Sentences with phrase «if modeling the climate»

If modeling the climate many different ways arrives at a similar outcome, it increases your confidence in the models.»

Not exact matches

He said that if he had to rely on the European Space Agency's limited, difficult - to - access data for his work checking climate model predictions against reality, he'd be «more or less blind» — particularly in the vast, uninhabited stretches of the globe like the Pacific, which are vital for understanding the world climate.

Bridgespan's metrics for Rise could become a model for other investment firms if they prove successful, especially in a global political climate that is rethinking its capitalistic system.

An upcoming article in the journal Climatic Change (1) modeled what could happen to coffee production in Veracruz, Mexico if observed trends in climate change continue and coffee prices remain steady.

If the effects of climate change weren't included in the model, the trends toward bigger seasonal variations in CO2 at Arctic latitudes disappeared, researchers report online today in Science.

«We have to think of religious identity as the central mental model and framework and belief system by which many Americans, if not a majority of Americans, are going to come to understand climate change,» he said.

Climate models are complex numerical models based on physics that amount to hundreds of thousands, if not millions, of lines of computer code to model Earth's past, present and future.

«If — and it's a big if — that turns out to be the right avenue to go down, that could play into the models we use for our future climate predictions.&raquIf — and it's a big if — that turns out to be the right avenue to go down, that could play into the models we use for our future climate predictions.&raquif — that turns out to be the right avenue to go down, that could play into the models we use for our future climate predictions.»

Stefan Rahmstorf and Georg Feulner of the Potsdam Institute for Climate Impact Research in Germany modelled what would happen to temperatures on Earth if a grand minimum started now and lasted until 2100.

«But if, as global circulation models suggest, drying continues, our results provide evidence that this could degrade the Amazonian forest canopies, which would have cascading effects on global carbon and climate dynamics.»

Whether it can be relied upon by government and if the details of collecting and processing it are disclosed «and documented with enough detail» to reliably capture new science for weather and climate models will be important.

If models of Southwestern responses to climate change are correct, Southwest U.S. deserts should get warmer and drier.

The researchers used over 300 statistical relationships to test if models integrating hydrology (hydroclimate - oriented models, including, e.g. recharge, H - CLIM) would perform better than models using climate only (climate - oriented models, CLIM).

Even if the near future doesn't unfold like the 2004 climate - gone - haywire film The Day After Tomorrow, scientists need to be able to produce accurate models of what abrupt change (more likely spanning hundreds or thousands or years, rather than days) would look like and why it might occur, explains Zhengyu Liu, lead author of the study and director of the University of Wisconsin — Madison's Center for Climate Reclimate - gone - haywire film The Day After Tomorrow, scientists need to be able to produce accurate models of what abrupt change (more likely spanning hundreds or thousands or years, rather than days) would look like and why it might occur, explains Zhengyu Liu, lead author of the study and director of the University of Wisconsin — Madison's Center for Climate ReClimate Research.

If global warming causes strong storms to grow even more fierce, as some climate models predict, that could trigger a self - feeding cycle that unleashes still more heat - trapping CO2 into the atmosphere.

Richard Betts, head of climate impacts at the Hadley Centre of the U.K.'s Met office presented to reporters in Copenhagen today a new analysis of modeling data showing how conserving tropical forests is going to be crucial if the world is to make a target of 2 ˚C, even under the most conservative projections of how much carbon the forests contain.

If so, the increased frequency and intensity of heat waves forecast by climate change models could bring about considerable changes to these environments,» Orizaola concludes.

If similar limits could be established for other species, that data could be incorporated into climate models to better understand which species will likely be able to survive the coming environmental changes.

Instead, this effect could be used to test climate models, he said, to check if their physics is good enough to reproduce how the pull of the moon eventually leads to less rain.

Landerer and his colleagues modelled the changes that would occur if the most realistic estimates made by the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change — a doubling of carbon dioxide levels by 2100 compared with 2000 — were to become reality.

Recent modelling by researchers from the Potsdam Institute for Climate Impact Research in Germany, as well as studies of past climate, suggest that the planet will soon have warmed enough to melt Greenland's ice sheet entirely — if it hasn't already become warm Climate Impact Research in Germany, as well as studies of past climate, suggest that the planet will soon have warmed enough to melt Greenland's ice sheet entirely — if it hasn't already become warm climate, suggest that the planet will soon have warmed enough to melt Greenland's ice sheet entirely — if it hasn't already become warm enough.

Barnard and his team predicted how SoCal's shores would evolve from 2010 through 2100 by modeling the factors that influence beaches — estimates for sea level rise as well as wave and storm behavior and predicted climate change patterns if the world eventually stabilizes its greenhouse gas emissions by mid-century, then starts reducing them.

Global climate models predict that already - wet regions, such as the northeastern United States, will get even wetter by the end of the century if carbon dioxide levels reach 717 parts per million.

Climate models show that if CO2 levels stopped rising now, the world would still warm by a further 0.6 °C.

In the new study, researchers analyzed the results of 96 existing climate models to see if there was any consensus among them.

