High bullishness in early bull markets is typically not a negative, because the initial advance is generally very powerful.
High bullishness in early bull markets is typically not a negative, because the initial advance is generally very powerful.
Not exact matches
All of the forecasting usefulness of those figures is contained in the «excess»
bullishness or bearishness - the extent to which sentiment figures are
higher or lower than what you would expect, given recent market movements.
On the daily chart we see the price has surpassed and is about to close above the Monthly Pivot Range
high, this is a significant event in that it demonstrates the bias has shifted from the many weeks of bearishness, to one of
bullishness.
These conditions comprise the following: S&P 500 overvalued with the Shiller P / E (the ratio of the S&P 500 to the 10 - year average of inflation - adjusted earnings) greater than 18; overbought with the S&P 500 within 3 % of its upper Bollinger band (2 standard deviations above the 20 - period average) at daily, weekly, and monthly resolutions, more than 7 % above its 52 - week smoothing, and more than 50 % above its 4 - year low; overbullish with the 2 - week average of advisory
bullishness (Investors Intelligence) greater than 52 % and bearishness below 28 %; and yields rising with the 10 - year Treasury bond yield
higher than 6 - months earlier.
Investment advisory
bullishness ended the year at a fresh 2005
high of 60.4 %.
However, given the close proximity to the trendline a more decisive move above last week's
high of $ 34.65 is needed before more
bullishness is warranted.
As usual, I don't place too much emphasis on this sort of forecast, but to the extent that I make any comments at all about the outlook for 2006, the bottom line is this: 1) we can't rule out modest potential for stock appreciation, which would require the maintenance or expansion of already
high price / peak earnings multiples; 2) we also should recognize an uncomfortably large potential for market losses, particularly given that the current bull market has now outlived the median and average bull, yet at
higher valuations than most bulls have achieved, a flat yield curve with rising interest rate pressures, an extended period of internal divergence as measured by breadth and other market action, and complacency at best and excessive
bullishness at worst, as measured by various sentiment indicators; 3) there is a moderate but still not compelling risk of an oncoming recession, which would become more of a factor if we observe a substantial widening of credit spreads and weakness in the ISM Purchasing Managers Index in the months ahead, and; 4) there remains substantial potential for U.S. dollar weakness coupled with «unexpectedly» persistent inflation pressures, particularly if we do observe economic weakness.
When call volume is
higher than put volume, the ratio is less than 1, indicating
bullishness.
The British Pound / US Dollar pair (GBP / USD) lost all
bullishness in September 2014 when it generated a lower
high of 1.65240.
Because there's
bullishness in the market, some predict bitcoin's price to soar as
high as $ 100,000 in a decade.
With Bitcoin back trading above $ 9000 and the other cryptos also moving
higher during April, has
bullishness returned to the cryptocurrency market or is this a short term - trend?
It is superstitious and wishful thinking to assume that the market will perform strongly simply because of two Discount Rate cuts, despite elevated valuations,
high levels of
bullishness, absence of a recession, and an S&P 500 index that is only about 2 % from its all - time
high.
If the current
bullishness continues and closes significantly above the resistance imposed by the last 15 - month
high (around...
As of last week, the market remained characterized by an overvalued, overbought conditions, complicated by extremely
high leverage through margin debt, and record
bullishness among institutional investors, according to the Barron's Big Money Poll.
But variations in the tone and extent of that
bullishness can be informative, especially when the consensus is extremely optimistic at new
highs of mature bull markets, and defensive at new lows of mature bear markets.
All of the forecasting usefulness of those figures is contained in the «excess»
bullishness or bearishness - the extent to which sentiment figures are
higher or lower than what you would expect, given recent market movements.
Because there's
bullishness in the market, some predict bitcoin's price to soar as
high as $ 100,000 in a decade.
Bitcoin was showing signs of
bullishness in the first half of the week, rising as
high as $ 7,500, according to CoinDesk's Bitcoin Price Index.