Over the Holocene we may be more certain as to
the impact of abrupt climate change.
«Oxygen - 18 of O2 Records
the Impact of Abrupt Climate Change on the Terrestrial Biosphere.»
In addition, the committee is grateful to the participants of the Workshop on the Economic and Ecological
Impacts of Abrupt Climate Change for their insights and written reports, parts of which have been incorporated into this report: Craig Allen, Edward Cook, Peter Daszak, Mark Dyurgerov, David Inouye, Klaus Keller, George Kling, Walter Koenig, Carl Leopold, Thomas Lowell, Robert Mendelsohn, John Reilly, Joel Smith, Thomas Swetnam, Richard Tol, Ferenc Toth, Harvey Weiss, John Weyant, and Gary Yohe.
Not exact matches
Risk — that the reality
of climate change means that there are
climate change impacts we can expect, but we also must consider what might happen, especially the small, but real, chance that we may face
abrupt changes with massively disruptive
impacts.
Changes in atmospheric chemistry produced naturally and by humans, behavior
of abrupt climate change events in the atmosphere; multiple controls on
climate and the unique role
of human
impact.
We know this:
Abrupt Impacts of Climate Change: Anticipating Surprises (2013), but we have failed to warn the public.
The title reflects advances in understanding: «
Abrupt Impacts of Climate Change: Anticipating Surprises.»
It will also lower the risk
of pushing our planet past a «threshold» that could lead to dramatic,
abrupt climate changes with potentially catastrophic
impacts for human societies and natural systems.
Abrupt Impacts of Climate Change: Anticipating Surprises.
---- Mayewski, 2016 http://meetingorganizer.copernicus.org/EGU2016/EGU2016-2567.pdf «The demonstration using Greenland ice cores that
abrupt shifts in
climate, Dansgaard - Oeschger (D - O) events, existed during the last glacial period has had a transformational
impact on our understanding
of climate change in the naturally forced world.
More specifically, we (a) examined whether non-significant results were omitted disproportionately in the
climate change literature, (b) if there were particular trends
of unexpected and
abrupt changes in the number
of published studies and reported effects in relation to IPCC 2007 and Climategate, (c) whether effects presented in the abstracts were significantly larger than those reported in the main body
of reports, and (d) how findings from these first three tests related to the
impact factor
of journals.
The AMOC has a considerable influence over European
climate from the northward heat transport by the Gulf Stream and a slowdown or halt
of the AMOC could have a large
impact on
climate and even induce
abrupt climate changes (Alley et al, 2002; Alley, 2007).
The near - final draft, approved Friday by representatives
of more than 140 governments meeting in Valencia, Spain, said global warming is «unequivocal» and said man's actions are heading toward «
abrupt or irreversible
climate changes and
impacts.»
But the only mention
of these words in the IPCC report are in the section «Anthropogenic warming could lead to some
impacts that are
abrupt or irreversible, depending upon the rate and magnitude
of the
climate change», which reveals a far less frightening and urgent picture than such accounts suggests:
In Part 1 «
Climate makes history ``, the documentary looks at how abrupt climate changes indeed occurred in the past and how they had profound impacts on the development of our civilization, thus dumping cold water on the naïve notion that climate used to be more or less steady before humans began industriali
Climate makes history ``, the documentary looks at how
abrupt climate changes indeed occurred in the past and how they had profound impacts on the development of our civilization, thus dumping cold water on the naïve notion that climate used to be more or less steady before humans began industriali
climate changes indeed occurred in the past and how they had profound
impacts on the development
of our civilization, thus dumping cold water on the naïve notion that
climate used to be more or less steady before humans began industriali
climate used to be more or less steady before humans began industrialization.
Fifthly, there is now a greater understanding
of the range
of potential
climate change impacts, their regional variation and the possibility
of abrupt or irreversible
changes.
While extreme events per se are not
abrupt climate changes as defined in this report,
changes in extreme events could lead to
abrupt changes in two ways: (1) an
abrupt change in a weather or
climate extremes regime, for example a sudden shift to persistent drought conditions; or (2) a gradual trend in the frequency or severity
of extremes that causes
abrupt impacts when societal or ecological thresholds are crossed, as illustrated in Figure 2.10.
Abrupt Impacts of Climate Change makes the case that the time is here to be serious about the threat
of tipping points so as to better anticipate and prepare ourselves for the inevitable surprises.
The
abrupt impact of climate change on causing extinctions
of key concern, therefore, is its potential to deplete population sizes below viable thresholds within just the next few decades, whether or not the last individual
of a species actually dies.
As such, ocean acidification could represent an
abrupt climate impact when thresholds are crossed below which organisms lose the ability to create their shells by calcification, or pH
changes affect survival rates (see the Extinctions section below for more discussion
of these issues).
Identifying key vulnerabilities can help guide efforts to increase resiliency and avoid large damages from
abrupt change in the
climate system, or in
abrupt impacts of gradual
changes in the
climate system, and facilitate more informed decisions on the proper balance between mitigation and adaptation.
This study differs from previous treatments
of abrupt changes by focusing on
abrupt climate changes and also
abrupt climate impacts that have the potential to severely affect the physical
climate system, natural systems, or human systems, often affecting multiple interconnected areas
of concern.
Abrupt Impacts of Climate Change summarizes the state of our knowledge about potential abrupt changes and abrupt climate impacts and categorizes changes that are already occurring, have a high probability of occurrence, or are unlikely to
Abrupt Impacts of Climate Change summarizes the state of our knowledge about potential abrupt changes and abrupt climate impacts and categorizes changes that are already occurring, have a high probability of occurrence, or are unlikely to
Impacts of Climate Change summarizes the state of our knowledge about potential abrupt changes and abrupt climate impacts and categorizes changes that are already occurring, have a high probability of occurrence, or are unlikely to
Climate Change summarizes the state
of our knowledge about potential
abrupt changes and abrupt climate impacts and categorizes changes that are already occurring, have a high probability of occurrence, or are unlikely to
abrupt changes and
abrupt climate impacts and categorizes changes that are already occurring, have a high probability of occurrence, or are unlikely to
abrupt climate impacts and categorizes changes that are already occurring, have a high probability of occurrence, or are unlikely to
climate impacts and categorizes changes that are already occurring, have a high probability of occurrence, or are unlikely to
impacts and categorizes
changes that are already occurring, have a high probability
of occurrence, or are unlikely to occur.
Yet as we said at the time, this highly ambiguous statement made it into the headlines — with the help
of senior IPCC members — as a statement that «The IPCC states that
climate change is «unequivocal» and may bring «
abrupt and irreversible»
impacts».
Whether you (or Edim) personally want to worry about these things is up to you, my point is that there are plenty
of potential effects
of climate change which would not fall into the «
abrupt and irreversible» category but could still cause big problems if they occur, so just because the particular outcomes the IPCC classifies as such may not happen this century it doesn't logically mean we won't suffer serious
impacts in the shorter term.
University
of Colorado Professor Jim White offers examples in the individual and corporate sectors
of impacts that could be felt as a result
of abrupt climate change.
We are at risk
of pushing our
climate system toward
abrupt, unpredictable, and potentially irreversible
changes with highly damaging
impacts.
On the other hand, if
abrupt climate changes don't happen on their own — if they only happen due to extraterrestrial causes — then one would want to see evidence
of impacts for at least a few more
of them, not just one.
while the public is becoming aware that
climate change is increasing the likelihood
of certain local disasters, many people do not yet understand that there is a small, but real chance
of abrupt, unpredictable and potentially irreversible
changes with highly damaging
impacts on people in the United States and around the world.