In a chaotic system like weather, it is usually not possible to answer questions like this.
Not exact matches
Mr. Carson is of course quite right
in implying that if we ask whether even local or limited time averages
in a
system with
chaotic trajectories are themselves completely ordered and regular, we find that they are not, and that over even greater times they,
like individual trajectories themselves, are unpredictable; that is probably an essential aspect of
chaotic behavior.
Most theorists hold that such ejections should be quite common during the
chaotic tumult of a planetary
system's early days, when closely - packed worlds whirling around a star can scatter off each other
like billiard balls
in a break shot.
I
liked the team name
system they came up with (
Like Pushing Daisies for Daisy + Boo), and just
in general I think this is one of the funnest games to have a 50 - turn go with, since by the end they board will be stuffed with random
chaotic spaces.
However some features might not be offered
in India
like Magic Body Control won't work
in our
chaotic conditions as it's a sensor based
system.
I
liked the team name
system they came up with (
Like Pushing Daisies for Daisy + Boo), and just
in general I think this is one of the funnest games to have a 50 - turn go with, since by the end they board will be stuffed with random
chaotic spaces.
Even the pleasantly original, semi-turn-based combat
system of the first game has been replaced with
chaotic, Tales -
like arcade brawling that might encourage blocking
in theory but which
in practice regresses into mindless bashing of an attack button, throwing
in an occasional special move or two, and hoping that your two AI allies make themselves even remotely useful.
Then let us not forget that although entropy (heat loss) escapes the earth
system, some is trapped
in increasing random motions which influences both, short interval and
chaotic weather, and longer term climate and as well as other biological factors,
like evolution and carrying capacity.
That is not to say the
system is non-
chaotic: Hydrodynamics are always
chaotic, so there are always some small changes, a few degrees
in some lakes, or something
like that, which will send temperatures off to crazytown, but it appears as though modelers have not stumbled onto them overwhelmingly often.
These parameters are guesses, because there just isn't enough understanding of the complex and
chaotic climate
system to parse out their different values, or to even be clear about cause and effect
in certain processes (
like cloud formation).
It appears
in the climate
system as abrupt change that looks very much
like a
chaotic oscillator.
If we have a
chaotic system with two attractors where the choice of the attractor is not controlled by external forcing (
like Milankovitch cycles) but by random factors then this does not work, but if the external forcings dominate
in the choice then there are no problems of the type you indicate.
While actual scientists are trying to piece together every little part of an otherwise almost un-piecable long term
chaotic and variable
system in response now to a massive increase
in net lower atmospheric energy absorption and re radiation, Curry is busy — much
like most of the comments on this site most of the time — trying to come up with or re-post every possible argument under the sun to all but argue against the basic concept that radically altering the atmosphere on a multi million year basis is going to affect the net energy balance of earth, which over time is going to translate into a very different climate (and ocean level) than the one we've comfortably come to rely on.
You can easily find such cycles
in a variety of
chaotic systems,
like say the stock market.
The idea is that
in a
chaotic system, a small change
like a butterfly flapping its wings
in some distant part of the globe can influence a large - scale effect, such as the formation and trajectory of a storm
like the recent Hurricane Sandy.
So
in a dissipative -
chaotic system like climate, it is not surprising that the time wavetrain of climate status looked at from numerous metrics, will show emergent periodic structure and complexity.
The concept of a black swan may be a very useful metaphor to help discuss the issues involved
in understanding the limits of human knowledge, particularly when dealing with complex,
chaotic systems like the climate.
Theoreticians are
like magicians — they must oversimplify
in order to describe a
chaotic and heterogeneous
system.