If in fact estimated mitigation possibilities can truly contribute beyond that which is already embedded
in the baseline scenarios, then that should be demonstrated in detail, not simply assumed.
In baseline scenarios, without any temperature alteration, the streams behaved as expected, with a swell in streamflow during snowmelt.
The chart below shows the % of the Daily Recommended intake for the various nutrients that were not meeting the DRI
in the baseline scenario per 2000 calories achieved.
We estimate the cost of a 2:1 ratio of students to devices
in our baseline scenario and a 1:1 ratio in our target scenario.
In our baseline scenario, the IT staff - device ratio increases by roughly half (1:300), which is still below the industry median (1:200).
This would avoid double accounting of technologies which appear
both in the baseline scenario and then again as a «wedge».
I was simply trying to forestall the initial answer I expected - that individual weather events were to be judged unlikely
in a baseline scenario on the basis of whether they happened in climate models.
If states continue on their current path as modeled
in the Baseline Scenario, they will reduce emissions only 30 % from 1990 levels by 2030.
In the Baseline Scenario, wind and solar power increase to the limits set by current state commitments made through renewable portfolio standards (RPSs) and related purchases of renewable energy.
Nuclear accounts for nearly one - quarter of power generation in BLUE Map and hydro for half as much, building on the important role both technologies already play
in the Baseline scenario.
Initial modeling by the Texas system operator showed significant shortages in the early evening hours — upwards of 18 GW
in the baseline scenario.
The blue bar shows how much economic growth the IPCC expects there to be if governments take action, and the grey bar shows the growth projected
in the baseline scenario:
Changes in temperature and precipitation averaged over five sub-continental regions at 2100 were compared to
those in a baseline scenario based on 1 % / yr increase in CO2 concentrations from 1990.
Not exact matches
«
In our current
baseline scenario we have indeed assumed that the UK should be able to secure an agreement that preserves many advantages of the UK's current Single Market access.
«The key risk is that it does not end with this modest
baseline scenario,» said Kuijs, who formerly worked for the World Bank
in Beijing.
He noted that the
baseline scenario for tests
in 2015 — which projected an economic contraction of 2.3 percent for that year — was more dramatic than the 1.3 percent contraction used
in the most conservative
scenario in the current tests.
In addition, the government debt stock and service remain vulnerable to stronger devaluations than Moody's
baseline scenario.
The ACBC report forecasts — on a
baseline scenario — that by 2026 the services share of exports to China will have doubled, from 9.6 per cent
in 2015 to 19 per cent.
Using the analysis above as a
baseline, we also tested other
scenarios and found that Pacific Time Zone teams traveling east perform even worse after covering the spread
in their previous game.
The «
baseline scenario» showed that the difference
in green - house emissions was insignificant (
in fact, disposables even scored slightly better).
Using CBO's
baseline assumptions for spending growth, and assuming defense and nondefense R&D maintain their recent historical performance as a share of appropriations, the picture might look like the «
baseline»
scenario in figure 2.
«On the basis of our study findings, we have two important take home messages: First, even though losing half a night of sleep may not impair memory functions under
baseline conditions, the addition of acute cognitive stress may be enough to lead to significant impairments, which can possibly be detrimental
in real - world
scenarios.
They applied this data
in models as a
baseline to estimate future climate and vegetation
scenarios based on different temperature increases.
Low range
scenario B1, moderate A1B (used as the
baseline for all other assessments
in this study) and high range A2 are represented by A, C and E respectively for 2050, while B, D and F show the same
scenarios for 2090.
The
baseline scenario is that a passive investor holds the Global Market Portfolio (GMP)
in the absence of overriding views or predictions.
As a result, we will be increasing the probability on our «Rise
in global protectionism»
scenario which delivers a more stagflationary [1] outcome for the world economy than the
baseline forecast.
The report also outlines a
baseline scenario, built around these trends, to size the business potential for passenger rail
in 2020, and concludes with comments on how passenger rail operators can take advantage of the trends transforming the industry landscape, and position themselves to benefit from opportunities that currently lie beyond their borders.
In part, that is because Pacala and Socolow built their
scenario on a business as usual (BAU) emissions
baseline based on assumptions that do not appear to be coming true.
Pacala and Socolow (2004) assumed a
baseline scenario and then characterized what we need to do
in terms of departure from that
baseline.
