Global atmospheric temperatures as well as atmospheric CO2 have been gradually and erratically falling for significant portions of Earth's history, but not in unison.
Not exact matches
It is entirely likely that causes such
as fluctuations in the sun's intensity and volcanic eruptions may have contributed to a change in the
global atmospheric temperature.
For their part, though,
global warming skeptics such
as atmospheric physicist Fred Singer maintain that cold weather snaps are responsible for more human deaths than warm
temperatures and heat waves.
Their findings, based on output from four
global climate models of varying ocean and
atmospheric resolution, indicate that ocean
temperature in the U.S. Northeast Shelf is projected to warm twice
as fast
as previously projected and almost three times faster than the
global average.
The bad news is that such record - breaking downpours, blizzards and sleet storms are likely to continue to get worse
as atmospheric greenhouse gas concentrations continue to rise, causing
global temperatures to continue to warm and making the atmosphere more and more humid.
I understand that
global surface
temperatures are not responding
as rapidly
as they should be when the
atmospheric models are considered.
For
as much
as atmospheric temperatures are rising, the amount of energy being absorbed by the planet is even more striking when one looks into the deep oceans and the change in the
global heat content (Figure 4).
The CDR potential and possible environmental side effects are estimated for various COA deployment scenarios, assuming olivine
as the alkalinity source in ice ‐ free coastal waters (about 8.6 % of the
global ocean's surface area), with dissolution rates being a function of grain size, ambient seawater
temperature, and pH. Our results indicate that for a large ‐ enough olivine deployment of small ‐ enough grain sizes (10 µm),
atmospheric CO2 could be reduced by more than 800 GtC by the year 2100.
First let's define the «equilibrium climate sensitivity»
as the «equilibrium change in
global mean surface
temperature following a doubling of the
atmospheric (equivalent) CO2 concentration.
Despite your insistence otherwise, you evince at best a shallow understanding of basic principles of climate science (hint: while radiative forcing is known to be at least partially controlled by
atmospheric CO2, no «natural», i.e. internal source of variability has been demonstrated that could drive a
global temperature trend for half a century),
as well
as an inability to recognize genuine expertise.
As the authors point out, even if the whole story comes down to precipitation changes which favor ablation, the persistence of these conditions throughout the 20th century still might be an indirect effect of
global warming, via the remote effect of sea surface
temperature on
atmospheric circulation.
I understand that
global surface
temperatures are not responding
as rapidly
as they should be when the
atmospheric models are considered.
If the
global atmospheric CO2 content continues to increase exponentially,
as it will, and
temperatures remain static, how many reports must pass before the IPCC reduce their confidence in AGW?
It is no coincidence that shifts in ocean and
atmospheric indices occur at the same time
as changes in the trajectory of
global surface
temperature.
If the
global atmospheric CO2 content continues to increase exponentially,
as it will, and
temperatures remain static, how many decades must pass before the IPCC reduce their confidence in AGW?
We collectively need to demand that there is no acceptable response to climate change other than strong emission reductions, ensuring that
atmospheric concentrations of CO2 are returned to 350ppm levels,
global temperature rise is kept (at the maximum) 2 °C and, even better, 1.5 °C — to do that,
as was emphasized on numerous occasions, we need a F.A.B. climate deal: Fair, Ambitious, and (perhaps most importantly) Binding.
Yu Kosaka & Shang - Ping Xie,
as published in Nature (http://www.nature.com/nature/journal/v501/n7467/full/nature12534.html): «Despite the continued increase in
atmospheric greenhouse gas concentrations, the annual - mean
global temperature has not risen in the twenty - first century1, challenging the prevailing view that anthropogenic forcing causes climate warming.»
It seems to me, in my lay understanding, that climate change is likely to be expressed
as increased average
global temperature plus increased mechanical energy in oceanic and
atmospheric currents.
As that happens, the underlying global warming driver will be progressively loosing its energy sink, and not only will we see ocean rise, but a progressive escalation in the rate of atmospheric temperature rise as wel
As that happens, the underlying
global warming driver will be progressively loosing its energy sink, and not only will we see ocean rise, but a progressive escalation in the rate of
atmospheric temperature rise
as wel
as well.
Redistribution of heat (such
as vertical transport between the surface and the deeper ocean) could cause some surface and
atmospheric temperature change that causes some
global average warming or cooling.
You may now understand why
global temperature, i.e. ocean heat content, shows such a strong correlation with
atmospheric CO2 over the last 800,000 years —
as shown in the ice core records.
The researchers found that reefs in the warmest part of the Pacific Ocean — holding some of the most diverse coral arrays on Earth — have not been adversely affected
as global ocean and
atmospheric temperatures have risen since 1980.
The release of this trapped methane is a potential major outcome of a rise in
temperature; it is thought that this is a main factor in the
global warming of 6 °C that happened during the end - Permian extinction
as methane is much more powerful
as a greenhouse gas than carbon dioxide (despite its
atmospheric lifetime of around 12 years, it has a
global warming potential of 72 over 20 years and 25 over 100 years).
In the same tone
as the last post regarding
atmospheric contaminants, have to wonder whether an era of widespread constant combustion across the globe, and all the waste heat from that combustion, would have any effect on the
global mean
temperature.
Interestingly, only during the Late Cambrian / Early Ordovician and Late Carboniferous were
global temperatures as LOW
as they are today... and with
atmospheric CO2 concentrations in the Cambrian - Ordovician
as high
as 4400 ppm.
«Climate sensitivity» remains a subject of intense investigation, and what counts
as hellish is a matter of judgment, but United Nations climate negotiators have settled on a goal to limit
atmospheric carbon dioxide to 450 parts per million, which would cause the
global mean
temperature to peak no more than 3.6 °F above preindustrial levels.
