Sentences with phrase «lower uncertainty bound»

Lower uncertainty bound: 3.53 million km2.

Not exact matches

Now, unlike certain skeptics, I realize that even «plausible» is a fairly strong statement (eg, if I said it was plausible that my current hand of cards * was the highest hand of cards that had been observed at my table in the last 1000 games, that would be a fairly strong statement), but I thought it was somewhat lower than «likely», maybe due to somewhat increased uncertainty bounds?
In particular, a Gregory - 02 lower bound estimate is more reliable than their median value, given the upper bound uncertainties.
However, posterior CDF points using a uniform prior don't provide very good matching, particularly for small values of the CDF (corresponding to the lower bound of two - sided uncertainty ranges).
And to your point, they also only focus on the lower bounds of uncertainty, poo poo the the statistically most likely figure, and act as though the highest uncertainty figure wasn't even part of the calculation.
Importantly, the upper uncertainty bounds of the new estimates are much lower
Given that and uncertainties about the location / exposure of evacuees and also the reliability of the LNT model at low doses, they say that upper bound mortalities and morbidities could be increased to 1300 and 2500, respectively.
Regardless of high uncertainty associated with such an estimate, it does provide a lower bound of the time range for projections of seasonal sea ice cover.»
It is probably true also that a widening of uncertainty would add far more plausibility to the high end sensitivities given that the lower bound is somewhat better constrained by observations.
Based on a TCS upper bound of 1.6 o C that we determined from actual data, we compute a 2.9 o C upper bound for GHG ECS that is below the mid-point of the latest IPCC GHG ECS uncertainty range of 1.5 < ECS < 4.5 o C and 71 percent lower than maximum 10o C ECS values obtained from the IWG statistical distribution for ECS.
Taking both the upper limit of the 4 — 5 C warming range and a lower limit for the forcing change, deducting Kohler's 1.9 W / m2 upper limit of uncertainty from the 9.5 W / m2 change in forcing, implies an upper bound for the ECS estimate of 2.44 C.
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