The «
Keeling Curve» rises inexorably.
This year marks not only the release of a clarion IPCC report and the convening of an enormous UN climate conference, but also the 50th anniversary of
the Keeling curve — the longest continuous recording of atmospheric carbon dioxide levels, revealing a gradually rising carbon dioxide profile that helped trigger early concern about global warming.
Since
the Keeling curve is in the denominator of the estimate, doing so increases the estimated climate sensitivity (since CO2 was lower 20 years ago).
As part of this week's Earth Observation special (subscription required), Nature has a commentary by Euan Nisbet, atmospheric scientist at Royal Holloway, on
the Keeling curve — which «ranks very high indeed among the achievements of twentieth - century science», he says — and similar studies in the field of Earth monitoring.
They don't shift
the Keeling curve to the right at all.
A 20 - year delay is equivalent to sliding
the Keeling curve 20 years to the right before making an empirical estimate.
Obviously,
the Keeling curve rise and fall describes what plants and ocean [nature by itself] can do.
Estimates aside, how large would actual emissions reductions have to be to show up in
the Keeling curve, even in the 2nd derivative?
The Keeling curve (grossly smoothed) has a peak approx 15 May and a minima approx 28 September in the last year.
According to
the Keeling Curve website, carbon dioxide concentrations spiked to 402.20 parts per million on April 7, whereas data from the National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration (NOAA) showed a slightly lower level of 402.11 parts per million on the same day.
The Mauna Loa carbon dioxide (CO2) record, also known as the «
Keeling Curve,» is the world's longest unbroken record of atmospheric carbon dioxide concentrations.
If the total 100m was replaced annually, we wouldn't see
a Keeling Curve with half the annual input remaining in the atmosphere.
The Keeling responsible for
the Keeling Curve was Charles David Keeling (April 20, 1928 - June 20, 2005) who began to collect samples of the atmosphere from the Earth's surface in remote locations in California including Big Sur and the White Mountains.
Scripps Oceanography lab monitoring atmospheric CO2 named National Historic Chemical Landmark Continue reading American Chemical Society to Honor
Keeling Curve in June 12 Ceremony →
I have no quarrel with
the Keeling curve.
I even wonder about the regionality of the CO2 rise as per
the Keeling Curve.
The rate of growth in carbon dioxide concentrations in the atmosphere has accelerated since the beginnings of
the Keeling Curve.
The chart documenting this rise is perhaps the most iconic in all of climate science, known as the «
Keeling Curve» for Charles David Keeling, the Scripps Institution of Oceanography scientist who began and maintained the monitoring program.
Scripps Oceanography teamed with Killer Infographics to create this brief animated introduction to
the Keeling Curve.
We often compare the 50 year
Keeling curve to recent warming?
A lot of deniers seem to think climate models are looking for something to fit to warming — these straw men see
the Keeling curve, say, «Hey, that looks like it!»
The match between
the Keeling curve and the warming is only confirmation, not the source of the hypothesis.
In fact, cross-spectrum analysis shows, that
the Keeling curve is either incoherent with GAT variations or LAGS them.
``... cross-spectrum analysis shows, that
the Keeling curve is either incoherent with GAT variations or LAGS them.»
We again point to
the Keeling curve — this time NOAA's «global average» atmospheric CO2 concentration over the last 5 years.
You don't reach the coupled warming values once
the Keeling curve hits 400, 450, 500, etc ppm — you hit is decades later — the reason 99 % of people (still) underestimate climatic urgency.
(and no amount of curve fitting, with
keeling curve superimposed on best, is going to change that fact of the matter)...
They are the longest - running measurements of their kind anywhere in the world, with continuous readings since 1958, started by Dr. Charles Keeling — hence the term
Keeling Curve for the plot.
What is now called
the Keeling Curve describes the steady rise of CO2 in parts per million in the last six decades.The ratio before the Industrial Revolution is put at around 280ppm.
It contradicts the analysis of
the Keeling curve and results from carbon 14 from atmospheric tests in the fifties.
Gore's slide show appropriately displays many graphs of
the Keeling Curve, as it is probably the most important and most famous finding in climate change science.
Looking at
the Keeling curve, or any of the other long - term atmospheric CO2 data sets, we see that interannual variability in temperature only produces relatively small fluctuations in the rate of increase of CO2 in the atmosphere, as discussed in IPCC AR4.
OK, so that doesn't make sense to you, but maybe you would care to explain the correlation between
the Keeling curve and emissions being 0.9988.
One is that
the Keeling Curve is a manufactured curve with a reconstituted mean and variability, coupled with the fact that MLO is in the plume of major CO2 outgassing from the Eastern Equatorial Pacific, and the plume likely wanders across the island with the prevailing wind.
The Keeling Curve is a record of CO2 measurements taken at he top of Mauna Loa volcano in Hawaii since 1958.
It seems to me the famous
Keeling curve and China exceeding US CO2 emission and reaching towards doubling US fossil fuel emission has demonstrated a problem with the «idea».
He provides no evidence for my observation that
the Keeling Curve is a manufactured curve as I described.
These do not address the issue of the distrust in ice core data resulting from the mismatch between the Vostok records and
the Keeling Curve.
The Keeling curve, being an integration of those changes, is naturally smoother - looking.
The annual CO2 rise is correlated 0.9988 with emissions, and these have both almost tripled since
the Keeling curve started.
Mark, the yearly increase in atmospheric CO2 ppm, as defined by
the Keeling Curve Graph, is a direct result of the yearly average «warming» of the world's ocean waters as they recover from the effects of the LIA.
If you think that natural sources of CO2 are adding more CO2 to the atmosphere than humans are, you need to toss out
the Keeling curve and all similar measurements, because they show a net annual increase smaller than the known human contribution.
The Keeling curve of CO2 concentration in the Earth's atmosphere since 1959 is the supposed smoking gun of catastrophic climate change.
The Keeling Curve animation via Scripps Oceanography https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=rEbE5fcnFVs
But a familiarity with
the Keeling curve will reveal that the two main features at the global scale are a nearly constant amplitude annual cycle and a persistent year - over-year increase.
1950 is extrapolated back from
the Keeling curve which only starts in 1958, so that number will be slightly wrong.
No spike in
Keeling curve CO2 from either the 1998 or the 2015 El Ninos.
We need
the Keeling curve to be accurately measured, and scientists have spent a lot of work verifying and improving on the original methodology of Keeling.
For example, Ernst - Georg Beck argued that historical CO2 levels are much higher than are shown with
the Keeling curve.