«The result is not a surprise, but if you look at the global climate models that have been used to analyze what the planet looked like 20,000 years ago — the same models used to predict global warming in the future — they are doing, on average, a very good job reproducing how cold it was in Antarctica,» said first author Kurt Cuffey, a glaciologist at the University of California, Berkeley, and professor of geography and of earth and planetary sciences.

If conditions are particularly wet in coming decades, as some regional climate models have predicted, New Haven's groundwater levels could rise even farther.

Sometimes it is very hard to tell if one model is really better than another or if it predicts climate for the right reasons.»

Although climate models have suggested that spring temperatures affect stream flow, this study is the first to examine the instrumental historical record to see if a temperature effect could be detected, said lead author Connie Woodhouse, a UA professor of geography and development and of dendrochronology.

About 80 percent of the 23 climate models used by the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change predict some degree of drought in the Amazon if greenhouse gas emissions keep climbing, hclimate models used by the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change predict some degree of drought in the Amazon if greenhouse gas emissions keep climbing, hClimate Change predict some degree of drought in the Amazon if greenhouse gas emissions keep climbing, he said.

Udall and Overpeck found all current climate models agree that temperatures in the Colorado River Basin will continue rising if the emission of greenhouse gases is not curbed.

The next step, Fabel says, is to use climate models to see whether the events would replay themselves if global warming shuts down the Atlantic conveyor once again.

Other researchers have used computer models to estimate what an event similar to a Maunder Minimum, if it were to occur in coming decades, might mean for our current climate, which is now rapidly warming.

«It's not all sites and all places at all times, but if we have confidence in the climate model predictions, then according to these theories, we would expect the whole process to accelerate over next few decades,» Veblen said.

Climate model projections neglecting these changes would continue to overestimate the radiative forcing and global warming in coming decades if these aerosols remain present at current values or increase.

«Our model can help predict if forests are at risk of desertification or other climate change - related processes and identify what can be done to conserve these systems,» he said.

If only modest action is taken to reign in greenhouse gas emissions, the model predicts that pikas will disappear from about 75 percent of sites by 2070 (51 to 88 percent, depending on the global climate model used).

«If China's CO2 trading program is perceived as a successful program, I think it could provide the other nations the confidence to adopt the emissions trading model and take on a climate commitment or a more stringent climate commitment.

The scientists then ran two separate climate models to learn how the rate of global warming might change if the 16 measures were deployed, with and without carbon dioxide controls.

But if powering down or unplugging the computer (the only way it uses zero power) is not an option, then perhaps the most environmentally friendly use of all those wasted computing cycles is in helping to model climate change.

«This will evolve,» Putnam said, as more paleoclimate records emerge and are paired with climate models to «try to see if climate models can reproduce the patterns that we see in those datasets.»

A new model developed at Princeton University predicts that, if the poor continue to be affected in this way — and current climate policies remain the same — the world's future poor will be even worse off than impoverished people today.

«If this is the explanation, there isn't anything drastically wrong with our climate models.»

If the tropics were indeed this hot, it would solve a huge problem faced by existing climate models, including those used by the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change climate models, including those used by the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change Climate Change (IPCC).

Wiedinmyer also wants to put her estimates into models of climate and air movement and see if they match up with current air observations.

How can we even think about modeling the climate of the next 100 years if we can not model how to produce such a big feature of our climate today?»

The team doesn't directly attribute the die - offs to climate change, but if extreme drought episodes become more frequent in the tropics — as climate models predict they will — the lions could suffer, Packer says.

«If we're predicting a 29 - degree optimum and another model is predicting a 35 - degree optimum, the other model will say that climate change will increase transmission,» she said in a Stanford - issued media release, adding that if local temperatures are already near optimal temperature, infections may decline as temperatures risIf we're predicting a 29 - degree optimum and another model is predicting a 35 - degree optimum, the other model will say that climate change will increase transmission,» she said in a Stanford - issued media release, adding that if local temperatures are already near optimal temperature, infections may decline as temperatures risif local temperatures are already near optimal temperature, infections may decline as temperatures rise.

* «If we want to have more and more accurate climate models, we have to be able to capture processes such as this,» Peacock says.

«If you haven't had proximity to these glaciers, if you haven't thought about where water comes from, it would be easy to understate or underestimate the implications of glacial ice loss in a state that has predominantly a semi-desert climate and certainly by contemporary climate models is going to be pretty significantly impacted by climate change,» said Jacki Klancher, a professor of environmental science at Central Wyoming CollegIf you haven't had proximity to these glaciers, if you haven't thought about where water comes from, it would be easy to understate or underestimate the implications of glacial ice loss in a state that has predominantly a semi-desert climate and certainly by contemporary climate models is going to be pretty significantly impacted by climate change,» said Jacki Klancher, a professor of environmental science at Central Wyoming Collegif you haven't thought about where water comes from, it would be easy to understate or underestimate the implications of glacial ice loss in a state that has predominantly a semi-desert climate and certainly by contemporary climate models is going to be pretty significantly impacted by climate change,» said Jacki Klancher, a professor of environmental science at Central Wyoming College.