On the other hand, the CO2 in
the land and ocean means there's less CO2 in the air, by half.
Not exact matches
It's an emergency surgical intervention
meant to undo damage caused by human activity both in the
oceans and on dry
land,
and it has been shown to work — bringing dead reef sections back from the edge in just a few years.
@islamistheanswer, Sure, while the poster seems to think that «parting»
means the Big Bang, to me it seems silly to think that the Big Bang would come after heaven
and already exist
and likely was just
and rationalization of where
land came from, i.e. splitting the
oceans from the sky.
«If we don't rapidly transition off of fossil fuels, the resulting climate catastrophe
means mass extinctions, the collapse of
ocean and land ecosystems,
and flooding of the world's cities
and bread - basket deltas,» Hawkins said.
That
means studying changes in the Pliocene atmosphere, the
land surface
and most of all the
oceans, which absorb the bulk of planetary warming.
But farming inefficiencies
mean that most of this nitrogen runs off the
land into rivers
and oceans.
Ultimately, the group focused its investigation on the five strategies that appear to hold the most promise: reducing emissions, sequestering carbon through biological
means on
land and in the
ocean, storing carbon dioxide in a liquefied form in underground geological formations
and wells, increasing Earth's cloud cover
and solar reflection.
A slowdown disappears La Niñas also
mean that more rain falls over
land and less falls over the
ocean, particularly in the Pacific, Cazenave explained.
Global
mean temperatures averaged over
land and ocean surfaces, from three different estimates, each of which has been independently adjusted for various homogeneity issues, are consistent within uncertainty estimates over the period 1901 to 2005
and show similar rates of increase in recent decades.
CESM is a fully - coupled Earth System model,
meaning all components of the Earth (atmosphere,
land,
ocean and cryosphere) «talk» to each other in the model.
Note that the values are the
mean changes of SAT over
land,
and SST over
ocean.
The
mean and median of the equilibrium
land -
ocean warming contrast (using a slab
ocean) in the GCMs considered is ~ 1.3 (with a spread of about 1.2 - 1.5).
ECS is defined in terms of global
mean temperature change, not separately for
land and ocean.
The residual errors around the best fit (posterior
mean) appear somewhat non-Gaussian, but this appears to be due to the
land and ocean data not centering on the same ECS value.
Also they use a 5 × 5 ° grid for the
oceans (or SSTs
and Shakun et al 2011)
and 2 × 2 ° grid for the
land,
and because of more data in the
oceans, the global
mean is probably too biased toward the
ocean.
That in turn
means all the
land ice will have nothing to stop it from sliding into the
ocean and raising sea levels more than 10 feet.
First, what
meaning can be derived from the difference between
land and ocean anomalies?
The locations are often remote
and inaccessible; not
meant to be visited by
land — the signs indicating the presence of the submarine cables face the
ocean, unreadable by casual visitors strolling on the beach or hiking along the cliffs.
Lou Grinzo (12)-- I am under the impression that HadCRUTv3 uses air temperatures on
land and sea surface temperatures in the
oceans to produce their global
mean.
Partly this has to do with changes in
ocean circulation taking warmer water deeper
and partly as the result of the southern hemisphere having less
land mass
and more
ocean — where the
ocean has a higher thermal inertia,
meaning that it takes longer for those waters to warm.
Given that you comment that the largest differences between the different forcings is between
land and ocean or between the Northern
and Southern Hemispheres, have you looked at the
land —
ocean temperature difference or the Northern — Southern Hemisphere temperature difference, as they both scale linearly with ECS, in the same way as global
mean temperature for ghg forcing, but not for aerosol forcing.
First I calculated the
land - only,
ocean - only
and global
mean temperatures
and MSU - LT values for 5 ensemble members, then I looked at the trends in each of these timeseries
and calculated the ratios.
This result is a combination of
land data, using stations where the only measurements recorded are those of the maximum
and minimum daily temperature,
and ocean data which are probably much more representative of the true daily
mean.
