Just a thought — to reduce the disconnect between the Labour Party and the voters, and to maximise
the Labour vote at general elections, would it not be wise to match candidates to constituencies in the selection process, wherever possible?
Not exact matches
At last year's
general election the party fell short of gaining the sort of Leave -
voting Labour seats they needed for a majority.
But, polls show that
at least 40 % of the British public, many of whom
voted Labour in the last
general election, agree with me.
A BBC projection highlighting how the results would look if they were repeated
at a
general election showed
Labour would win 29 % of the
vote, compared to the Tories 25 %.
Taking a mandate from his small base (compared to the UK population and also the nine million people that
voted Labour at the last
general election), he and Momentum are sweeping the nation with a message of progressive change.
The entire process whiffs of gerrymandering when calculations by the House of Commons library found that
at the 2017
general election the Tories got one seat for every 43,018
votes nationally compared with
Labour's 49,152 per MP or Liberal Democrats» 197,665 and Green's 525,665.
The
Labour - led alliance would have held Workington - won by
Labour at every
general election for nearly a century - by five
votes.
Insufficient attention is being given to the most potent reason for
voting Labour at the next
general election.
In each seat we spoke to two types of people: those who
voted no to Scottish independence in 2014,
Labour or Liberal Democrat in 2015, and who were undecided what to do this time round; and those who
voted SNP
at the last
general election and to leave the EU in last year's referendum.
Michael Tibby contested Dartford
at the 2005
general election, receiving 1,224
votes (the elected
Labour MP, Howard Stoate, received 19,909
votes).
Solidarity had a conference in Motherwell on Saturday and urged its supporters to «lend» their
votes to Nicola Sturgeon's party
at the
general election — helping, in a small way, to increase the SNP's chances of building a left coalition against
Labour.
[21] On 27 November 2006, the Press Association reported that she had commissioned an opinion poll from YouGov which found that Harman would be the most likely potential deputy leader to increase the
Labour vote at the next
general election.
At the European election in June the Conservatives beat Labour in the popular vote in Wales for the first time in living memory, and if the findings of this poll were replicated at the general election, it looks like being a close run thing again at the general electio
At the European
election in June the Conservatives beat
Labour in the popular
vote in Wales for the first time in living memory, and if the findings of this poll were replicated
at the general election, it looks like being a close run thing again at the general electio
at the
general election, it looks like being a close run thing again
at the general electio
at the
general election.
Only ten per cent of
Labour Party members support Brexit, but up to one - third of people who
voted Labour at the last
general election want to leave the EU.
If we look
at the 2010
general election results, we can see that 116 MPs (from 649 excluding the speaker) got a higher
vote share than the average Conservative leader, versus 48 for the
Labour leader and 277 for the Liberal Democrat leader.
From this, the BBC reported an estimate of national
vote share of 31 % for the Conservatives, 38 % for
Labour and 16 % for the Liberal Democrats, meaning that if these results were replicated
at the next
general election,
Labour would win an 83 seat majority.
Heathcoat - Amory contested the London Borough of Brent seat
at Brent South
at the 1979
general election but was defeated by the sitting
Labour MP Laurence Pavitt by 11,616
votes.
In short, under Tony Blair's time as leader,
Labour's right wing economics and neo-conservative international agenda lost
Labour four million
votes in
general elections, despite economic growth
at the time.
If you get one
Labour or Liberal voter to
vote Conservative
at the
general election but lose three or four others to Ukip, you are not going to win the
general election.»
For most of this year,
Labour have hovered a few points above the Conservatives, who seem to float around the 37 per cent
vote share they received
at the
general election.
Nearly a third of those who
voted Liberal Democrat
at the
general election have gone to
Labour, with many of those saying the party's role in the coalition or their u-turn on tuition fees was a major factor in their decision.
If that is repeated
at the
general election, this should be a
Labour hold - this seat
voted to Leave, but it's not full - on Brexitania.
Firstly, in Conservative - vs -
Labour marginals the Conservative
vote is largely unchanged from the
general election, but the Liberal Democrat
vote has dropped to the benefit of
Labour, this means on a uniform swing
Labour would gain about 28 seats from the Conservatives (though these would be seats that the Conservatives gained
at the last
election, so in practice the Tories would be helped by the incumbency bonus of the new MPs).
Allen was elected as the
Labour MP for the Nottingham North constituency
at the 1987
general election, gaining the seat from the Conservative's Richard Ottaway with a majority of 1,665
votes.
A YouGov poll for The Times also suggested that 2.7 million voters who backed
Labour at last year's
general election would now
vote for the Tories.
I don't put much store in opinion polls, but if true it would only indicate roughly what you would expect to happen
at this point in the parliament - 32 % isn't that much lower than
Labour got in the 2005
General Election and all it would suggest is that the Liberal Democrats are having a reversal - tactical
voting could see them holding onto many of their current seats, indeed it is even possible that if they got 17 % of the
vote that if it focused in an area that they could actually end up with more seats, where the switches in support are occuring is crucial - if they are focused then if the Conservative Party were to get 39 % then it might still result in them getting fewer seats than
Labour or in extremis winning a 150 seat majority or so?
