Regular readers will recall that the Magic Number — the difference between the number of Conservative and
Labour seats in the House of Commons, and therefore the combined number of net Tory losses and net Labour gains needed for the parties to have the same number of MPs after the next election — is 46.
Not exact matches
Campaigner is to be given a
seat in the
House of Lords and will sit on Labour's benches in the Upper h
House of Lords and will sit on
Labour's benches
in the Upper
househouse.
Then, following the referendum, Blunkett watched on from his
seat in the
House of Lords as a spectacular rebellion against
Labour leader Jeremy Corbyn stuttered and then, seemingly, stalled.
The «baby of the
house», 20 - year - old SNP MP Mhairi Black, is the best known of the brood after ousting
Labour heavyweight Douglas Alexander from his
seat in Paisley and Renfrewshire South.
Under first - past - the - post, they have fared less strongly
in general elections, typically recording around one per cent of the UK - wide vote (although a slightly higher average
in the
seats they contest);
in 2010, the Greens won 0.96 per cent of the vote (1.81 per cent
in the
seats where they put up a candidate), and returned an MP to the
House of Commons for the first time, as Caroline Lucas wrested Brighton Pavilion from
Labour.
So New
Labour is now a charity what a lot of hot air, Blair felt he could get enough money by selling
seats in the
house of lords, sadly the sleaze got to much.
It's often said
in UK politics that the Conservatives usually require a 7 percent lead
in the popular vote to gain an overall majority of
seats in the
House of Commons; but the
Labour party can get a majority with practically no lead at all (indeed it's not inconceivable that the Conservatives could have a small plurality of votes and
Labour still have a majority of
seats).
And since it is becoming increasingly unlikely that the Liberal Democrats will supply
Labour with sufficient
seats to command a majority
in the
House of Commons,
Labour's manifesto also opens the door to a potential dialogue with the SNP.
This includes fixed terms for five years (when average time between elections has been four); the vote to dissolve parliament before calling a general election requiring 55 per cent support
in the
House of Commons (meaning the Liberal Democrats can not withdraw their support from the Tories and cause a general election as the Lib - Dems,
Labour and other parties altogether hold less than 55 per cent of the
seats); and stuffing the
House of Lords with many more Conservatives and Liberals to weaken opposition there.
But
Labour is still expected to be quite some distance from a bare majority, which is 326
seats, and would need closer to 340 to sustain a workable majority
in the
House of Commons.
The problems of the first - past - the - post system go beyond the fact that
Labour and the Conservatives are unable to secure a majority of
seats in the
House of Commons.
Police launched an investigation into possible breaches of the Honours (Prevention of Abuses) Act 1925 earlier this year, after claims that
Labour was offering wealthy backers a
seat in the
House of Lords
in return for loans.
Assuming a uniform national swing,
Labour would on this basis win 270
seats in the
House of Commons, the Conservatives 241
seats and the Liberal Democrats 108
seats.
Although 3 of the 7 Ukip council
seats in a havering were took from former
Labour councillors, and 5 of those
seats would be described as working class areas, the other two were above middle class areas where the average price of a
house is 650,000 ′, If anything
in havering Ukips vote destroyed he 4,000 majorities of some Tory councillors resulting
in them winning with 350 votes
Translated into a projection of
seats, however, this would leave
Labour the largest party
in the
House of Commons, though well short of an overall majority.
Assuming a uniform national swing,
Labour would on this basis win 267
seats in the
House of Commons, the Conservatives 255
seats and the Liberal Democrats 97
seats, all within a handful of
seats of what is projected by the poll of polls.
After weeks of polling putting it neck - and - neck with
Labour, the incumbents have secured 331
seats in the
House of Commons — a comfortable majority and many more than
Labour's 232
seats.
[24] With the Liberals thus
in disarray,
Labour won 142
seats in 1922, making it the second largest political group
in the
House of Commons and the official opposition to the Conservative government.
The 2015 general election unexpectedly resulted
in a net loss of
seats, with
Labour representation falling to 232
seats in the
House of Commons.
Labour was — and still is — considerably larger than the nine (or eight, depending on how you classify Sinn Fein MPs, who don't take up their
seats in the chamber) other parties
in the
House of Commons which are not
in government.
The main point to note here is the dominance of the
Labour Party
in terms of the Scottish
House of Commons
seats.
That means that the parties whose
seat shares exceed their vote shares (the Conservatives,
Labour, the SNP, the DUP, and — fractionally — Sinn Féin and the SDLP) collectively hold 24 per cent of the
seats in the
House of Commons more than they would if they were represented
in exact proportion to their votes — that is, about 156
seats more.