«The average global temperature anomaly for combined
land and ocean surfaces for July (based on preliminary data) was 1.1 degrees F (0.6 degrees C) above the 1880 - 2004 long - term
mean.
Vertical
land movements such as resulting from glacial isostatic adjustment (GIA), tectonics, subsidence
and sedimentation influence local sea level measurements but do not alter
ocean water volume; nonetheless, they affect global
mean sea level through their alteration of the shape
and hence the volume of the
ocean basins containing the water.
The graphs on the right show the
mean carbon uptake by
land and ocean for each latitude line corresponding with the adjacent maps.
On decadal
and longer time scales, global
mean sea level change results from two major processes, mostly related to recent climate change, that alter the volume of water in the global
ocean: i) thermal expansion (Section 5.5.3),
and ii) the exchange of water between
oceans and other reservoirs (glaciers
and ice caps, ice sheets, other
land water reservoirs - including through anthropogenic change in
land hydrology,
and the atmosphere; Section 5.5.5).
Most of the [deep]
ocean is uber cold
and retains very little heat.The
oceans and land are in radiative balance, that
means the energy they get goes back out to space over 24 hours [at the equator].
By comparing modelled
and observed changes in such indices, which include the global
mean surface temperature, the
land -
ocean temperature contrast, the temperature contrast between the NH
and SH, the
mean magnitude of the annual cycle in temperature over
land and the
mean meridional temperature gradient in the NH mid-latitudes, Braganza et al. (2004) estimate that anthropogenic forcing accounts for almost all of the warming observed between 1946
and 1995 whereas warming between 1896
and 1945 is explained by a combination of anthropogenic
and natural forcing
and internal variability.
Let us therefore compare satellite data (UAH6.0) with surface data (GISTEMP
Land /
Ocean) measured for the Southern Hemisphere (SH), from 1979 till 2015: You hopefully see like me a good correlation between the two, shown by both linear estimates
and 60 month running
means.
«This study examines variability in zonal
mean surface - observed upper - level (combined midlevel
and high - level)
and low - level cloud cover over
land during 1971 — 1996
and over
ocean during 1952 — 1997.
The difference in annual
mean and 5 - year
mean global
land -
ocean temperature using ERSST v4
and v3b.
The decadal
mean planetary energy imbalance, 0.75 W / m2, includes heat storage in the deeper
ocean and energy used to melt ice
and warm the air
and land.
Since then there are a number of papers published on why the warming was statistically insignificant including a recent one by Richardson et al. 2016 which tries to explain that the models were projecting a global tas (temperature air surface) but the actual observations are a combination of tas (
land)
and SST
oceans,
meaning projected warming shouldn't be as much as projected.
Many agricultural regions warm at a rate that is faster than the global
mean surface temperature (including
oceans) but slower than the
mean land surface temperature, leading to regional warming that exceeds 0.5 °C between the +1.5
and +2.0 °C Worlds.
Monthly averages of global
mean surface temperature (GMST) include natural variability,
and they are influenced by the differing heat capacities of the
oceans and land masses.
The evolution of global
mean surface temperatures, zonal
means and fields of sea surface temperatures,
land surface temperatures, precipitation, outgoing longwave radiation, vertically integrated diabatic heating
and divergence of atmospheric energy transports,
and ocean heat content in the Pacific is documented using correlation
and regression analysis.
The fact that global warming has been happening «naturally» since the end of the last ice age
means that it is happening spontaneously completely independent of the need for that warming to be caused by the sun heating the
oceans (
and land of course).
The fact this is seemingly not fully recognized — or here integrated — by Curry goes to the same reason Curry does not recognize why the so called «pause» is a fiction, why the «slowing» of the «rate» of increase in average ambient global
land and ocean surface air temperatures over a shorter term period from the larger spike beyond the longer term
mean of the 90s is also meaningless in terms of the basic issue,
and why the average ambient increase in global air temperatures over such a short term is by far the least important empirical indicia of the issue.
