Sentences with phrase «model simulations suggest»

Model simulations suggest the probability of an ice - free Arctic will be 100 % under 2 °C, but 30 % under 1.5 °C, motivating efforts to constrain anthropogenic warming.

«model simulations suggest that there is significant nonlinearity in how the climate system responds to the multiple changes that have occurred»

Analyses of model simulations suggest that for each 1.8 °F increase in tropical sea surface temperatures, rainfall rates will increase by 6 to 18 percent.

Observations and model simulations suggest that even though global warming is set into motion by greenhouse gases that reduce OLR, it is ultimately sustained by the climate feedbacks that enhance ASR.»

For the 21st century, the model simulations suggest that the downward trend in insolation is expected to continue until 2050, primarily forced by the prescribed atmospheric sulfate burden (IPCC SRES A1B).

USGS model simulations suggest that Walker Lake will rise by as much as 15 to 18 feet this year, the most in a single year... Read more

Model simulations suggest it is pretty thick, but I don't really trust the simulations when we are in such a radically new regime.

Initial model simulations suggest that a high - CO2 world with geoengineering is likely to be closer to the pre-industrial world than a high - CO2 world without geoengineering.

Climate model simulations suggest that on average, as the surface temperature and moisture increases the conditions for thunderstorms becomes more frequent.

Data collected by ship and model simulations suggest that increased Pacific Winter Water (PWW), driven by circulation patterns and retreating sea ice in the summer season, is primarily responsible for this OA expansion, according to Di Qi, the paper's lead author and a doctoral student of Liqi Chen, the lead PI in China.

Your point 4: «The early onset of sustained, significant warming in palaeoclimate records and model simulations suggests that greenhouse forcing of industrial - era warming commenced as early as the mid-nineteenth century and included an enhanced equatorial ocean response mechanism.

Ensemble model simulations suggested that the Northwest Passage would open up in this region.

When considered together, the recent results from the growing number of modelling simulations suggest that variations in ion - induced nucleation over both daily and decadal timescales are unable to significantly alter CCN or cloud properties.

A large ensemble of climate model simulations suggests that the frequency of extreme wet - to - dry precipitation events will increase by 25 % to 100 % across California due to anthropogenic forcing.

Not exact matches

Simulations with a three - dimensional global model suggest that the net result of these counteractive processes is a 20 percent overall reduction in total tropospheric O3.

Computer model simulations have suggested that ice - sheet melting through warm water incursions could initiate a collapse of the WAIS within the next few centuries, raising global sea - level by up to 3.5 metres.»

Which suggests the chief application of Batygin's formalism may not be to model a wide range of systems but rather to make models for a narrow range of systems far less computationally expensive than N - body simulations.

This has never been observed in the real world, but researchers have developed working models of event horizons and computer simulations suggest it should happen.

In various talks, interviews and articles, he suggested that a mathematical brain model would deliver such fundamental breakthroughs as simulation - driven drug discovery, the replacement of certain kinds of animal experiments and a better understanding of disorders such as Alzheimer's.

Our general circulation model simulations, which take into account the recently observed widespread occurrence of vertically extended atmospheric brown clouds over the Indian Ocean and Asia3, suggest that atmospheric brown clouds contribute as much as the recent increase in anthropogenic greenhouse gases to regional lower atmospheric warming trends.

Consequently, in the past 20 years his research has evolved from an early focus on prioritizing the effects that humans have on coral reefs and the role that marine protected areas play in conserving biological diversity and ecological processes, to developing theoretical and simulation models of coral reefs that will help predict and suggest alternatives to reduce detrimental effects, to developing practical means to restore degraded reefs through manipulation of the food web and management.

Results of both regional climate model simulations and observational analyses suggest that much of the observed rainfall increase — as well as the decrease in temperature and increase in humidity — is attributable to agricultural intensification in the central United States, with natural variability and GHG emissions playing secondary roles.

Mann suggests that differences between the palaeo record and model simulations are a result of shortcomings in the proxy data, not flaws in climate models, as he explains to Carbon Brief:

More important, the study suggests that simulations of liquid water at room temperature with those models actually describe a supercooled glassy state, not the regular liquid.

It is also suggested that one determine if using flashcards, handheld models / manipulatives for each student, or technology (e.g., Webquests, Internet simulations, games, chat rooms, etc.) will best help students meet the lesson objectives.