But then the SNP did win previously safe - as -
houses Glasgow East from
Labour at the by - election earlier
in the summer on a swing of over 20 per cent, and they start with an advantage
in Glenrothes
in that the party already holds the almost identical Fife Central
seat in the Scottish Parliament.
A
LABOUR activist who has been given a
seat in the
House of Lords by Jeremy Corbyn has defended far - left anti-Semites, it emerged today.
The
Labour Party had the largest number of
seats in the
House of Commons, but not an overall majority.
The
housing minister Gavin Barwell lost his
seat of Croydon Central after a spirited campaign by his
Labour rival Sarah Jones which saw scores of party activists knocking on doors
in the area.
Labour could end up with fewer than 150
seats in the
House of Commons after the next election but will not be replaced as the UK's main opposition, the Fabian Society has warned.
That could see the nationalists, who won six
seats in the
House of Commons
in 2010, return 47 MPs this time around, with
Labour losing all but 10 of the 41 Scottish constituencies it secured
in in the last general election.
«The Conservatives can afford to lose no more than 22
seats to
Labour before they cease to be the largest party
in the
House of Commons.
(For instance,
in the 2005 UK General Election, the governing
Labour party won by a majority of 66
seats in the
House of Commons with only 35.2 % of the popular vote.)
Labour currently holds four of the eight London
seats in the European Parliament, 49 of 73 London
seats in the
House of Commons and 12 out of 25
seats in the London Assembly.
At the election,
Labour lost 91
seats in the
House of Commons, but the Conservatives failed to achieve an overall majority, resulting
in the first hung parliament since 1974.
But it was his call for every
Labour MP to be re-selected for their
seats after a review by Parliament which will cause alarm for his colleagues
in the
House of Commons.
Labour's strength
in the
House of Commons would be permanently diminished if its 41 MPs with Scottish
seats are no longer able to vote on key issues.
After the 1964 election when
Labour's majority
in the
House of Commons was just four
seats, he was persuaded by the Government to accept the position of Deputy Speaker.
Reproduced as a uniform swing across the country, this would put both the Conservatives on 282
seats, one
seat ahead of
Labour on 281, which would make the projected 56
seats for the Liberal Democrats critical to securing a majority
in the
House of Commons.
Ukip sensed a chance at victory among the disaffected
Labour voters
in the
seat, which
in various guises has been
Labour for the past 50 years, ever since
housing estates were built to relocate thousands of poor residents from central Manchester back
in the early 1960s.
The implied swing of 5.5 % to
Labour since then would not only see the Conservatives fail to make any gains, but gift
Labour up to 80 extra
seats and an overall majority
in the
House of Commons of about 30.
How this translates into
seats or a coalition is unclear but based on our numbers we'd put the Conservatives ahead of
Labour on vote share but the two parties within 10
seats of each other
in the new
House of Commons.
The
Labour MP Heidi Alexander will quit the
House of Commons to be Sadiq Khan's deputy mayor for transport, setting
in motion what could be a fierce battle for her safe south London
seat, my colleague Jessica Elgot reports.
The
Labour MP Heidi Alexander will quit the
House of Commons to be Sadiq Khan's deputy mayor for transport, setting
in motion what could be a fierce battle for her safe south London
seat.
Labour peer Ms Chakrabarti took her
seat in the
House of Lords under a cloud of controversy last month.
The
Labour party won 232
seats at the last general election, so would need to win another ninety - four
seats to secure an overall majority
in the
House of Commons.
Most likely at the General Election -
Labour and the Liberal Democrats will lose every single
seat in the South of England outside London and
Labour will pickup
seats from the Liberal Democrats
in the rest of England, and will probably mostly hold their position
in Scotland and Wales leaving a Conservative parliamentary party
in the
House of Commons with a similar number of
seats to those
Labour had
in 1987 and
Labour with a similar majority to now, and Nick Clegg probably just hanging on as leader because there is no obvious replacement.
While the Liberal Democrats only occupy 8
seats in the
House of Commons, Farron said that he was confident that the party's 106 peers would have enough
Labour and crossbench support
in the
House of Lords to oppose an attempt to repeal the 1998 law.
Additionally, despite only occupying eight
seats in the Commons, Tim Farron told the Guardian he was confident that the Liberal Democrat's 106 peers would be able to generate enough support from
Labour and cross bench peers to cause problems for the Conservatives
in the
House of Lords, where they do not enjoy a majority.