From the paper: «The results also 1) reveal a significant level of coupling between
ocean and land temperatures that remains even after the effects of ENSO
and volcanic eruptions have been removed; 2) serve to highlight the improvements in the quality of the time series of global -
mean land temperatures with the increase in the areal coverage of the station network from 1951 onward;
and 3) yield a residual time series in which the signature of anthropogenically induced global warming is more prominent.»
To point out just a couple of things: —
oceans warming slower (or cooling slower) than
lands on long - time trends is absolutely normal, because water is more difficult both to warm or to cool (I
mean, we require both a bigger heat flow
and more time); at the contrary, I see as a non-sense theory (made by some serrist, but don't know who) that
oceans are storing up heat,
and that suddenly they will release such heat as a positive feedback: or the water warms than no heat can be considered ad «stored» (we have no phase change inside
oceans, so no latent heat) or
oceans begin to release heat but in the same time they have to cool (because they are losing heat); so, I don't feel strange that in last years
land temperatures for some series (NCDC
and GISS) can be heating up while
oceans are slightly cooling, but I feel strange that they are heating up so much to reverse global trend from slightly negative / stable to slightly positive; but, in the end, all this is not an evidence that
lands» warming is led by UHI (but, this effect, I would not exclude it from having a small part in temperature trends for some regional area, but just small); both because, as writtend, it is normal to have waters warming slower than
lands,
and because
lands» temperatures are often measured in a not so precise way (despite they continue to give us a global uncertainity in TT values which is barely the instrumental's one)-- but, to point out, HadCRU
and MSU of last years (I
mean always 2002 - 2006) follow much better waters» temperatures trend; — metropolis
and larger cities temperature trends actually show an increase in UHI effect, but I think the sites are few,
and the covered area is very small worldwide, so the global effect is very poor (but it still can be sensible for regional effects); but I would not run out a small warming trend for airport measurements due mainly to three things: increasing jet planes traffic, enlarging airports (then more buildings
and more asphalt — if you follow motor sports, or simply live in a town / city, you will know how easy they get very warmer than air during day,
and how much it can slow night - time cooling)
and overall having airports nearer to cities (if not becoming an area inside the city after some decade of hurban growth, e.g. Milan - Linate); — I found no point about UHI in towns
and villages; you will tell me they are not large cities; but, in comparison with 20-40-60 years ago when they were «countryside», many small towns
and villages have become part of larger hurban areas (at least in Europe
and Asia) so examining just larger cities would not be enough in my opinion to get a full view of UHI effect (still remembering that it has a small global effect: we can say many matters are due to UHI instead of GW, maybe even that a small part of measured GW is due to UHI,
and that GW measurements are not so precise to make us able to make good analisyses
and predictions, but not that GW is due to UHI).
This
means the KT97
and variations is junk science, because it has excluded the real heating mechanism of Earth's
land and oceans.
The standard deviation of the monthly MSU 2R anomalies has a much more zonally symmetric structure (Fig. 4
and Fig. 5) so that relative to the surface there is a much larger contribution from the northern
oceans and a generally smaller contribution over
land and near the equator to the hemispheric
and global
means.
The greater thermal inertia of the
Ocean means that temperature anomalies
and extremes are lower than those seen on
land.
results for global
and tropical domains, the extratropics of both hemispheres, departures from the zonal
mean,
and land -
and ocean - only domains
This suggests three levels of skepticism even in Muller's mind: a) global warming which in the context
means the
land temperature record (not the
ocean heat as Pielke Sr would prefer) b) its human causes (where Judith Curry also parts company with Muller)
and c) what can
and should be done about b).
As
oceans warm more slowly, an average of 4 °C
means warming of 5 - 6 °C on
land,
and even higher closer to the poles.
Furthermore, the zonal
means over
land and ocean considered above are representative of much of the small differences in warming ratio.
The
land surface is laterally structured with widely differing albedo,
and vertically structured so that it intercepts the vertically structured
ocean and atmospheric reservoirs at different heights, hence different local
mean temperatures.
Consistent with the global transfer of excess heat from the atmosphere to the
ocean,
and the difference between warming over
land and ocean, there is some discontinuity between the plotted
means of the lower atmosphere
and the upper
ocean.