Inconvenient Truth» Index indicates that
global temperatures have plunged approximately.74 °F -LRB-.39 °C) since Gore's film was released,» noted algorelied.com.
Given how much yelling takes place on the Internet, talk radio, and elsewhere over short - term cool and hot spells in relation to
global warming, I wanted to find out whether anyone had generated a decent decades - long
graph of
global temperature trends accounting
for, and erasing, the short - term up - and - down flickers from the cyclical shift in the tropical Pacific Ocean known as the El Niño — Southern Oscillation, or ENSO, cycle.
The same holds
for the specific
global mean EIV
temperature reconstruction used in the present study as shown in the
graph below (interestingly, eliminating the proxies in question actually makes the reconstruction overall slightly cooler prior to AD 1000, which — as noted in the article — would actually bring the semi-empirical sea level estimate into closer agreement with the sea level reconstruction prior to AD 1000).
Further evidence of the crucial importance of El Niño is that after correcting the
global temperature data
for the effect of ENSO and solar cycles by a simple correlation analysis, you get a steady warming trend without any recent slowdown (see next
graph and Foster and Rahmstorf 2011).
Here is a new
graph I plotted
for the
global mean
temperature trends of the 20th century = > http://bit.ly/MkdC0k
OK, so apart from the Hockey stick
graph, the disappearance of the Himalayan glaciers, the melting of summer Arctic sea ice, the lack of hurricane activity, the erroneous relationship between malaria and
global warming, the resilience of corals, the obstinacy of Tuvalu and the Maldives to disappear to the sea, the manipulation of instrumental
temperature data... (Gasp
for breath!)
First of all, we all owe Joe Romm thanks
for being quick to draw up the natural extension to the Marcott et al.
graph showing the consensus picture of the near future
global temperature in the light of this new result:
The below
graph comes from a new
global temperature trend study that compares different established datasets
for land and ocean
temperature.
It showed, if I remember correctly, how a pretty good correlation between calculated and actual
global average
temperatures could be obtained
for the last century using the NASA
graphs of various forcings, here: http://data.giss.nasa.gov/modelforce/RadF.gif
I've
graphed PDO and ENSO against
global temperature data numerous ways and my results agree with Mr. D'Aleo's
for the most part.
As
for F&R, I just overlaid the F&R ENSO
global temperature influence
graph over the top of the natural internal variability only
graph 1B.
Perhaps the best way
for regular folks like us to counter the damage done is that anytime Marcott et al is mentioned, to always refer to the Marcott et al
graph as this version below, along with the quote from their FAQs since the uptick «is not statistically robust, can not be considered representative of
global temperature changes»:
As I look at the
global mean
temperature trend
for the 20th century, I see a cyclical pattern as shown in the following
graph.
The interesting thing is PDO in this
graph appears to have predictive skill
for changes in
global temperature — the changes in PDO appear to match...
Reader Eric Worrall writes: I was playing with Wood
For Trees, looking at the relationship between Pacific Decadal Oscillation vs
global temperature (Hadcrut 4), when the following
graph appeared.
If you look at a
graph of a trend and see a line flattening out you
for a short period of time — as we have seen in the past with
global temperatures — then you know that you're looking at the effects of noise in a trend.
The scientists» main approach was simple: to look at solar output and cosmic ray intensity over the last 30 - 40 years, and compare those trends with the
graph for global average surface
temperature.
If you used 1880 to 1909 as the base years
for a
global temperature anomaly
graph, most of the data would be above zero.
The «hockey stick»
graph was touted by
global warming alarmists as evidence of rapidly rising
temperatures and as justification
for government action to curb carbon dioxide emissions.
The lines on the
graph represent a central estimate of
global average
temperature rise (relative to the 1901 - 1960 average)
for the two main scenarios used in this report.
I still laugh out loud every time I see a
graph purporting to show the average
global temperature to within a 1 / 10th of a degree
for 1850.
On the Guardian's forums, you'll find endless claims that the hockey stick
graph of
global temperatures has been debunked; that sunspots are largely responsible
for current
temperature changes; that the world's glaciers are advancing; that
global warming theory depends entirely on computer models; that most climate scientists in the 1970s were predicting a new ice age.
For detailed evidence with
graphs see Relationship of Multidecadal
Global Temperatures to Multidecadal Ocean Oscillations Ch.
2) The
global mean
temperature (GMT) has never exceeded its upper boundary line
for long
for the last 160 years as shown in the above
graph.
For each dataset, two
graphs will be displayed: the most recent 60 months of
global temperature anomalies, and the most recent 120 months.
txt From Ray Bradley «The
graph patches together 3 things: Mann et al NH mean annual temps + 2 sigma standard error
for AD1000 - 1980, + instrumental data
for 1981 - 1998 + IPCC («do not quote, do not cite» projections
for GLOBAL temperature for the next 100 years, relative to 1998.»
What is a 4th grade Science teacher (or a 12th grade AP physics teacher) going to do if one of her students asks what it means
for Figure 1C of the Marcott
graph given the recent caveat: «20th century portion of our paleotemperature stack is not statistically robust, can not be considered representative of
global temperature changes, and therefore is not the basis of any of our conclusions.»
They included the following nifty
graph, with the observed surface
temperature but also the eventually expected
temperature at the corresponding CO2 concentration (which they dub the» real
global temperature»), based on different approaches to account
for warming in the pipeline:
On the Guardian's forums, you'll find endless claims that thehockeystick
graph of
global temperatures has been debunked; that sunspots are largely responsible
for current
temperature changes; that the world's glaciers are advancing; that
global warming theory depends entirely on computer models; that most climate scientists in the 1970s were predicting a new ice age.
The Nobel Prize
for this should go to Al Gore's 2006 film showing Michael Mann's
graph — which ends just short of AD2000, as
global temperatures started to plateau.
UPDATE:
Graph was flawed, but northern hemisphere did breach 2 degrees Just two days ago we had our («mildest» /» warmest» /» hottest ever recorded») winter update, based on the surpassing
global temperature records
for December, January — and the preliminary data
for February.
(Of course, your
graph is somewhat compressed, so we know curve smoothing aside, the
global temperature did on occasion in this Domain drop below that mark, however we can consider these outliers
for the moment.)
The correct interpretation is that the
global mean
temperature (GMT),
for the last 130 years, from 1880 to 2010, has oscillated like a pendulum between the upper and lower GMT boundary lines, with the
global warming trend line as the neutral position of the pendulum, as shown in the following
graph.
In the first IPCC report there was a
graph of estimated
global temperatures for the last two centuries.
I recall more than one guest lecture at our physics department's Centre
for Global Change Studies displaying a
graph of spectral analysis of
temperature histories, with data from multiple time scale sources including thermometer records, ice core data, etc..
Which in fact Monckton's argument — if you read his response to John Abraham, specifically regarding the
graph comparing
global temperatures in the last decade against IPCC projections, he admits that the «IPCC» trend shown in his
graph is greater than that
for the IPCC's A2 scenario which it apparently represents, but explains that away by saying that essentially the IPCC got its sums wrong.
I'm under the impression that its immediate replacement wouldn't be a new clean historical
global temperature curve suitable
for pretty
graphs.
You cite no source
for it, but it closely resembles the
global temperature graph in the first edition of Martin Durkin's film The Great Global Warming Sw
global temperature graph in the first edition of Martin Durkin's film The Great
Global Warming Sw
Global Warming Swindle.