HadCRUT4 global dataset and CO2 (ppm) datasets used for chart can be found here.
Not exact matches
Figure 2: The data (green) are the average of the NASA GISS, NOAA NCDC, and
HadCRUT4 monthly
global surface temperature anomaly
datasets from January 1970 through November 2012, with linear trends for the short time periods Jan 1970 to Oct 1977, Apr 1977 to Dec 1986, Sep 1987 to Nov 1996, Jun 1997 to Dec 2002, and Nov 2002 to Nov 2012 (blue), and also showing the far more reliable linear trend for the full time period (red).
One thing that was not clear, was whether the analysis, that involved both observed temperatures from the
HadCRUT4 dataset and
global climate models, took into account the fact that the observations do not cover 100 % of Earth's surface (see RC post «Mind the Gap!»).
The
HadCRUT4 dataset, compiled from many thousands of temperature measurements taken across the globe, from all continents and all oceans, is used to estimate
global temperature, shows that 2017 was 0.99 ± 0.1 °C above pre-industrial levels, taken as the average over the period 1850 - 1900, and 0.38 ± 0.1 °C above the 1981 - 2010 average.
World Meteorological Organization also confirmed 2017 as being among the three warmest years, and the warmest year without an El Niño, by consolidating the five leading international
datasets, including
HadCRUT4, which showed that overall the
global average surface temperature in 2017 was approximately 1.1 ° Celsius above the pre-industrial era.
The
Global Warming Speedometer for January 2001 to June 2016 shows observed warming on the
HadCRUT4 and NCEI surface temperature
datasets as below IPCC's least prediction in 1990 and somewhat on the low side of its 1995 and 2001 predictions, while the satellite
datasets show less warming than all IPCC predictions from 1990 to 2001.
Unlike GISS and NCDC
global surface temperature
datasets,
HADCRUT4 data are not infilled.
In 1956, the average
global surface temperature anomaly in the three
datasets (NASA GISS, NOAA NCDC, and
HadCRUT4) was -0.21 °C.
Surface warming: «
Global temperature evolution: recent trends and some pitfalls» «Coverage bias in the HadCRUT4 temperature series and its impact on recent temperature trends» «Recently amplified arctic warming has contributed to a continual global warming trend» «On the definition and identifiability of the alleged «hiatus» in global warming» «Global land - surface air temperature change based on the new CMA GLSAT dataset&
Global temperature evolution: recent trends and some pitfalls» «Coverage bias in the
HadCRUT4 temperature series and its impact on recent temperature trends» «Recently amplified arctic warming has contributed to a continual
global warming trend» «On the definition and identifiability of the alleged «hiatus» in global warming» «Global land - surface air temperature change based on the new CMA GLSAT dataset&
global warming trend» «On the definition and identifiability of the alleged «hiatus» in
global warming» «Global land - surface air temperature change based on the new CMA GLSAT dataset&
global warming» «
Global land - surface air temperature change based on the new CMA GLSAT dataset&
Global land - surface air temperature change based on the new CMA GLSAT
dataset»
> We analyze and compare the monthly
global land - sea surface temperature
datasets HADCRUT3 and
HADCRUT4 for 1850 - 2010 by subtracting two analytically modeled components and demonstrating with a suitable low - pass filter that the residue contains no significant fluctuations with periods longer than the 22 - year Hale cycle.
Morice, C. P., J. J. Kennedy, N. A. Rayner, and P. D. Jones, 2012: Quantifying uncertainties in
global and regional temperature change using an ensemble of observational estimates: The
HadCRUT4 dataset.
Running 60 - month averages of
global air temperature at a height of two metres (left - hand axis) and estimated change from the beginning of the industrial era (right - hand axis) according to different
datasets: ERA - Interim (Copernicus Climate Change Service, ECMWF); GISTEMP (NASA);
HadCRUT4 (Met Office Hadley Centre), NOAAGlobalTemp (NOAA); and JRA - 55 (JMA).
Figure 2: The data (green) are the average of the NASA GISS, NOAA NCDC, and
HadCRUT4 monthly
global surface temperature anomaly
datasets from January 1970 through November 2012, with linear trends for the short time periods Jan 1970 to Oct 1977, Apr 1977 to Dec 1986, Sep 1987 to Nov 1996, Jun 1997 to Dec 2002, and Nov 2002 to Nov 2012 (blue), and also showing the far more reliable linear trend for the full time period (red).
