To: Human Evolution E-Seminar From: William H. Calvin Location: 55.620 ° N 12.656 ° E 2m ASL The plane where it's always noon Subject:
How ice age climate got the shakes
You may not have heard of them, however, even though they were frequently mentioned in the news columns of the major scientific journals such as Science and Nature, with catchy titles such as «
How ice age climate got the shakes.»
Not exact matches
In this one lunch alone, we covered electric cars,
climate change, artificial intelligence, the Fermi Paradox, consciousness, reusable rockets, colonizing Mars, creating an atmosphere on Mars, voting on Mars, genetic programming, his kids, population decline, physics vs. engineering, Edison vs. Tesla, solar power, a carbon tax, the definition of a company, warping spacetime and
how this isn't actually something you can do, nanobots in your bloodstream and
how this isn't actually something you can do, Galileo, Shakespeare, the American forefathers, Henry Ford, Isaac Newton, satellites, and
ice ages.
«For the first time we can quantify
how oceans responded to slow, natural
climate warming as the world emerged from the last
ice age,» says Prof. Eric Galbraith from McGill University's Department of Earth and Oceanic Sciences, who led the study.
Guliya is thought to be the best record of midlatitude
climate during the last
ice age, and its
ice may well turn out to be a Rosetta Stone for interpreting
how Asia responds to a changing
climate.
«
Ice - age lesson: Large mammals need room to roam: A 20 - year study in Arctic Alaska looks at how woolly mammoths and other ice - age animals handled climate change.&raq
Ice -
age lesson: Large mammals need room to roam: A 20 - year study in Arctic Alaska looks at
how woolly mammoths and other
ice - age animals handled climate change.&raq
ice -
age animals handled
climate change.»
The study, by an international team of scientists led by the University of Cambridge, examined
how changes in ocean currents in the Atlantic Ocean were related to
climate conditions in the northern hemisphere during the last
ice age, by examining data from
ice cores and fossilised plankton shells.
(1)
How does he reconcile his belief about the
climate being so stable... i.e., having strong negative feedbacks... with the
ice age — interglacial oscillations?
In a recent article in Climatic Change, D.G. Martinson and W.C. Pitman III discuss a new hypothesis explaining
how the
climate could change abruptly between
ice ages and inter-glacial (warm) periods.
Indeed, the main quandary faced by
climate scientists is
how to estimate
climate sensitivity from the Little
Ice Age or Medieval Warm Period, at all, given the relative small forcings over the past 1000 years, and the substantial uncertainties in both the forcings and the temperature changes.
How much it might vary is very difficult to tell, but for instance, it is clear that from the Pliocene to the Quaternary (the last ~ 2,5 million years of
ice age cycles), the
climate has become more sensitive to orbital forcing.
This talk by Cleveland Art Museum Assistant Curator of Korean Art Sooa Im McCormick explores
how climate changes during the Little
Ice Age prompted eighteenth - century Korean rulers to exercise the politics of frugality, and eventually shaped eighteenth - century Korean visual culture and its distinctive aesthetics.
How about xkcd's «A Timeline of Earth's Average Temperature since the Last
Ice Age Glaciation: When people say «The
climate has changed before» these are the kinds of changes they are talking about» https://xkcd.com/1732/
How much effort would it take for him to look at was actually said by
climate researchers in the mid-70s about the prospects for an
ice age?