The A1B simulation is just the results from (I think) a 3 member ensemble of the ECHAM5 model run as you suggest.

The overflows further north are (i) unlikely to have an influence on the temperatures in the «cold blob», and (ii) are largely independent of the AMOC in the open Atlantic — at least that is suggested by a model simulation of the Max Planck Institute for Meteorology in Hamburg, for which we show a correlation analysis in Fig. 2b in our paper.

Our general circulation model simulations, which take into account the recently observed widespread occurrence of vertically extended atmospheric brown clouds over the Indian Ocean and Asia, suggest that atmospheric brown clouds contribute as much as the recent increase in anthropogenic greenhouse gases to regional lower atmospheric warming trends.

Factorial simulations with multiple global ecosystem models suggest that CO2 fertilization effects explain 70 % of the observed greening trend.

Consistent model biases among the simulations driven by a set of alternative forcings suggest that uncertainty in the forcing plays only a relatively minor role.

This, plus the fact that remarkable close simulations of the time series are obtained with a model consisting of a few nonlinear differential equations suggest the intriguing possibility that there are simple rules governing the complex behavior of global paleoclimate.»

Our simple model's simulations suggest that temperatures will peak then fall slowly under near - zero emissions (figure 1), but this result is acutely sensitive to model structure.

The fact that the CMIP simulations ensemble mean can reproduce the 1970 — 2010 US SW temperature increase without inclusion of the AMO (the AMO is treated as an intrinsic natural climate vari - ability that is averaged out by taking an ensemble mean of individual simulations) suggests that the CMIP5 models» predicted US SW temperature sensitivity to the GHG has been significantly (by about a factor of two) overestimated.

«The fact that the CMIP simulations ensemble mean can reproduce the 1970 — 2010 US SW temperature increase without inclusion of the AMO (the AMO is treated as an intrinsic natural climate variability that is averaged out by taking an ensemble mean of individual simulations) suggests that the CMIP5 models» predicted US SW temperature sensitivity to the GHG has been significantly (by about a factor of two) overestimated.»

Both observations and model simulations implicate changes in the strength of the THC as the primary source of the multi-decadal variability, and suggest a possible oscillatory component to its behaviour (Delworth and Mann, 2000; Latif, 2001; Sutton and Hodson, 2003; Knight et al., 2005).

The interannual variability in the individual simulations that is evident in Figure 9.5 suggests that current models generally simulate large - scale natural internal variability quite well, and also capture the cooling associated with volcanic eruptions on shorter time scales.

But this barrier may be ephemeral: simulations suggest that under some models, climate change may breach it within this century, rapidly melting the ice shelf base [Hellmer et al., 2012] and eventually leading to its collapse.

Point two suggested an alternative between «This needs to be demonstrated either in the context of a more comprehensive scale analysis that includes the Navier Stokes equations» and «numerical model simulations using mesoscale or weather or climate models.»

Results from real - data simulations and forecasts strongly suggested the potential of improving hurricane prediction with a comprehensive three - dimensional model.

However, analysis of the AMOC in the models that submitted simulations in support of the third phase of the Community Model Intercomparison Project1 (CMIP3; Meehl et al., 2007a) suggested that the CMIP3 models were overly stable (Drijfhout et al., 2011; Hofmann and Rahmstorf, 2009), i.e., that an abrupt change in the AMOC was not likely to be simulated in the models even if it were to be likely in reality.

This suggests that any attempt to constrain the models directly according to their LGM simulations seems doomed to failure.

I did see that you're at GISS, you might want to go talk to the Model E guys, actually you should suggest they find someone who knows how to code simulations that are actually validated, that's things a piece of trash:) It's a good thing you guys are government funded, you'd be out of business if you had to make a living by selling it.

The climate model simulations also suggest that Earth's climate was in a «typical» greenhouse state, with temperatures similar to more recent, and better understood, greenhouse intervals in Earth's climate history, like the late Mesozoic and early Cenozoic eras.

In comparing the observed temperature changes to the model simulations, they suggest that the recent surface warming slowdown is due to a large natural flucuation, and / or that some source of bias in climate models is making it difficult for them to simulate it.

I'm referencing the models you suggest as, «Regardless of terminology, the 20th Century historical simulations in CMIP5 will use a much more diverse set of model types than did the similar simulations in CMIP3».

Professor Slingo: Our assessment, based on the latest climate model simulations that have been performed for the Fifth Assessment Report, suggests some time between 2030 and 2080.