The
HadCRUT4 (HC4)
global temperature
dataset is now considered the gold - standard for surface temperatures (the previous gold - standard was the HC3
dataset).
Using the UK's MetOffice
global HadCRUT4 (HC4)
dataset as a proxy for long - term climate change, it allows for a breakdown of when such changes occurred.
The
global HadCRUT4 dataset, updated through July 31, 2013, reveals little warming over 15 years despite the huge influx of human CO2 emissions and the subsequent large growth in atmospheric CO2 levels
http://www.skepticalscience.com/graphics.php?g=47 The data (green) are the average of the NASA GISS, NOAA NCDC, and
HadCRUT4 monthly
global surface temperature anomaly
datasets from January 1970 through November 2012, with linear trends for the short time periods Jan 1970 to Oct 1977, Apr 1977 to Dec 1986, Sep 1987 to Nov 1996, Jun 1997 to Dec 2002, and Nov 2002 to Nov 2012 (blue), and also showing the far more reliable linear trend for the full time period (red
The above chart plots the changing 3 - year linear trend slopes using monthly observations going back to 1850 (this is the
HadCRUT4 dataset from the UK climate research agency - it is the only
global dataset going back that far).
Using the UK's
HadCRUT4 global temperature
dataset and NOAA's
datasets for CO2, one can plot the per century warming / cooling trends on a monthly basis going back to 1850.
Using the IPCC's gold - standard
global surface
dataset (the UK's
HadCRUT4), this chart plots the cumulative growth in temperature along with NOAA's reported cumulative growth in atmospheric CO2 levels (ppm).
Morice, C. P., J. J. Kennedy, N. A. Rayner, and P. D. Jones (2012), Quantifying uncertainties in
global and regional temperature change using an ensemble of observational estimates: The
HadCRUT4 dataset, J. Geophys.
But note that
HadCRUT4 is coming out soon, which is likely to give better
global coverage, of the Arcticin particular, and that is likely to give results aligning more with other
datasets that already take the full globe into account.
Note that the land values computed for HadCRU used the CRUTEM4
dataset, the ocean values were computed using the adSST3
dataset, and the
global land and ocean values used the
HadCRUT4 dataset.
0.3 deg C of the 0.7 deg C
global average surface temp warming in the 100 year period from 1907 - 2007 can be shown to be related to a natural temperature cycle in the
HadCrut4 temperature
dataset with a period of about 62 years.
We can only assume the article is referring to the completion of work to update the
HadCRUT4 global temperature
dataset compiled by ourselves and the University of East Anglia's Climate Research Unit.
The
global surface data is from the
HadCRUT4 dataset prepared by the U.K. Met Office Hadley Centre and the Climate Research Unit of the University of East Anglia, here.
The climate science consensus today is that these speculative climate forecasts, based on flawed computer models, did not happen and expert analysis of the gold - standard of temperature
datasets (the UK's
global HadCRUT4) confirms it.
In «Spinning the Warmest Year» I issued a challenge for anyone to re-graph either the
HadCrut4 or GISS
global temp
dataset without 1998.
The WMO bases its temperature assessment on
global mean surface temperature
datasets for January — September from several organisations, including the
HadCRUT4 dataset compiled by the Met Office Hadley Centre and the University of East Anglia's Climatic Research Unit.
As part of their assessment of the
HadCRUT4 dataset, the UK Met Office - University of East Anglia group carried out a sensitivity test (reported in Jones et al., 2012) in which the
global analysis of land areas was re-run with all Australian data deleted.
Differences were minimal after 1893 (by which time Stevenson screens were in widespread use for observations except in New South Wales and Victoria, a small area in the context of a
global dataset), and before 1878 (when there were limited Australian observations of any kind and most of the continent was considered to be missing data in the
HadCRUT4 dataset).
Using the gold - standard surface temperature record
dataset, the
HadCRUT4.6
global anomalies stretch back all the way to 1850.
Now that the
global HadCRUT4.6
dataset is available for February 2018, it is possible to examine a 4 - year period for both El Niños, including the «pre» and «post» months for each.
Figure 6 shows the
global land surface air temperature plus sea surface temperature anomalies (average of GISS LOTI,
HADCRUT4 and NCDC
datasets, like The Escalator) before, during and after the 1997/98 El Niño.
2) The
HadCRUT4 global mean surface temperature
dataset shows a warming of 0.6 deg C from 1974 to 2004 as shown in the following graph.