Sentences with phrase «labour lead in the polls»

The «yo - yo» in the opinion polls continued into 1992, though after November 1990 any Labour lead in the polls was rarely sufficient for a majority.

Not exact matches

Given that the opinion polls at the moment have a small Conservative lead and given that four years ago when most of the seats were up for grabs there was a small Labour lead, if indeed the Labour party is gaining ground in London it must be losing ground somewhere else.

Despite countless polls pointing to a narrowing of Labour's lead, Labour's actual share of the vote has hardly moved in the past year.

Since then, however, the «Brown bounce» that led the prime minister's advisers to urge him to call a snap election has disappeared as Labour slumps 13 points behind the Tories in the polls.

The polls in Scotland just before the last election showed a 21 - point lead for SNP over Labour.

While all the public polls have shown Khan with a healthy lead over his rival Zac Goldsmith, Labour are worried that a low turnout in inner London could benefit the Tories and rob Khan of victory.

YouGov's polling for the Sun, it should be noted, puts Labour in the lead on 33 %, with the Conservatives on 32 % and Ukip on 15 %.

Yet, the ease with which Prime Minister Theresa May was able to trigger the early election in light of her 21 point opinion poll lead over Labour over the Easter weekend appeared to cast doubt on its ability to deliver these aims.

The poll commissioned by Conservative peer Michael Ashcroft found that Labour have extended their lead in the UK's most marginal seats.

Labour is enjoying a huge 17 % lead over the Tories in the wake of the cash - for - access scandal, according to a new poll.

But the average of the final polls in 2015 had Labour a couple of points higher than Labour are now, and the eventual Conservative lead in 2015 was 7 points bigger than it was in the final polls.

According to the ICM survey, a Balls - led Labour party would be on 30 % in the polls — up 3 % from its current poll rating.

In May 2012 Labour had a commanding poll lead over the Tories, even allowing for shy Tories.

The Labour leadership election captured people's attention when a YouGov poll in late - July put Jeremy Corbyn in the lead.

However, the poll of 13,000 people finds the increased lead is due not to a surge in Labour popularity but to a tripling of the UKIP vote in the marginals.»

Jim Murphy's election as Scottish Labour leader two months ago did lead to a change in the party's fortunes in the polls, but he has more recently taken some interesting strategic positions.

Labour have their small but consistent lead in the polls, largely resulting from a lot of defected lib dem voters now favouring lLabour have their small but consistent lead in the polls, largely resulting from a lot of defected lib dem voters now favouring labourlabour.

Labour's lead by two points in this week's Ashcroft National Poll, conducted between Friday and Sunday.

He polled 1000 people by telephone in each of 16 different seats (15 Labour seats with 2010 leads over the SNP of at least 33 points but often 40 points or more; and 2 Lib Dem seats — Gordon and Inverness).

Labour's main enemy would have been complacency so Sawford and Miliband continually urged their supporters to turn out, even in the face of polling by arch-Tory Lord Ashcroft, showing Labour with a 22 point lead.

In a number of Labour targets, constituency polls and local election results suggest the party simply does not have enough of a lead (and sometimes none at all) over the Conservative incumbent.

Labour lead by two points in this week's Ashcroft National Poll, conducted over the past weekend.

A YouGov poll for the Evening Standard showed the Conservatives would be neck - and - neck with Labour in the polls on 37 per cent of the vote if they were led by Mr Johnson.

Labour lead by a single point in the final Ashcroft National Poll of 2014, conducted over the past weekend.

Taking the most recent poll published by each pollster in the last week, we calculate the proportion showing a Conservative lead over Labour of more than 6 points as the pseudo-probability of a Conservative majority, but we allow polls with exactly a 6 point lead to contribute a 0.5 to the average.

The SNP have had double digit leads over Labour in all the opinion polls since October, with the majority, including the three most recent polls, showing 20 + leads.

SNP Campaign Director John Swinney said: «This is an encouraging poll which shows a significant lead for the SNP amongst older people and a further fall in support for Labour amongst some of their traditional voters — highlighting just how far Labour have come from their founding principles.

