Thaler, Richard H. and De Bondt, Werner F.M., Further Evidence on
Investor Overreaction and Stock Market Seasonality (Jul 1987).
One of the most fascinating examples of the phenomenon of mean reversion was identified by Werner F.M. DeBondt and Richard H. Thaler in Further Evidence on
Investor Overreaction and Stock Market Seasonality.
The New Yorker has John Cassidy's interview with Richard Thaler, Chicago School economist and co-author (along with Werner F.M. DeBondt) of Further Evidence on
Investor Overreaction and Stock...
-LSB-...] because that was what all the early research seemed to say (See, for example, Roger Ibbotson's «Decile Portfolios of the New York Stock Exchange, 1967 — 1984,» Werner F.M. DeBondt and Richard H. Thaler's «Further Evidence on
Investor Overreaction and -LSB-...]
-LSB-...] Richard H. Thaler, Chicago School economist and co-author (along with Werner F.M. DeBondt) of Further Evidence on
Investor Overreaction and Stock Market Seasonality, and the «Thaler» in Fuller & Thaler Asset Management, has written an opinion piece for -LSB-...]
-LSB-...] the phenomenon of mean reversion was identified by Werner F.M. DeBondt and Richard H. Thaler in Further Evidence on
Investor Overreaction and Stock Market Seasonality.
-LSB-...] that was what all the early research seemed to say (See, for example, Roger Ibbotson's «Decile Portfolios of the New York Stock Exchange, 1967 — 1984,» Werner F.M. DeBondt and Richard H. Thaler's «Further Evidence on
Investor Overreaction -LSB-...]
A second study conducted by Werner F.M. DeBondt and Richard H. Thaler, Finance Professors at University of Wisconsin and Cornell University, respectively, examined stock price in relation to book value in «Further Evidence on
Investor Overreaction and Stock Market Seasonality,» The Journal of Finance, July 1987.
-LSB-...] Risk paper, and the «Thaler» in Fuller & Thaler is Richard H. Thaler, co-author of Further Evidence on
Investor Overreaction and Stock Market Seasonality, both papers I'm wont to cite.
-LSB-...] H. Thaler's Further Evidence on
Investor Overreaction and Stock Market Seasonality (1987).
Richard H. Thaler, Chicago School economist and co-author (along with Werner F.M. DeBondt) of Further Evidence on
Investor Overreaction and Stock Market Seasonality, and the «Thaler» in Fuller & Thaler Asset Management, has written an opinion piece for the NYTimes.com «The Overconfidence Problem in Forecasting.»
My investment thesis was based on
investor overreaction, not on the intrinsic value of the assets.
You might recognize the names: «LSV» stands for Lakonishok, Shleifer, and Vishny, authors of the landmark Contrarian Investment, Extrapolation and Risk paper, and the «Thaler» in Fuller & Thaler is Richard H. Thaler, co-author of Further Evidence on
Investor Overreaction and Stock Market Seasonality, both papers I'm wont to cite.
Book value has received plenty of attention from researchers in academia and industry, starting with Roger Ibbotson's Decile Portfolios of the New York Stock Exchange, 1967 — 1984 (1986) and Werner F.M. DeBondt and Richard H. Thaler's Further Evidence on
Investor Overreaction and Stock Market Seasonality (1987).
The New Yorker has John Cassidy's interview with Richard Thaler, Chicago School economist and co-author (along with Werner F.M. DeBondt) of Further Evidence on
Investor Overreaction and Stock Market Seasonality, a paper I like to cite in relation to low P / B quintiles and earnings mean reversion.
In this instance, Professor Oppenheimer's study speaks to the return on the Near Graham Net Net Portfolio, as Roger Ibbotson's Decile Portfolios of the New York Stock Exchange, 1967 — 1984 (1986), Werner F.M. DeBondt and Richard H. Thaler's Further Evidence on
Investor Overreaction and Stock Market Seasonality (1987), Josef Lakonishok, Andrei Shleifer, and Robert Vishny's Contrarian Investment, Extrapolation and Risk (1994) as updated by The Brandes Institute's Value vs Glamour: A Global Phenomenon (2008) speak to the return on the Ultra-low Price - to - book Portfolio.
