That's 24 years of failure, yet the latest
IPCC claims include even more dire predictions.
Not exact matches
I must say, having read this post and all the ones linked to it
including the
IPCC chapters, that I do not recognize some of the
claims as being part of attribution as applied by practitioners.
When the
IPCC claimed that the GCM models (with GHG forcing
included) could replicate the observed changes in global average temperatures do you know if they were referring to a truly global measurement or were they just using the US temp record?
I have seen no specific studies regarding lower CO2 levels than those we currently are experiencing, but it is generally agreed in the scientific literature (despite some
IPCC claims to the contrary) that an increased atmospheric concentration of CO2 will be beneficial to most plant growth,
including agricultural crops.
In his Environmental Research Letters paper Hansen
claims that the
IPCC 2007 figures are low because the
IPCC says it is unable to evaluate possible dynamical responses of the ice sheets and therefore its figures do not
include any possible rapid dynamical changes in ice flow.
The source document, the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change (
IPCC) 2007 Fourth Assessment Report (AR4), has been under harsh scrutiny over the past weeks for a number of blunders,
including the Climategate scandal, bogus
claims about Himalayan glacier melt, false assertions The Netherlands are drowning, deceptive hysteria over conditions in the Amazon, exaggerations of vanishing polar ice caps, and fraudulent cover - up of Chinese temperature data.
The story made a number of wildly false
claims about Weaver,
including that he had refused to contribute to the latest
IPCC report, even though Weaver was a lead author of a chapter of the report.
I'd love to see someone other than you
claim things like «all of McIntyre's corrections were...
included in a later
IPCC report.»
Puzzling isn't it how skeptics,
including Dr Curry,
claim to have a problem with the
IPCC attribution statement but promote Nic Lewis's TCR figures at the same time!
The
IPCC is straightforward in its introduction to attribution and doesn't
claim anything other than that attribution needs some kind of modelling (because we can't put the climate in a bottle) and that this method relies on a number of different tactics,
including the consensus of what these tactics mean of the experts.
«Contrary to
claims of a scientific consensus that human activity is the principal temperature driver, there are now many published reports and papers strongly disputing the
IPCC analysis,
including several by eminent Australian scientists.
''... with regard to the
IPCC claim that «the increase in atmospheric concentrations of greenhouse gases (
including CO2) is the driving force for climate warming,» they note the following four problems:
N (1) Natural mechanisms play well more than a negligible role (as
claimed by the
IPCC) in the net changes in the climate system, which
includes temperature variations, precipitation patterns, weather events, etc., and the influence of increased CO2 concentrations on climatic changes are less pronounced than currently imagined.
Also note that the average surface temperature is 15 °C (59 °F) and that other references (
including the
IPCC)
claim that it should be 14 °C (57 °F).
If you did you would find that
IPCC argument that CO2 is a clear and present danger is built on the
claim that «the models can not produce the recent temperature trends unless they
include CO2» (see Chapter 9).
UN
IPCC Exposed: «Dozens» of instances where WWF reports have been cited as the sole authority for contentious
claims,
including one about coastal developments in Latin America» http://eureferendum.blogspot.com/2010/01/not-one-but-two-and-counting.html
Based on an extensive literature review, we suggest that (1) climate warming occurs with great uncertainty in the magnitude of the temperature increase; (2) both human activities and natural forces contribute to climate change, but their relative contributions are difficult to quantify; and (3) the dominant role of the increase in the atmospheric concentration of greenhouse gases (
including CO2) in the global warming
claimed by the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change (
IPCC) is questioned by the scientific communities because of large uncertainties in the mechanisms of natural factors and anthropogenic activities and in the sources of the increased atmospheric CO2 concentration.
They (
including our hostess) have questioned the
IPCC claim, i.e. that most of the warming since 1950 was caused (90 + % probably) by increase of human GHGs, due to the many uncertainties surrounding the attribution of natural versus anthropogenic forcing.
You
claim that the
IPCC not
including cloud feedbacks in their list of climate forcings is «the most crucial aspect of my post, which was the lack of scope of the climate forcings.»
Roger Pielke also
claimed that the
IPCC should have modified their report to
include the results.
I also understand the
claims made in the Abstract of this paper, where the
IPCC range value is reduced by.7, but I would think the
IPCC projections already
include this effect since the climate models start their modelling way back before 2007.
This is important because
IPCC is required to discuss significant
claims that appear in peer - reviewed journals and
IPCC report drafts are reviewed by enough people (
including «climate change skeptics») to insure that such papers are not ignored.
Lewis says the document made misleading
claims about other scientists» work — for example, misrepresenting important details of a study by a team that
included Lewis and 14 other
IPCC experts.
This is important because
IPCC assessments require that significant
claims appearing in peer - reviewed journals be discussed, and
IPCC reports get reviewed by enough people (
including «climate skeptics») to ensure that all such
claims are in fact discussed.
You'll find a few people — myself
included — who are sceptical of the
IPCC AR5 attribution statement and a few more who are very sceptical of
claims that all post industrial warming is anthropogenic.
Dr. John Christy who is the most respected expert on global temperature was a lead author of the 2001
IPCC report who fought hard to prevent the MBH 98 Hockey stick graph from being
included in the 2001 TAR but his scientific
claims were overruled by political necessity and the defunct hockey stick was presented half a dozen times in the 2001 report in spite of his objections on scientific grounds.
A few nonbelievers have been
included to give the appearance of balance, but their comments and questions have been routinely ignored as the
IPCC focuses on what it
claims to be the «consensus» view.
Well, it looks like the press release was carefully worded, and referring back to Anthony Watts article on his blog which is criticized at the beginning of the RC article, i see no wrong
claim there... Hiss main argument is written in bold: «The
IPCC is under scrutiny for various data inaccuracies,
including its
claim — based on a flawed World Wildlife Fund study — that up to 40 % of the Amazonian forests could react drastically and be replaced by savannas from even a slight reduction in rainfall.»
If the
IPCC is unwilling to
include a scientific discussion of renewable energy and «clean coal»
claims, then they should stay out of policy decisions entirely and just focus on climate science, along with the rest of the climate science community.
The lack of substance in the ludicrous
claim was brought to the attention of the powers that be by
IPCC reviewers, before it was mendaciously
included in the report.