Sentences with phrase «impacts under climate change scenarios»

«Projecting Global Marine Biodiversity Impacts under Climate Change Scenarios».

Not exact matches

According to the report, under a «business as usual» scenario, climate change will be the fastest growing driver negatively impacting biodiversity by 2050 in the Americas, becoming comparable to the pressures imposed by land use change.

The Climate Impact Lab's sea - level rise projections use a framework that ties together multiple threads of information to assess the probability of local sea - level changes around the world, under different future emissions scenarios.

The latest relevant ABARE publication («Economic impact of climate change policy», ABARE Research Report 06 - 7) says that global CO2 emissions in its reference case closely follow those under the IPCC's A2 scenario to 2030 and that the latter scenario assumes a decline in economic growth after that year (pps.

«Climate change is likely to have a substantial negative impact on future mortality, even under optimistic scenarios,» Dr Springmann continued.

Other recent assessments using the FAO / IIASA Agro-Ecological Zones model (AEZ) in conjunction with IIASA's world food system or Basic Linked System (BSL), as well as climate variables from five different GCMs under four SRES emissions scenarios, show further agricultural impacts such as changes in agricultural potential by the 2080s (Fischer et al., 2005).

This is not meant to pre-judge whether those risks are worse than climate change impacts under plausible emission scenarios and is not meant to claim that all geoengineering strategies are dangerous or risky.

Under even the midpoint of that scenario, climate change will overwhelm all other impacts and transform the planet.

«In addition, safeguarded farmland will continue providing healthy local produce and mitigating climate - change impacts of transporting food around the globe, while conserved wetlands improve the quality of our air and water and serve as buffers from potentially catastrophic storm surges predicted under current climate - change scenarios,» he added.

Developed over the past 26 years, the MIT Integrated Global System Modeling (IGSM) framework allows researchers to custom - design climate - change scenarios and assess climate impacts under those scenarios.

In the study, Monier and his co-authors applied the IGSM framework to assess climate impacts under different climate - change scenarios — «Paris Forever,» a scenario in which Paris Agreement pledges are carried out through 2030, and then maintained at that level through 2100; and «2C,» a scenario with a global carbon tax - driven emissions reduction policy designed to cap global warming at 2 degrees Celsius by 2100.

Using the Coupled Model Intercomparison Project (CMIP5) ensemble, Jascha Lehmann from Germany's Potsdam Institute for Climate Impact Research and colleagues rolled climate forward to 2100 and looked at the change in storm tracks under a high carbon - dioxide - emissions scClimate Impact Research and colleagues rolled climate forward to 2100 and looked at the change in storm tracks under a high carbon - dioxide - emissions scclimate forward to 2100 and looked at the change in storm tracks under a high carbon - dioxide - emissions scenario.

Lam and team used climate models from the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change to examine the economic impacts of climate change on fish stocks and fisheries revenues under two different emissions scenarios: a high - emission scenario, in which the rates at which greenhouse gases are pumped into the Earth's atmosphere continue to rise unchecked, and a low - emission scenario under which ocean warming is kept below two degrees Cclimate models from the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change to examine the economic impacts of climate change on fish stocks and fisheries revenues under two different emissions scenarios: a high - emission scenario, in which the rates at which greenhouse gases are pumped into the Earth's atmosphere continue to rise unchecked, and a low - emission scenario under which ocean warming is kept below two degrees CClimate Change to examine the economic impacts of climate change on fish stocks and fisheries revenues under two different emissions scenarios: a high - emission scenario, in which the rates at which greenhouse gases are pumped into the Earth's atmosphere continue to rise unchecked, and a low - emission scenario under which ocean warming is kept below two degrees CeChange to examine the economic impacts of climate change on fish stocks and fisheries revenues under two different emissions scenarios: a high - emission scenario, in which the rates at which greenhouse gases are pumped into the Earth's atmosphere continue to rise unchecked, and a low - emission scenario under which ocean warming is kept below two degrees Cclimate change on fish stocks and fisheries revenues under two different emissions scenarios: a high - emission scenario, in which the rates at which greenhouse gases are pumped into the Earth's atmosphere continue to rise unchecked, and a low - emission scenario under which ocean warming is kept below two degrees Cechange on fish stocks and fisheries revenues under two different emissions scenarios: a high - emission scenario, in which the rates at which greenhouse gases are pumped into the Earth's atmosphere continue to rise unchecked, and a low - emission scenario under which ocean warming is kept below two degrees Celsius.

World Health Organization and British government - sponsored global impact studies indicate that, relative to other factors, global warming's impact on key determinants of human and environmental well - being should be small through 2085 even under the warmest Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change (IPCC) scenario.

«Climate change is likely to have a substantial negative impact on future mortality, even under optimistic scenarios,» Dr Springmann says.

In their study, Dim Coumou, from the Potsdam Institute for Climate Impact Research, and Alexander Robinson, from Universidad Complutense de Madrid, used state - of - the - art climate models to project changes in the trend of heat extremes under two future warming scenarios — RCP2.6 and RCP8.5 — throughout the 21st cClimate Impact Research, and Alexander Robinson, from Universidad Complutense de Madrid, used state - of - the - art climate models to project changes in the trend of heat extremes under two future warming scenarios — RCP2.6 and RCP8.5 — throughout the 21st cclimate models to project changes in the trend of heat extremes under two future warming scenarios — RCP2.6 and RCP8.5 — throughout the 21st century.

Topic 3 presents projections of future climate change and related impacts under different scenarios.

Abstract: An evaluation of analyses sponsored by the predecessor to the U.K. Department for Environment, Food and Rural Affairs (DEFRA) of the global impacts of climate change under various mitigation scenarios (including CO2 stabilization at 550 and 750 ppm) coupled with an examination of the relative costs associated with different schemes to either mitigate climate change or reduce vulnerability to various climate - sensitive hazards (namely, malaria, hunger, water shortage, coastal flooding, and losses of global forests and coastal wetlands) indicates that, at least for the next few decades, risks and / or threats associated with these hazards would be lowered much more effectively and economically by reducing current and future vulnerability to those hazards rather than through stabilization.

Here we use climate projections under alternative mitigation scenarios to show how changes in environmental variables that limit plant growth could impact ecosystems and people.

5 — I suspect that the impact of your plan (as I read it) could be worse than the impact of climate change under a non-BAU scenario (i.e. one where we gradually reduce emissions down to zero over the course of say 3 - 5 decades and then manage to go carbon - negative — more on that below).

An alternative approach uses simple climate model projections of global warming under stabilisation to scale AOGCM patterns of climate change assuming unmitigated emissions, and then uses the resulting scenarios to assess regional impacts (e.g., Bakkenes et al., 2006).