At the last
General Election, more than two thirds of voters from Britain's black and ethnic minority (BME) communities supported
Labour; only 16 %
voted for us (source: Ethnic Minority British
Election Study (PDF)-RRB-.
Despite remaining in opposition for its third
election in a row,
Labour at 40.0 % won its greatest share of the
vote since 2001, made a net gain of 30 seats to reach 262 total MPs, and, with a swing of 9.6 %, [127] achieved the biggest percentage - point increase in its
vote share in a single
general election since 1945.
McGovern was selected as the
Labour Party candidate for Wirral South in December 2009, following Ben Chapman's decision to stand down
at the next
election for family reasons following adverse publicity in The Daily Telegraph over the expenses scandal, and subsequently won the seat in the 2010
general election, defeating the Conservative candidate, Jeff Clarke, by 531
votes.
(If we look
at the 1987 case study — we see
Labour won 6.5 % of the
vote in the 1987
General Election and won 12 seats, but it is also worth noting that they did not contest nine constituencies in that election, whereas their 7 % national vote is being distributed across all forty constituencies in this analysis, as with the most recent general elections in which Labour has contested all constitu
General Election and won 12 seats, but it is also worth noting that they did not contest nine constituencies in that election, whereas their 7 % national vote is being distributed across all forty constituencies in this analysis, as with the most recent general elections in which Labour has contested all constit
Election and won 12 seats, but it is also worth noting that they did not contest nine constituencies in that
election, whereas their 7 % national vote is being distributed across all forty constituencies in this analysis, as with the most recent general elections in which Labour has contested all constit
election, whereas their 7 % national
vote is being distributed across all forty constituencies in this analysis, as with the most recent
general elections in which Labour has contested all constitu
general elections in which
Labour has contested all constituencies.
They may have finished 3,558
votes behind
Labour (having been just 103 behind
at the
general election) but their share of the
vote rose to 31.9 per cent.
On 1 March 2014,
at a special conference the party reformed internal
Labour election procedures, including replacing the electoral college system for selecting new leaders with a «one member, one
vote» system following the recommendation of a review by former
general - secretary Ray Collins.
At the 1895
general election, the Independent
Labour Party put up 28 candidates but won only 44,325
votes.
Former Tony Blair spin doctor Alastair Campbell told the BBC he would struggle to
vote Labour at a
general election with Mr Corbyn as party leader.
With a four - way contest involving the Conservatives and Plaid Cymru
at the 1964
general election, and a national swing to
Labour, Roderic Bowen suffered a precipitate decline in his share of the
vote to only 38.4 %; he was re-elected with a majority of 2,219 (7.4 %) over
Labour.
According to a recent ComRes poll, the party has lost the support of almost four in ten of the people who
voted for it on 6 May, with more than one in five people who backed the Lib Dems
at the
general election telling pollsters that they would now
vote Labour.
Four out of 10 people (41 per cent) who
voted Conservative
at last year's
general election back licensed sales of cannabis, only just below the level of support among
Labour, Liberal Democrat and Ukip voters.
Labour's Gareth Snell retained the seat for his party by 2,620
votes, although that was down on the 5,000 majority Tristram Hunt secured
at the 2015
general election.
If the previous trend of
Labour's support being overstated in the mid-Parliament polls was replicated, the party could win less than 20 % of the
vote at the next
general election and between 140 and 150 MPs, the report added.
The party will also struggle to keep its
vote up
at a
general election where
Labour voters know that every seat is vital.
Jeremy Corbyn Would Win More
Votes At A
General Election Than Other
Labour Leadership Hopefuls, New Poll Finds 14 August 2015
Nearly one in five of those «certain to
vote» said they would back a party other than the Conservatives, Liberal Democrats or
Labour at the next
general election.
I think something like 70 % of EMs were estimated to have
voted Labour at the last
general election.
At the 2010
general election Chapman contested the Kirkcaldy and Cowdenbeath seat, but was defeated by the
Labour Prime Minister Gordon Brown by over 23,000
votes.
Labour has been seized by civil war since Britain
voted to leave the EU, with MPs convinced Mr Corbyn would be trounced
at a
general election seeking to topple him.
If
Labour were to win a similar share of the
vote at a
general election, they could expect a majority even larger than Blair's landslides in 1997 and 2001.
At the
general election - with a very small local party membership and without target seat status and all its associated benefits - Kashif was less than 2,500
votes behind the victorious
Labour MP.
The UK Independence Party (UKIP) came top of the poll — the first time a political party other than the
Labour Party or Conservative Party had won the popular
vote at a British
election since the 1906
general election.
The latest ElectoralCalculus analysis predicts Conservatives on 227 seats (29.88 % of the
vote)
at the next
General Election, a 77 % probability of a
Labour majority, and a
Labour majority of 74.
He was elected as the Member of Parliament (MP) for Crewe and Nantwich
at a 2008 by -
election, but lost his seat
at the 2017
general election to the
Labour candidate, Laura Smith, by 48
votes.