Validation tests published two years after the original bet compared no - change model forecasts with
IPCC dangerous warming forecasts for horizons from one to 100 years, and found that no - change forecasts were considerably more accurate; especially over longer horizons.
Not exact matches
Over the last three decades, five
IPCC «assessment reports,» dozens of computer models, scores of conferences and thousands of papers focused heavily on human fossil fuel use and carbon dioxide and greenhouse gas emissions, as being responsible for «
dangerous» global
warming, climate change, climate «disruption,» and almost every «extreme» weather or climate event.
The hypothesis implicit though rarely explicitly stated in the
IPCC's work is that
dangerous global
warming is resulting, or will result, from human - related greenhouse gas emissions.
I accept that CO2 is a greenhouse gas, but think that the likelihood of
dangerous warming has been massively overplayed by the
IPCC, Hansen, Gore etc..
«Climate Change Reconsidered, the 2009 report of the Nongovernmental International Panel on Climate Change (NIPCC), is a comprehensive 880 - page tome that rigorously analyses the
IPCC's claim that
dangerous global
warming has «very likely» been caused by human greenhouse emissions.
Recognition of the essential flaw in the
dangerous global
warming hypothesis predates the
IPCC and has been there for the world to see in the title of a paper published in 1966 by CSIRO division of meteorological physics former chief Bill Priestley: «The limitation of temperature in hot climates by evaporation.»
As can be seen, there has been a cooling trend - granted, a very tiny -0.04 °C / century, but it remains far removed from the
IPCC's unicorn science of «amplified» and
dangerous polar
warming.
It is now an indisputable fact that the
IPCC's «
dangerous», «accelerating» and «tipping point» global
warming has gone completely AWOL.
Per the
IPCC's global
warming hypothesis, at the very top of the troposphere, above the equator region, is the location (12 km, 200hPa @ 20 ° N - 20 ° S) that triggers a positive climate feedback, which produces the mythical runaway, tipping point of accelerated,
dangerous global
warming, which of course is unequivocal and irrefutable, except when it isn't.
Nic Is it not true that the harsh reality is that the output of the climate models which the
IPCC rely's on on their
dangerous global
warming forecasts have no necessary connection to reality because of their structural inadequacies.
The 1,018 - page report convincingly and systematically challenges
IPCC claims that carbon dioxide and other greenhouse gases are causing «
dangerous» global
warming and climate change; that
IPCC computer models can be relied on for alarming climate forecasts and scenarios; and that we need to take immediate, drastic action to prevent «unprecedented» climate and weather events that are no more frequent or unusual than what humans have had to adapt to and deal with for thousands of years.
The letter casts doubt on the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change (
IPCC) «hypothesis of
dangerous human - caused global
warming», and argues that current climate change is within natural variations.
First, Dr Rajendra Pachauri - chairman of the official Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change (
IPCC)- told a UN conference in Mauritius that the pollution which causes global
warming has reached «
dangerous» levels.
The 2007
IPCC report found that the cost of actions to stabilize concentrations of heat - trapping emissions at a level that gives us a good chance of avoiding
dangerous warming would amount to less than a 0.12 percent reduction in average annual global gross domestic product (GDP) growth rate in 2050.
The letter cast doubt on the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change (
IPCC) «hypothesis of
dangerous human - caused global
warming», and argued that current climate change is within natural variations.
Whereas the reports of the United Nations» Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change (
IPCC) warn of a
dangerous human effect on climate, NIPCC concludes the human effect is likely to be small relative to natural variability, and whatever small
warming is likely to occur will produce benefits as well as costs.
with cAGW i am referring to catastrophic anthropogenic
warming - i.e. the position touted by the
IPCC et al that the change in climate we are seeing is; a)
dangerous, b) man - made c) linked to human Co2 and finally d) is preventable
Whether its the old NASA computer model simulations or the newer variety of
IPCC climate models, Hansen's 1988 prediction of rapidly accelerating and
dangerous global
warming from human CO2, and other greenhouse gases, has done poorly in comparison to actual observed temps.
BarBar said «I think if you believe the models and the
IPCC reports, it would be
dangerous to not have that
warming CO2 in the atmosphere, because it would be really cold.»
I think if you believe the models and the
IPCC reports, it would be
dangerous to not have that
warming CO2 in the atmosphere, because it would be really cold.
Pingback: Did The
IPCC AR5 Take The «
Dangerous» Out Of Global
Warming?
Real world observations tell us that the
IPCC's speculative computer models do not work, ice is not melting at an enhanced rate, sea - level rise is not accelerating, the frequency and intensity of extreme weather events is not increasing, and
dangerous global
warming is not occurring.»
[11] Recent estimates also suggest that at current emission rates the Earth could pass a threshold of 2 °C global
warming, which the United Nations»
IPCC designated as the upper limit to avoid «
dangerous» global
warming, by 2036.