Mike's work, like that of previous award winners, is diverse, and includes pioneering and highly cited work in time series analysis (an elegant use of Thomson's multitaper spectral analysis approach to detect spatiotemporal oscillations in the
climate record and methods for smoothing temporal data), decadal climate variability (the term «Atlantic Multidecadal Oscillation» or «AMO» was coined by Mike in an interview with Science's Richard Kerr about a paper he had published with Tom Delworth of GFDL showing evidence in both climate model simulations and observational data for a 50 - 70 year oscillation in the climate system; significantly Mike also published work with Kerry Emanuel in 2006 showing that the AMO concept has been overstated as regards its role in 20th century tropical Atlantic SST changes, a finding recently reaffirmed by a study published in Nature), in showing how changes in radiative forcing from volcanoes can affect ENSO, in examining the role of solar variations in explaining the pattern of the Medieval Climate Anomaly and Little Ice Age, the relationship between the climate changes of past centuries and phenomena such as Atlantic tropical cyclones and global sea level, and even a bit of work in atmospheric chemistry (an analysis of beryllium - 7 measure
climate record and methods for smoothing temporal data), decadal
climate variability (the term «Atlantic Multidecadal Oscillation» or «AMO» was coined by Mike in an interview with Science's Richard Kerr about a paper he had published with Tom Delworth of GFDL showing evidence in both climate model simulations and observational data for a 50 - 70 year oscillation in the climate system; significantly Mike also published work with Kerry Emanuel in 2006 showing that the AMO concept has been overstated as regards its role in 20th century tropical Atlantic SST changes, a finding recently reaffirmed by a study published in Nature), in showing how changes in radiative forcing from volcanoes can affect ENSO, in examining the role of solar variations in explaining the pattern of the Medieval Climate Anomaly and Little Ice Age, the relationship between the climate changes of past centuries and phenomena such as Atlantic tropical cyclones and global sea level, and even a bit of work in atmospheric chemistry (an analysis of beryllium - 7 measure
climate variability (the term «Atlantic Multidecadal Oscillation» or «AMO» was coined by Mike in an interview with Science's Richard Kerr about a paper he had published with Tom Delworth of GFDL showing evidence in both
climate model simulations and observational data for a 50 - 70 year oscillation in the climate system; significantly Mike also published work with Kerry Emanuel in 2006 showing that the AMO concept has been overstated as regards its role in 20th century tropical Atlantic SST changes, a finding recently reaffirmed by a study published in Nature), in showing how changes in radiative forcing from volcanoes can affect ENSO, in examining the role of solar variations in explaining the pattern of the Medieval Climate Anomaly and Little Ice Age, the relationship between the climate changes of past centuries and phenomena such as Atlantic tropical cyclones and global sea level, and even a bit of work in atmospheric chemistry (an analysis of beryllium - 7 measure
climate model simulations and observational data for a 50 - 70 year oscillation in the
climate system; significantly Mike also published work with Kerry Emanuel in 2006 showing that the AMO concept has been overstated as regards its role in 20th century tropical Atlantic SST changes, a finding recently reaffirmed by a study published in Nature), in showing how changes in radiative forcing from volcanoes can affect ENSO, in examining the role of solar variations in explaining the pattern of the Medieval Climate Anomaly and Little Ice Age, the relationship between the climate changes of past centuries and phenomena such as Atlantic tropical cyclones and global sea level, and even a bit of work in atmospheric chemistry (an analysis of beryllium - 7 measure
climate system; significantly Mike also published work with Kerry Emanuel in 2006 showing that the AMO concept has been overstated as regards its role in 20th century tropical Atlantic SST changes, a finding recently reaffirmed by a study published in Nature), in showing
how changes in radiative forcing from volcanoes can affect ENSO, in examining the role of solar variations in explaining the pattern of the Medieval
Climate Anomaly and Little Ice Age, the relationship between the climate changes of past centuries and phenomena such as Atlantic tropical cyclones and global sea level, and even a bit of work in atmospheric chemistry (an analysis of beryllium - 7 measure
Climate Anomaly and Little
Ice Age, the relationship between the
climate changes of past centuries and phenomena such as Atlantic tropical cyclones and global sea level, and even a bit of work in atmospheric chemistry (an analysis of beryllium - 7 measure
climate changes of past centuries and phenomena such as Atlantic tropical cyclones and global sea level, and even a bit of work in atmospheric chemistry (an analysis of beryllium - 7 measurements).
Besides being a lead author on several reports from the Intergovernmental Panel on
Climate Change, Dr. Alley led one of the groups that first discerned in Greenland's ice layers how the climate has seen extraordinary jogs in temperature, particularly shortly after the end of the last i
Climate Change, Dr. Alley led one of the groups that first discerned in Greenland's
ice layers
how the
climate has seen extraordinary jogs in temperature, particularly shortly after the end of the last i
climate has seen extraordinary jogs in temperature, particularly shortly after the end of the last
ice age.
