So maybe TEN starts up on time without a hitch, maybe production hits 100
K bopd net next year, maybe the oil price doubles, maybe Tullow can slowly dig itself out of this hole... But who knows, the oil price may take another sub - $ 30 dive, TEN may suddenly hit a disastrous production (or political) issue, the lenders may finally lose patience and / or force a horrifically dilutive equity raise on Tullow, short - sellers become more aggressive, whatever... Time will tell, but my price target stands right now.