Sentences with phrase «model intercomparison project phase»

Change in net primary productivity (plant growth) projections from CMIP5 (Coupled Model Intercomparison Project Phase 5) models, under a high emissions scenario (RCP8.5).

Change in land carbon storage projections from CMIP5 (Coupled Model Intercomparison Project Phase 5) models, under a high emissions scenario (RCP8.5).

One such MME is the Climate Model Intercomparison Project phase three (CMIP3, Meehl et al. 2007) which contributed to the fourth assessment report of Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change.

We then used daily climate projections (from the Coupled Model Intercomparison Project Phase 5 [CMIP5]-RRB- under strong (i.e., representative concentration pathway [RCP] 2.6), moderate (i.e., RCP 4.5), and business - as - usual (i.e., RCP 8.5) mitigation scenarios to quantify the number of days in a given year that fall within climate thresholds for plant growth.

Although tropical precipitation change remains uncertain, nearly all models from the Coupled Model Intercomparison Project Phase 5 predict a strengthening zonal precipitation asymmetry by 2100, with relative increases over Asian and African tropical forests and decreases over South American forests.

We obtained daily projections of temperature, soil moisture, and solar radiation from recent Earth System Models developed as part of the Coupled Model Intercomparison Project Phase 5 to the Fifth Assessment Report of the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change (S1 Table).

Knutti et al. (2010a) investigated the behaviour of the state - of - the - art climate model ensemble created by the World Climate Research Programme's Coupled Model Intercomparison Project Phase 3 (CMIP3, Meehl et al. 2007), and found that the truth centred paradigm is incompatible with the CMIP3 ensemble: the ensemble mean does not converge to observations as the number of ensemble members increases, and the pairwise correlation of model errors (the differences between model and observation) between two ensemble members does not average to zero (Knutti et al. 2010a; Annan and Hargreaves 2010; hereafter AH10).

Area - average rainfall anomalies for model simulations with natural forcings only were compared to simulations with both anthropogenic and natural forcings using 16 models participating in the Coupled Model Intercomparison Project Phase 5.

The study uses an extensive suite of existing simulations with the Variable Infiltration Capacity (VIC) hydrologic model driven by Coupled Model Intercomparison Project Phase 3 (CMIP3) climate simulations to train and evaluate the nonlinear and nonstationary Generalized Extreme Value conditional density network (GEVcdn) model of Fraser River streamflow extremes, and subsequently applies the model to project changes in Fraser River extremes under CMIP5 based climate change scenarios.

Activity between 2012 - 2013 was focused on evaluating the emerging international archive of the World Climate Research Program Coupled Model Intercomparison Project phase 5 (WCRP CMIP5) and developing strategies to efficiently represent the diversity of results that CMIP5 will provide under the new «Representative Concentration Pathways» greenhouse gas emissions scenarios.

The models whose physical formulation and simulation characteristics are described here are intended to be supplied to the public as part of the Coupled Model Intercomparison Project Phase 5 in support of the IPCC Fifth Assessment.

In addition to collaborative work we do with these models, one of the primary ways that these models contribute to the scientific community's attempt to reduce uncertainty in future carbon uptake is through participation in the Coupled Model Intercomparison Project Phase 5 (CMIP5).

Elevated sea temperatures drive impacts such as mass coral bleaching and mortality (very high confidence), with an analysis of the Coupled Model Intercomparison Project Phase 5 (CMIP5) ensemble projecting the loss of coral reefs from most sites globally by 2050 under mid to high rates of ocean warming (very likely).

These Coupled Model Intercomparison Project Phase 3 (CMIP3) simulations were statistically downscaled and used to drive the Variable Infiltration Capacity (VIC) hydrology model over several watersheds.

Eyring, V., S. Bony, G. A. Meehl, C. Senior, B. Stevens, R. J. Stouffer, and K. E. Taylor (2015), Overview of the Coupled Model Intercomparison Project Phase 6 (CMIP6) experimental design and organisation, Geosci.

«The Coupled Model Intercomparison Project Phase 5 (CMIP5) model spread in equilibrium climate sensitivity ranges from 2.1 °C to 4.7 °C and is very similar to the assessment in the AR4.

«The NASA Earth Exchange Global Daily Downscaled Projections (NEX - GDDP) dataset is comprised of downscaled climate scenarios for the globe that are derived from the General Circulation Model (GCM) runs conducted under the Coupled Model Intercomparison Project Phase 5 (CMIP5) and across two of the four greenhouse gas emissions scenarios known as Representative Concentration Pathways (RCPs).

This approach provides a hybrid assessment of the combined influence of anthropogenic climate change [determined from the ensemble - mean of the CESM - LE or from the multi-model Coupled Model Intercomparison Project phase 5 (CMIP5) archive (Taylor et al. 2012)-RSB- and observed NAO variability on climate over the coming decades.

The fact that the Coupled Model Intercomparison Project Phase 5 (CMIP5) ensemble mean accurately represents observed global OHC changes [Cheng et al., 2016] is critical for establishing the reliability of climate models for long - term climate change projections.

Climate scenarios from the Half a degree Additional warming, Projections, Prognosis and Impacts project (HAPPI) are largely consistent with transient scenarios extracted from RCP4.5 simulations of the Coupled Model Intercomparison Project phase 5 (CMIP5).

«Previous research revealed that the observed downward trend in September ice extent exceeded simulated trends from most models participating in the World Climate Research Programme Coupled Model Intercomparison Project Phase 3 (CMIP3).

As Christy's figure here shows, the surface temperature data (NCDC, NASA, and HadCRUT4 shown in triangles, squares, and x's, respectively) fall within the envelope of Coupled Model Intercomparison Project Phase 5 (CMIP5) model runs.

