Not exact matches
The
ensemble for the
latest assessment is unprecedented in the number of
models and experiments performed.
The scientists used the
latest ensemble of climate
models, prepared for the 5th assessement report of the International Panel on Climate Change.
In an
ensemble of fully coupled atmosphere - ocean general circulation
model (AOGCM) simulations of the
late Paleocene and early Eocene, we identify such a circulation - driven enhanced intermediate - water warming.
As it turns out, the IPCC's
latest ensemble of climate
models produce estimates that overshoot the warming of the past 20 years by 100 % and of the last 15 years by 300 %.
This appears to be related to a poor representation of the spatial relationships between rainfall variability and zonal wind patterns across southeast Australia in the
latest Coupled
Model Intercomparison Project
ensemble, particularly in the areas where weather systems embedded in the mid-latitude westerlies are the main source of cool - season rainfall.
We take
late 21st century (2051 - 2080) sea ice variables from the Community Earth System
Model Large
Ensemble project; CESM - LENS.
Later there is this sentence: «comparisons of perturbed - physics
ensembles against the observed climate find that
models with ECS values in the range 3 °C to 4 °C show the smallest errors for many fields (Section 9.7.3.3).»
Would you call those the «good»
ensemble members and demand to see the
model and initial conditions that produced them, and would you not expect them to be bad if you chose to verify them a month
later or in Australia instead.