Its conclusion that book - to - price indicates expected returns associated with expected earnings growth is particularly interesting, and accords with the same findings in Werner F.M. DeBondt and Richard H. Thaler in Further Evidence on
Investor Overreaction and Stock Market Seasonality.
As the various studies we have discussed recently demonstrate — Roger Ibbotson's Decile Portfolios of the New York Stock Exchange, 1967 — 1984 (1986), Werner F.M. DeBondt and Richard H. Thaler's Further Evidence on
Investor Overreaction and Stock Market Seasonality (1987), Josef Lakonishok, Andrei Shleifer, and Robert Vishny Contrarian Investment, Extrapolation and Risk (1994) and The Brandes Institute's Value vs Glamour: A Global Phenomenon (2008)-- low price - to - book value stocks outperform higher priced stocks and the market in general.
As we discussed yesterday in Testing the performance of price - to - book value, various studies, including Roger Ibbotson's Decile Portfolios of the New York Stock Exchange, 1967 — 1984 (1986), Werner F.M. DeBondt and Richard H. Thaler's Further Evidence on
Investor Overreaction and Stock Market Seasonality (1987), Josef Lakonishok, Andrei Shleifer, and Robert Vishny Contrarian Investment, Extrapolation and Risk (1994) and The Brandes Institute's Value vs Glamour: A Global Phenomenon (2008) all conclude that lower price - to - book value stocks tend to outperform higher price - to - book value stocks, and at lower risk.
One of the most fascinating examples of the phenomenon of mean reversion was identified by Werner F.M. DeBondt and Richard H. Thaler in Further Evidence on
Investor Overreaction and Stock Market Se...
Finally, he investigates whether abnormal returns around peaks are due to
investor overreaction.
The potential for wider market disruption seems fairly muted, perhaps stemming only from
investor overreaction to headlines.
Finally, he investigates whether abnormal returns around peaks are due to
investor overreaction.
In the May 2016 version of his paper entitled «Abnormal Stock Market Returns Around Peaks in VIX: The Evidence of
Investor Overreaction?»
Not exact matches
To some
investors, those falling valuations signal an
overreaction — one that, Miller says, has made many stocks «fairly attractive and very investable.»
The deeper
investors discount the likelihood of Fed action, the greater the risk any move will trigger an
overreaction with unpredictable and negative economic fallout, making policymakers more hesitant to act.
We're also seeing
overreactions by
investors who have been quick to draw conclusions about what it all means before the dust has settled.
Remember this because when
investors see the market plunging on news items that seem like «nothing,» they're often tempted to buy into what clearly seems to be an
overreaction.
Snow Capital Management is a boutique
investor firm that takes advantage of
investors»
overreaction to negative events as the company experiences a temporary difficulty of sorts.
Typically, securities oversell due to an
overreaction on the part of
investors regarding a piece of news or other information.
While most firms deserve their low ratios, value
investors seek companies with low price - earnings ratios in the belief that through neglect or
overreaction to bad news, the market has not correctly evaluated the earnings potential of the company.
But for
investors with courage, conviction, and an outlook longer than a few months, we think this market
overreaction is a wonderful buying opportunity.
Using a variety of methods researchers have documented systematic biases (e.g., underreaction,
overreaction, etc.) that occur among professional
investors as well as novices.
Thus, for value
investors opportunity can be created by
overreaction to a temporary stumble that is extrapolated out as a permantent reduction in earnings power or NAV.
Think about how many
investors dumped tons of stock in the early 2000's (not just tech stocks, which were the problem, but ALL stock) due to nothing more than fear and
overreaction?