Not exact matches
Putting all these factors, and some smaller ones, together John Curtice estimated in 2011 that the Conservatives would need a lead of more than 11 points
on current boundaries to win a majority, while
Labour could secure one with a lead of just three points.
On a uniform swing, these figures would give Labour a majority of 10 seats based on current boundaries, although these are likely to be changed before the next electio
On a uniform swing, these figures would give
Labour a majority of 10 seats based
on current boundaries, although these are likely to be changed before the next electio
on current boundaries, although these are likely to be changed before the next election.
To even be the largest party
Labour would need a lead over the Conservatives of 4.7 % (up from 3.9 %
on the
current boundaries).
On current boundaries I can see Brake holding on or even increasing majority, Labour could even drop to below 10 in this sea
On current boundaries I can see Brake holding
on or even increasing majority, Labour could even drop to below 10 in this sea
on or even increasing majority,
Labour could even drop to below 10 in this seat.