How do you think
climate scientists model and otherwise study past
ice ages if they ignore their cause?
The LGM [again this is the peak of the last
ice age] gives us some information on
how the
climate responds to reduced CO2 in a cooler world, and that can help evaluate models used to project the future.
Indeed, the main quandary faced by
climate scientists is
how to estimate
climate sensitivity from the Little
Ice Age or Medieval Warm Period, at all, given the relative small forcings over the past 1000 years, and the substantial uncertainties in both the forcings and the temperature changes.
To veterans of the
Climate Wars, the old 1970s global cooling canard — «How can we believe climate scientists about global warming today when back in the 1970s they told us an ice age was imminent?
Climate Wars, the old 1970s global cooling canard — «
How can we believe
climate scientists about global warming today when back in the 1970s they told us an ice age was imminent?
climate scientists about global warming today when back in the 1970s they told us an
ice age was imminent?»
he study, carried out by researchers in the University of Cambridge, Department of Earth Sciences, offers new insights into a decades - long debate about
how the shifts in the Earth's orbit relative to the sun have taken the Earth into and out of an
ice -
age climate.
For example — you said —
How about the period between the medieval warm period and the little
ice age for a period that the
climate was stable?
How about the period between the medieval warm period and the little
ice age for a period that the
climate was stable?
I think that
how the probability of the next
ice age has changed with the CO2 increase, if at all, should be a central question of
climate change research.
Dramatic changes in the distribution of plants and animals during the
ice ages illustrate
how climate influences the distribution of species.
We meant human - caused
climate change as that's the pernicious kind (it's too bad we can't ask our ancestors
how much they liked the very natural
ice age).
The question is not if but
how the solar serial
climate changer causes the cyclic gradual (mediavel warm period and the little
ice age) and abrupt
climate change (abrupt termination of the last 22 interglacial periods.
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Scientists are still trying to understand
how such wobbles interact with the
climate system, particularly greenhouse gases, to push the planet in to or out of an
ice age.
Nor yet — though he might be closer to the mark here, showing
how important it is to hedge your bets when predicting
climate — are we in the midst of a «new
ice age.»
The difference between the warming at the end of the last
ice age (left side of the graph) and the current warming (right side of the graph) demonstrates
how truly abnormal the current change in
climate really is.
Although scientists dismissed
how the filmmakers employed
climate science (in the film the world enters an implausible new
Ice Age), a slowdown in the current is certainly a theoretical possibility in the future.
HOW and WHY
climate changes is obviously of scientific interest and, given the impact of a future
ice age, of great societal importance also.
Just
how that could regulate the
ice ages remained uncertain, for the
climate system turned out to be dauntingly complex.
Related Volcanoes, Tree Rings, and
Climate Models: This is
how science works Fossil Focus: Using Plant Fossils to Understand Past
Climates and Environments Atmospheric oxygen over Phanerozoic time Coupled carbon isotopic and sedimentological records from the Permian system of eastern Australia reveal the response of atmospheric carbon dioxide to glacial growth and decay during the late Palaeozoic
Ice Age
90, John P. Reisman: Funny
how those that are most confused about
climate change often claim change often claim the kettle is black and while simultaneously... such as it's cooling and we are heading back to an
ice age, or it's warming, but it's natural cycle...
Now you need a really hard time to explain
how this miniscule difference can trigger any
ice age termination, especially if some researchers here claim that there is no excessive sensitiviy in
climate to external conditions.
If you can't establish what the range of just the average global temperature is for the current
climate optimum (since the last
ice age),
how can you begin to establish what the null hypothesis is, particularly as it relates to attribution of natural vs. anthroprogenic.
In a recent article in Climatic Change, D.G. Martinson and W.C. Pitman III discuss a new hypothesis explaining
how the
climate could change abruptly between
ice ages and inter-glacial (warm) periods.
Besides demonstrating his firm grasp of the power of these various factors to change temperatures, this remarkable matching of theory to real - world data also tells us just
how ornery the
climate beast may be: the orbital changes that paced the
ice ages were incredibly small.