In addition to the Base Policy case, EIA's analysis includes several sensitivity cases encompassing different interpretations or implementations of the proposed rule as well as a scenario in which further emissions reductions are required beyond 2030, all of which use the AEO2015 Reference case as their baselin
In addition to the Base Policy case, EIA's analysis includes several sensitivity cases encompassing different interpretations or implementations of the proposed rule as well as a
scenario in which further emissions reductions are required beyond 2030, all of which use the AEO2015 Reference case as their baselin
in which further emissions reductions are required beyond 2030, all of which use the AEO2015 Reference case as their
baseline.
Under a «best guess» (or median)
scenario, experts anticipate 24 % — 30 % reductions
in the levelized cost of energy by 2030 and 35 % — 41 % reductions by 2050 across the three wind applications studied, relative to 2014
baseline values (Figure 1).
In its
baseline New Policies
Scenario, the IEA predicts that by 2040, total global generation capacity will increase by more than 60 %, and renewables will make up over 45 % of that total.
Even under optimistic assumptions about timing and
baseline scenarios, it's clear that little if any large - scale production of biofuels or biomass anywhere
in the world even approaches carbon - neutrality.
Using the growth rates from the Assessed 2oC
Scenarios and a standard
baseline for 2010 demand, oil demand is estimated to decline on average from about 95 million barrels per day
in 2016 to about 78 million barrels per day
in 2040.
The
baseline case includes the possibility of WAIS instability, depending upon emissions and warming; the triggered case differs only
in enforcing collapse under any
scenario at some time within Levermann et al.'s (10) 2,000 - y envelope.
Notice how the right panel's «
baseline climate» is flat; indicating that there was no underlying climate change
in this hypothetical
scenario and all temperature variability came from natural fluctuations9.
The energy system reference cases used for future greenhouse gas (GHG) emission pathways
in climate change research are a case
in point:
baseline emission
scenarios commonly project levels of coal combustion many times higher than current reserve estimates by the year 2100.
In buildings, electric and natural gas efficiency annual incremental savings goals were increased from the
Baseline Scenario to an average of 2.5 % and 1.4 %, respectively across all states; heat pumps replaced fossil fuels for 13 % of residential building heating needs.
Three
scenarios are generated under different options,
baseline (which is based on historical trends), target 2020 (which is based on the European target set
in 2020) and target 2030 (which is based on the European target set
in 2030).
The new
baseline should be the IEA 450 (2 °C)
scenario, which as this WEO shows is not a static reference point
in terms of the pathway to delivering the emissions outcome.
However, 1.9 W m − 2
scenarios could not be achieved
in several models under SSPs with strong inequalities, high
baseline fossil - fuel use, or scattered short - term climate policy.
For the Primary and Accelerated
Scenarios, changes to the
baseline consumption were made based on forecasts of clean energy technology penetrations
in different sectors.
Three
scenarios were developed to assess the options that states have to reduce their emissions: (1) a
Baseline Scenario («business as usual») that projected emissions
in 2030 without any policy changes, (2) the Primary
Scenario that will achieve the 45 % reduction from 1990 levels, and (3) an Accelerated
Scenario that examines options for ambitious states that want to lead the region
in reducing emissions.
Figure ES.2 shows the sources of CO2 savings
in the BLUE Map
scenario compared to the
Baseline scenario.
Even so, and starting with a worldwide
baseline of 16 % undernourishment (people at risk from hunger)
in 1990 (and about 14 % today), they forecast its prevalence to decline sharply by 2080, to about 1 % to 1.5 %
in all other
scenarios, and only 6 % for A2 (totally explained by the weird population assumptions
in A2).
Application of all renewable technologies combined, across all sectors, accounts for 21 % of CO2 savings
in the BLUE Map
scenario against the
Baseline scenario.
Under a moderate emissions
scenario (RCP4.5), where greenhouse gas concentrations
in the atmosphere stabilise around the 2050s, ocean temperatures
in the study area would be around 1.4 C warmer than a
baseline period of the 2000s.
This chapter reviews and analyzes
baseline (non-mitigation) and stabilization
scenarios in the literature that have appeared since the publications of the IPCC SRES and the TAR.
• The readiness of the nation to predict and avoid public and occupational health problems caused by heat waves and severe storms • Characterization and quantification of relationships between climate variability, health outcomes, and the main determinants of vulnerability within and between populations • Development of reliable methods to connect climate - related changes
in food systems and water supplies to health under different conditions • Prediction of future risks
in response to climate change
scenarios and of reductions
in the
baseline level of morbidity, mortality, or vulnerability • Identification of the available resources, limitations of, and potential actions by the current U.S. health care system to prevent, prepare for, and respond to climate - related health hazards and to build adaptive capacity among vulnerable segments of the U.S. population
Values given
in this table correspond to the full literature across all
baselines and mitigation
scenarios that provide GDP numbers.