For more on these validity tests see
IPCC model validation.
Not exact matches
Experts in
model validation say that the climate
models frequently cited in the
IPCC report are little if any validated.
Try reasing the chapter from the
IPCC WG1 report that deals with climate
models and their evaluation, then go an ask questions about
model validation at RealClimate, you are likely to get a better reception.
If the
validation process worked then the predictions made by the
IPCC models should work, but they haven't.
Validation tests published two years after the original bet compared no - change
model forecasts with
IPCC dangerous warming forecasts for horizons from one to 100 years, and found that no - change forecasts were considerably more accurate; especially over longer horizons.
Transparency has not been a strong point in the
IPCC's mostly unsatisfactory attempts at
modelling, The word
validation rarely escapes their lips.
Ome would expect that our mathematical
models would by now be able to faithfully reproduce current average global temperatures, but this is not so — the
IPCC models all exaggerate their predictions, also indicating a lack of understanding and
validation of climate
models.