Sentences with phrase «global change scenarios»

Thus, it is essential to consider the conditions in study species» habitats when applying global change scenarios to experimental designs, and in assessing how local baseline levels of temperature, pH / pCO2 and carbonate mineral saturation may change in a future ocean [24,26,39].

1998: Global Change Scenarios of the 21 st Century.

«An instrument for building global change scenarios», in J. Alcamo, R. Leemans, and E. Kreileman, (eds.)

, Global change scenarios of the 21st century: Results from the IMAGE 2.1 model

Not exact matches

Instability will lead to global conflict, and that in turn may lead to what in a 2007 essay he referred to as» secular apocalypse» — total extinction of the human race through either thermonuclear war, biological contagion, unchecked climate change, or an array of competing Armageddon scenarios.

It modeled the implications for the company of a requirement for emissions to decline to levels consistent with a so - called «2 °C world» after 2030 and also looked at a number of alternative scenarios based on divergent ranges in global growth and trade, geopolitics, technological innovation and responses to climate change.

Under some scenarios, climate change could lead to dramatic drops in global wheat production as well as reductions in maize.

But the study, published today in Earth's Future, finds that scientists won't be able to determine, based on measurements of large - scale phenomena like global sea level and Antarctic mass changes, which scenario the planet faces until the 2060s.

They used this data compilation to evaluate the quality of their regional atmospheric climate model, based on global climate projections that included several scenarios of anticipated climate change.

The draft report by the U.S. Global Change Research Program says it is likely the world will forfeit its ability to meet «rapid emission reduction» scenarios needed to stabilize greenhouse gas concentrations «within a few years.»

reported in the journal «Science», scientists led by Dr. Felix Creutzig from the Mercator Research Institute of Global Commons and Climate Change (MCC), Berlin, and Dr. Patrick Jochem, KIT, point out that the transportation sector may be easier to decarbonize than previously assumed in global emission scenGlobal Commons and Climate Change (MCC), Berlin, and Dr. Patrick Jochem, KIT, point out that the transportation sector may be easier to decarbonize than previously assumed in global emission scenglobal emission scenarios.

The IPCC AR5 Working Group 1 Report contains projections of future global surface temperature change according to several scenarios of future socio - economic development, most of which are presented using a baseline of 1986 to 2005.

But global CO2 emissions are still on track to meet or exceed the most extreme emissions scenarios outlined by the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change in its 2007 report, and by the scenarios the panel will use in the report it will release next year, scientists with the Global Carbon Projectglobal CO2 emissions are still on track to meet or exceed the most extreme emissions scenarios outlined by the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change in its 2007 report, and by the scenarios the panel will use in the report it will release next year, scientists with the Global Carbon ProjectGlobal Carbon Project said.

The methods established in the new study can be used in future for applied purposes — for example for local protection measures, for environmental assessments by authorities, or to integrate the long - term effects of road building into scenarios of the World Bank regarding global biodiversity changes.

Modelling flood risk in Europe — global warming the biggest influence In the framework of the HELIX FP7 Project, scientists analysed the differences in projected changes in flood risk at country scale under global warming scenarios of 1.5, 2 and 3 degrees from pre-industrial levels, and discussed reasons for the observed outcomes.

«The consequences of sticking to a «business - as - usual» scenario are unthinkable,» says Zhaohai Bai, an associate professor at the Chinese Academy of Sciences and lead author of a paper from a multinational team of environmental scientists published today in Global Change Biology.

Hamilton noted that the commission's report is not the first time The Lancet has taken a stab at climate change, but previous reports focused on the worst - case scenarios of global warming and their devastating health consequences, whereas the current report highlights the benefits of addressing climate change and touts «no regrets» actions that benefit the environment and health.

The study examined the benefits of global and domestic GHG mitigation on US air quality and human health in 2050, comparing a scenario with no global action to reduce GHGs with an aggressive scenario that significantly slows climate change.

The UN Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change (IPCC) has estimated that the average global warming in this century will rise by 4 °C in a business - as - usual scenario.

Both used it to run scenarios of global climate and atmospheric change.

The new study aimed to systematically pinpoint the drivers of water demand in the energy system, examining 41 scenarios for the future energy system that are compatible with limiting future climate change to below the 2 °C target, which were identified by the IIASA - led 2012 Global Energy Assessment.

To get a sense for how this probability, or risk of such a storm, will change in the future, he performed the same analysis, this time embedding the hurricane model within six global climate models, and running each model from the years 2081 to 2100, under a future scenario in which the world's climate changes as a result of unmitigated growth of greenhouse gas emissions.

The authors compared the Paris Agreement 1.5 C warming scenario to the currently pledged 3.5 C by using computer models to simulate changes in global fisheries and quantify losses or gains.

The researchers assessed the impact of diet change on global water resources over four scenarios, where the meat consumption was gradually reduced while diet recommendations in terms of energy supply, proteins and fat were followed.

«For preparing climate change scenarios for Argentina, the Global Model HadCM3 (UK) on IPCC scenarios has been utilized.

Global rates of temperature change in high and declining greenhouse gas emission scenarios.

While ECS is the equilibrium global mean temperature change that eventually results from atmospheric CO2 doubling, the smaller TCR refers to the global mean temperature change that is realised at the time of CO2 doubling under an idealised scenario in which CO2 concentrations increase by 1 % yr — 1 (Cubasch et al., 2001; see also Section 8.6.2.1).

«This work was a foundational reference case for the recently released RCP4.5 model scenario, one of four scenarios that will be used by modeling groups around the globe to make realistic projections of future climate change,» said Dr. Steven J. Smith, scientist at the Joint Global Change Research Institute, a partnership between PNNL and the University of Maryland, and lead research achange,» said Dr. Steven J. Smith, scientist at the Joint Global Change Research Institute, a partnership between PNNL and the University of Maryland, and lead research aChange Research Institute, a partnership between PNNL and the University of Maryland, and lead research author.