The new pamphlet comes with exclusive polling data from YouGov, focussing on the key issues that led to Labour winning only 49 out of 302 seats in a region that can make or break elections.

The Conservatives have seen a double - digit lead over Labour in the polls being dramatically cut since the bailout of banks by the government in October, the announcement of a # 20 billion fiscal stimulus by the prime minister and a 2.5 per cent cut in the rate of VAT.

Labour is poised to make substantial gains across much of England, with a lead in most polls of around ten per cent.

Continuing on the theme of the race for London mayor, we have a story from last month on a poll which showed the Labour candidate begins with a hefty lead in the capital.

In 2013, the importance of overcoming this hurdle will be treated with a lot more seriousness than the ephemeral nature of Labour's current double - digit lead in opinion pollIn 2013, the importance of overcoming this hurdle will be treated with a lot more seriousness than the ephemeral nature of Labour's current double - digit lead in opinion pollin opinion polls.

A YouGov poll published in the Daily Telegraph today shows the Conservative party holding a 21 - year - record lead over Labour with an 18 - point advantage.

I recall the same paper and company produced a similarly misleading poll in 1997, finding the Conservatives just 5 % behind Labour 10 days before John Major led the Tories to their worst defeat since Waterloo, Tony Blair securing a 179 - seat majority.

Labour's lead in YouGov polls is typically in the double digits but the polling company tends to give Ukip lower levels of support.

Despite this unpopular economic message, the Tories maintain a lead in the polls due to the right wing and unpopular policies that Labour has pursued in government that have alienated significant elements amongst its former supporters.

In 1992, the polls predicted a Labour lead only for the Conservatives to win a majority at election day.

But despite their lead in the polls, Labour can not rest on its laurels and take the women's vote for granted.

I arrive at that figure by taking the current CON - LAB lead of 7 % in the latest polls and adding an expected 2.5 % underestimate in the Conservative lead over Labour based on my analysis of historical polling errors.

The last round of battleground polling I published found one clear Conservative lead and three very close races in seats where the Tory majority over Labour was between 8.8 % and 10.6 %.

In my last round of polling in Conservative - Labour marginals I found the Tories consolidating in most seats where they had been ahead in previous rounds, while Labour had extended their leads where they had been doing well last yeaIn my last round of polling in Conservative - Labour marginals I found the Tories consolidating in most seats where they had been ahead in previous rounds, while Labour had extended their leads where they had been doing well last yeain Conservative - Labour marginals I found the Tories consolidating in most seats where they had been ahead in previous rounds, while Labour had extended their leads where they had been doing well last yeain most seats where they had been ahead in previous rounds, while Labour had extended their leads where they had been doing well last yeain previous rounds, while Labour had extended their leads where they had been doing well last year.

Based on this, I am expecting the polls to be in error again with the Conservative lead over Labour underestimated by 2.6 %.

Accordingly, my poll found that while Labour were thought the best party on the cost of living, their lead vanished when it came to introducing practical policies that would work in the long run.

In the weeks leading up to the result I conducted some polling to compare the views of Labour members and union supporters with those of voters who moved away from the party at the last election.

This year's local elections in England, which conclude with Polling Day on Thursday 3 May, are an important electoral test for the Jeremy Corbyn led Labour Party.

Admittedly that compares with 24 % of those who voted Lib Dem and a staggering 46 % of those who voted Tory (the poll puts UKIP in the lead over Labour for the Euro elections by 31 % to 28 %).

Yet, just one point ahead at present, Labour have not enjoyed as much as a five point lead in the polls since last April, while the Conservatives have not been seven points ahead since shortly after the last election.

In a ComRes poll, No to AV took a 20 - point lead among Labour supporters, with 60 % of likely voters rejecting a switch to AV.

Labour's poll lead started to creep up again today, as delegates in Brighton prepared for a speech in which Ed Miliband is expected to promise one million new homes.

Polls over the last year have favoured the nationalists but a YouGov poll published last weekend put Scottish Labour firmly in the lead.