«As a Remain - supporting MP representing a heavily
Leave voting constituency, I am in a bit of a predicament,» he said.
Not exact matches
With 80.2 percent of those casting ballots
voting to enter the 21st century and admit women, that
leaves some 20 percent of the
constituency still dragging their knuckles about entering the 21st century.
For the leavers, it makes sense to have Ukip appeal to their traditional supporters while
Vote Leave reaches out a different
constituency.
«I think Brexit provides some opportunities, but I represent a
constituency where nearly 70 % of people
voted to
Leave and I have a responsibility to make sure their voices are heard in that debate,» says Jarvis.
«My
constituency voted two - thirds to
leave,» she says.
In
constituencies where over 60 % of the population had
voted Leave, the swing, of 0.8 %, was in the Tories» direction.
While UKIP has few / no MPs it is not unreasonable to say that they have taken
votes away from the Conservative party in recent years and potential UKIP voters are seen by many as key in some marginal
constituencies especially in «working class» areas where many voters are socially to the right and economically to the
left.
Goodwin analysed Labour
constituencies with the lowest majorities where over 50 %
voted Leave in the EU referendum, and where Ukip are already in second place, or a close third, to come up with his list of 20 target seats.
But three Labour MPs in
constituencies that
voted Leave are also preparing to take the same action.
Even though they have been given a free
vote by their anti-war leader Jeremy Corbyn, many Labour MPs will feel pressure from their
constituency parties and local
left - wing activists not to
vote in the same lobby as the Tories.
Labour MPs representing metropolitan
constituencies may want to adopt an anti-Brexit stance, but MPs for
constituencies in the North and Midlands which
voted Leave will be keen to reflect local opinion.
Approximately 161 Labour - held
constituencies voted to
Leave the EU, while only 70
voted to Remain, and C1 C2 DE (lower middle - class and working - class) voters all delivered majorities for
Leave.
The MPs - who make up nearly two - thirds of the parliamentary Labour party - all represent
constituencies which
voted Leave at last week's EU referendum.
With 94 % of Labour MPs having campaigned to remain yet two thirds of the party's
constituencies voting to
leave, a different leader could have done little else.
Had the centre -
left vote not been split between Lab / Lib / Green, a majority should have been possible in 2010 (certainly Labour would have held my
constituency).
The Socialist Party's Trade Union and Socialist Coalition (catchy) got a
vote about half, nationally, what
left - wing Labour MP John McDonnell got in his one
constituency.
The Ukip leader, who is from Merseyside and admitted he had few links to Stoke, had gambled that the seat was winnable on the basis of the
constituency's 69 %
leave vote in last year's EU referendum.
- The UKIP
vote came almost exclusively from the working class traditional Labour parts of the
constituency (which did mostly
vote leave but not emphatically so) and I suspect their ~ 5,000
votes last time split roughly 3,000 Labour, 2,000 Tory.
Mr Goodwin analysed Labour
constituencies with the lowest majorities where over 50 %
voted Leave in the EU referendum, and where Ukip are already in second place, or a close third, to come up with his list of 20 target seats.
As part of our profiles on key
constituencies, Craig Johnson looks at the
left - of - centre parties battling it out in the strong Remain -
voting seat of Bristol West.
According to these estimates 16 London
constituencies voted leave (the others being less surprising than this one):
While nationally Labour campaigned for remain, many traditionally Labour
constituencies voted to
leave.
A number of MPs campaigned differently from the way their
constituency voted, for example the Labour MP for Vauxhall, Kate Hoey, who backed Brexit, while only 22 % of her constituents
voted to
leave.
He was a man who liked to be liked, and succeeded at it, but although he had a sizeable personal
vote in his
constituency, he failed sufficiently to contain the radical Militant
left in Accrington, which weakened him politically.
I just noticed that on the revised estimates by Chris Hanretty this
constituency narrowly
voted for
leave by 50.5 %.