Methods: A global collaboration of scientists responded to a request from the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change, and generated a set of four scenarios to represent future greenhouse gas emissions and land use cChange, and generated a set of four scenarios to represent future greenhouse gas emissions and land use changechange.

James A. Edmonds • Member, IPCC Steering Committee on «New Integrated Scenarios» (2006 - present) • Lead Author, Working Group III, «Framing Issues,» IPCC Fourth Assessment Report (2007) • Lead Author, Working Group III, «Global, Regional, and National Costs and Ancillary Benefits of Mitigation,» IPCC Third Assessment Report (2001) • Lead Author, Working Group III, «Decision - Making Frameworks,» IPCC Third Assessment Report (2001) • Lead Author, Working Group III, Summary for Policy Makers, IPCC Third Assessment Report (2001) • Lead Author, Working Group II, «Energy Supply Mitigation Options,» IPCC Second Assessment Report (1996) • Lead Author, Working Group II, «Mitigation: Cross-Sectoral and Other Issues,» IPCC Second Assessment Report (1996) • Lead Author, Working Group III, «Estimating the Costs of Mitigating Greenhouse Gases,» IPCC Second Assessment Report (1996) • Lead Author, Working Group III, «A Review of Mitigation Cost Studies,» IPCC Second Assessment Report (1996) • Lead Author, Working Group III, «Integrated Assessment of Climate Change: An Overview and Comparison of Approaches and Results,» IPCC Second Assessment Report (1996) • Lead Author, IPCC Special Report, Climate Change 1994: Radiative Forcing of Climate Change and An Evaluation of the IPCC IS92 Emission Scenarios (1994) • Lead Author, IPCC Special Report, Climate Change 1992: The Supplementary Report to the IPCC Scientific Assessment (1992) • Major contributor, IPCC First Assessment Report, Working Group III, Response Strategies Working Group (1991).

Global climate projections from the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change, showing temperature and precipitation trends for two different future scenarios, as described in the Climate chapter of this assessment (IPCC 2014a).

The results show 27 alternative historical scenarios simulating a world without human - caused climate change and global sea level rise.

The A2 scenario reflects continued global population growth with decentralized ecomonic and technological changes and forecasts more extreme warming than most emission scenarios.

These results and the emerging additional regions of highest climate change vulnerability under high emissions scenarios (Figures S7, S8, S9) suggest that global policies that mitigate greenhouse gas emissions will substantially reduce species» climate change vulnerability.

Elisabeth Kruegar, Helmholtz Centre for Environmental Research (UFZ): «The World Water Scenarios Initiative can help raise awareness about where our behavior is leading to, and can also help to compare trends and different aspects of global change, like the drivers that they identified have an effect on water, and also how water has an effect on the drivers, the feedback between both the drivers and impacts are important.

A large ensemble of Earth system model simulations, constrained by geological and historical observations of past climate change, demonstrates our self ‐ adjusting mitigation approach for a range of climate stabilization targets ranging from 1.5 to 4.5 °C, and generates AMP scenarios up to year 2300 for surface warming, carbon emissions, atmospheric CO2, global mean sea level, and surface ocean acidification.

When this model is run with a standard, idealised global warming scenario you get the following result for global sea surface temperature changes.

The study examines permafrost carbon emissions in various climate models and under different scenarios, finding that the extra boost to warming from thawing permafrost could be 0.2 - 12 % of the change in global mean temperature.

We calculate global temperature change for a given CO2 scenario using a climate response function (Table S3) that accurately replicates results from a global climate model with sensitivity 3 °C for doubled CO2 [64].

But we are in an important scenario that has not been given enough attention: Global Climate Change.

Our special management series has been developed by the IIM faculty keeping in view the changing global economic scenario with the downturn, to engender enhanced and responsive business / managerial thought among MBA aspirants today.

It focused on global changes and future scenarios highlighting political, social, technological, and environmental drivers for change and their effect on tourism flows and investment.

Global surface temperature change for the end of the 21st century is likely to exceed 1.5 °C relative to 1850 to 1900 for all RCP scenarios except RCP2.6.

For instance, in your scenario of a 20 - yr temperature change of 0.3 ºC + / - 0.18 ºC, assuming a natural noise level (observed standard deviation of detrended annual global temperatures from 1977 - 2004) of 0.085 ºC, a statistically significant difference in the trend that leads to the lowest end of your range (a change of 0.12 ºC) and the trend that leads to the highest end of your range (0.48 ºC) doesn't begin to rise above the level of noise until around year 16 or 17.

We can not afford to delay further action to tackle climate change if the long - term target of limiting the global average temperature increase to 2 °C, as analysed in the 450 Scenario, is to be achieved at reasonable cost.

More on Global Climate Change: Warmest April, Ever - NOAA Releases New Global Temperature Data 5.2 °C Temperature Rise by 2100: New Business - As - Usual Climate Change Scenario Presented by MIT Warming Temperatures Stunt Autumn Leaf Colors

You have «What is the likelihood that global average sea level will rise more during this century than the current worst - case scenario of the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change?»

For the «business - as - usual» scenario RCP8.5, the model - mean changes in 2090s (compared to 1990s) for sea surface temperature, sea surface pH, global O2 content and integrated primary productivity amount to +2.73 °C, − 0.33 pH unit, − 3.45 % and − 8.6 %, respectively.

«Global emissions continue to be within the highest scenario of the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change (IPCC), she said.

Scientific evidence indicates that the global climate is moving outside the bounds of past experience and can be expected to put new stresses on societies around the world, prompting examination of a variety of plausible scenarios through which climate change might pose or alter security risks for the United States.