Previous predictions starting from November 1960 are in red, and 22 model simulations from the Coupled Model Intercomparison Project phase 5 (CMIP5) are in green.

The trends and multidecadal variability of our GMSL curve also compare well to the sum of individual contributions obtained from historical outputs of the Coupled Model Intercomparison Project Phase 5.

Precipitation extremes and their potential future changes were predicted using six - member ensembles of general circulation models (GCMs) from the Coupled Model Intercomparison Project Phase 5 (CMIP5).

Natural variability from the ensemble of 587 21 - year - long segments of control simulations (with constant external forcings) from 24 Coupled Model Intercomparison Project phase 3 (CMIP3) climate models is shown in black and gray.

This study utilizes both multi-ensembles of a single model: Community Earth System Model (CESM) and multi-models in the Coupled Model Intercomparison Project phase 5 (CMIP5) archive.

Using the business - as - usual scenario for GHG radiative forcing (RCP8.5) and their novel estimate of Earth's warm - phase climate sensitivity the authors find that the resulting warming during the 21st century overlaps with the upper range of the Coupled Model Intercomparison Project Phase 5 (CMIP5) climate simulations.

Experiments from the Coupled Model Intercomparison Project Phase 5 (ref.

The climate projections show on this map are based on Representative Concentration Pathway 2.6, 4.5, and 8.5 (van Vuuren et al., 2012) experiments run by global climate models participating in the Coupled Model Intercomparison Project Phase 5 (CMIP5) exercise (Taylor et al., 2012).

The researchers looked at a combination of roughly 50 climate models from around the world that are part of the Coupled Model Intercomparison Project Phase 5 (CMIP5), which is part of the World Climate Research Programme.

This time, the scientists were able to quickly analyze the summer of 2013 because the model data sets were publicly available through a program called the Coupled Model Intercomparison Project Phase 5.

In comparison, the Coupled Models Intercomparison Project Phase 5 (CMIP5) ensemble mean accounts for 87 % of the observed global mean temperature variance.

Not exact matches

About a dozen research groups recently launched a new effort called PlioMIP2, or Pliocene Model Intercomparison Project, Phase 2, to model the climate of a time somewhat similar to today in the mid-Pliocene, about 3.205 million yearsModel Intercomparison Project, Phase 2, to model the climate of a time somewhat similar to today in the mid-Pliocene, about 3.205 million yearsmodel the climate of a time somewhat similar to today in the mid-Pliocene, about 3.205 million years ago.

Frei, A., J. Miller, and D. Robinson, 2003: Improved simulations of snow extent in the second phase of the Atmospheric Model Intercomparison Project (AMIP - 2).

Caldeira and Myhrvold analyzed more than 50 climate simulations, which were performed using 20 different climate models for the Climate Model Intercomparison Project, Phase 5 (CMIP5).

Jul 13, 2017: CMIP6, the sixth phase of CMIP (Coupled Model Intercomparison Project) has started.

CMIP6, the sixth phase of CMIP (Coupled Model Intercomparison Project) has started.

Rosenzweig, C., J.W. Jones, J.L. Hatfield, J.M. Antle, A.C. Ruane, and C.Z. Mutter, 2015: The Agricultural Model Intercomparison and Improvement Project: Phase I activities by a global community of science.

In his talk, «Statistical Emulation of Streamflow Projections: Application to CMIP3 and CMIP5 Climate Change Projections,» PCIC Lead of Hydrological Impacts, Markus Schnorbus, explored whether the streamflow projections based on a 23 - member hydrological ensemble are representative of the full range of uncertainty in streamflow projections from all of the models from the third phase of the Coupled Model Intercomparison Project.

Wang & Zhang (2013, http://journals.ametsoc.org/doi/abs/10.1175/JCLI-D-12-00721.1): «Both observations and most of the phase 5 of the Coupled Model Intercomparison Project (CMIP5) models also show that the warm (cold) phase of the AMO is associated with a surface warming (cooling) and a subsurface cooling (warming) in the tropical North Atlantic (TNA).

He also examined if the models from the fifth phase of the Coupled Model Intercomparison Project present a different picture of future streamflow changes.

The GISS climate models presented are those stored in the Coupled Model Intercomparison Project, Phase 5 (CMIP5) archive.

The study uses recently updated surface air temperature datasets assessed by the IPCC, and climate change simulations from models participating in the fifth phase of the Coupled Model Intercomparison Project (CMIP5).

Here seven GVMs are used to investigate possible responses of global natural terrestrial vegetation to a major new set of future climate and atmospheric CO2 projections generated as part of the fifth phase of the Coupled Model Intercomparison Project (CMIP5)(6), the primary climate modeling contribution to the latest Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change assessment.

Alternatively, an automated procedure based on a cluster initialization algorithm is proposed and applied to changes in 27 climate extremes indices between 1986 — 2005 and 2081 — 2100 from a large ensemble of phase 5 of the Coupled Model Intercomparison Project (CMIP5) simulations.

Here we assess the reliability of AW in the 21st century climate projections by 20 climate models from phase 5 of the Coupled Model Intercomparison Project (CMIP5).

Using output from Global Climate Models participating in the Fifth Phase of the Coupled Model Intercomparison Project, PCIC has applied a statistical downscaling method called BCSD to create a set of downscaled climate projections of precipitation, minimum temperature and maximum temperature.

We use simulation output from 20 climate models participating in phase 5 of the Coupled Model Intercomparison Project.

The role played by volcanic - induced cooling in the recent warming hiatus is not accurately described in the latest phase of the Coupled Model Intercomparison Project.