It has a miscule effect and was used by realclimate
as a get out of jail clause because they knew the oceans dominate
atmospheric global temperatures.
The authors conclude that minimum
temperatures should no longer be used
as a proxy for
global atmospheric warming.
Measuring the
atmospheric temperature without standardising the pressure gives little information that would help to assess
global energy of the atmosphere
As far as I can make out, one Bar of pressure equates to 3 degrees C roughly, So the range of variation in either would significantly relate to the othe
As far
as I can make out, one Bar of pressure equates to 3 degrees C roughly, So the range of variation in either would significantly relate to the othe
as I can make out, one Bar of pressure equates to 3 degrees C roughly, So the range of variation in either would significantly relate to the other.
The
global average
temperature is already approximately 0.8 °C above its preindustrial level, and present
atmospheric levels of greenhouse gases will contribute to further warming of 0.5 — 1 °C
as equilibrium is re-established.
«Instead of the above definition of λ, the
global climate sensitivity can also be expressed
as the
temperature change ΔTx2, following a doubling of the
atmospheric CO2 content.
You could argue to use 288 K
as a
global mean surface
temperature which gives about 6.5 percent, or colder
temperatures still, reflecting
atmospheric temperatures where the RH remains fixed.
I can't believe I am saying this,
as the media covergae of climate change is almost universally appalling BUT I think part of the problem is that we,
as the scientific community allowed the message / meme to permeate that media that «warming» was purely an
atmospheric temperature phenomena to be assessed solely by average
global temperatures.
And
as to his claim that there may be «places around the world where
global warming will lead to less crop success and yield, even when taking into account the carbon dioxide fertilization effect,» he appears to be equally ignorant that rising levels of
atmospheric CO2 tend to raise the
temperature of optimum plant photosynthesis beyond the predicted
temperature values associated with
global warming, effectively nullifying this worn out claim (Idso & Idso, 2011).
Nor does it seem a coincidence that shifts in ocean and
atmospheric indices occur at the same time
as changes in the trajectory of
global surface
temperature.
-- Susan Solomon, Nature The Long Thaw is written for anyone who wishes to know what cutting - edge science tells us about the modern issue of
global warming and its effects on the pathways of
atmospheric chemistry,
as well
as global and regional
temperatures, rainfall, sea level, Arctic sea - ice coverage, melting of the continental ice sheets, cyclonic storm frequency and intensity and ocean acidification.
Besides these thousands of thermometer readings from weather stations around the world, there are many other clear indicators of
global warming such
as rising ocean
temperatures, sea level, and
atmospheric humidity, and declining snow cover, glacier mass, and sea ice.
Carlin's report argued that the information the EPA was using was out of date, and that even
as atmospheric carbon dioxide levels have increased,
global temperatures have declined.
It is defined
as the change in
global mean surface
temperature at equilibrium that is caused by a doubling of the
atmospheric CO2 concentration.
Indeed, for the impartial spectator, it is hard to figure out, how the Lambda, the Watts, the 3; 3.7 relation to
temperature, the 1.6 Watts / sqm of total
global RF (radiative forcing) for the time period (also labelled
as total anthopogenic forcing) 1750 - 2000, the share of Watts / sqm for each
atmospheric constituent, and
global temperature intertwine and produce a senseful scientific meaning.
If one looks over the past half century one would expect to find that,
as a result of the clearly measured increase in
atmospheric CO2, the
Global Temperature is warming.
The international agreements forming the IPCC and the UNFCCC were designed to prevent greenhouse gas warming of the atmosphere, and
as those agreements were hammered out, two American scientists, Roy Spencer and John Christy, developed a method that uses data collected from weather satellites to produce science's first comprehensive measure of
global atmospheric temperatures.
For
as much
as atmospheric temperatures are rising, the amount of energy being absorbed by the planet is even more striking when one looks into the deep oceans and the change in the
global heat content (Figure 4).
Type 3 dynamic downscaling takes lateral boundary conditions from a
global model prediction forced by specified real world surface boundary conditions, such
as for seasonal weather predictions based on observed sea surface
temperatures, but the initial observed
atmospheric conditions in the
global model are forgotten.
So how our environmental future plays out now is that
as the poles melt, the ocean heats, and water surface area increases,
atmospheric H2O skyrockets and some time later
as the
temperature passes through 4 deg C heading for 5 deg C
global temperature rise, the ocean currents start to stall.
And we also know that the correlation between
global average
temperature and
atmospheric CO2 is statistically not very robust, so that something else must also «be at work» to cause the gradual warming (or «slow thaw»,
as you've dubbed it).
Working with a total of 2,196 globally - distributed databases containing observations of NPP,
as well
as the five environmental variables thought to most impact NPP trends (precipitation, air
temperature, leaf area index, fraction of photosynthetically active radiation, and
atmospheric CO2 concentration), Li et al. analyzed the spatiotemporal patterns of
global NPP over the past half century (1961 — 2010).
So the percentage of the CO2 emitted by humans, which «remains» in the atmosphere, is shrinking
as atmospheric concentrations
as well
as global temperatures are rising.
[Equilibrium] climate sensitivity is defined
as the increase in
global mean surface
temperature (GMST), once the ocean has reached equilibrium, resulting from a doubling of the equivalent
atmospheric CO2 concentration, being the concentration of CO2 that would cause the same radiative forcing
as the given mixture of CO2 and other forcing components.
The
global surface is set up
as a grid with several dozen vertical layers to resolve the
atmospheric temperature structure.