Sentences with phrase «modelling uncertainty currently»

Modelling uncertainty currently is such that in some climate models, this amount of freshwater (without any other forcing) would shut down deep water formation, in some it wouldn't.

Not exact matches

For example, models don't currently include permafrost methane emissions — as there's too much uncertainty about them.

«Cloud climate feedback constitutes the most important uncertainty in climate modelling, and currently even its sign is still unknown.

We are currently exploring the impacts that updates in the forcings have on the CMIP5 model runs and exploring the range of uncertainty where we don't have solid information.

Re # 128, CGMs do not currently include the carbon cycle, so your concern is not with the models as they now exist but with the uncertainties of the forcings which are applied to them.

However, there remains uncertainty in the rate of sea ice loss, with the models that most accurately project historical sea ice trends currently suggesting nearly ice - free conditions sometime between 2021 and 2043 (median 2035).12 Uncertainty across all models stems from a combination of large differences in projections among different climate models, natural climate variability, and uncertainty about future rates of fossil fueluncertainty in the rate of sea ice loss, with the models that most accurately project historical sea ice trends currently suggesting nearly ice - free conditions sometime between 2021 and 2043 (median 2035).12 Uncertainty across all models stems from a combination of large differences in projections among different climate models, natural climate variability, and uncertainty about future rates of fossil fuelUncertainty across all models stems from a combination of large differences in projections among different climate models, natural climate variability, and uncertainty about future rates of fossil fueluncertainty about future rates of fossil fuel emissions.

But accepting the climate models as our currently best representation of the climate system, the observations unmistakably point to higher ECS being more likely, and a substantially higher ECS than previously thought as most likely — though the range of possible ECS obtained in this way is still wide, still indicating large uncertainties.

With all due respect, consensus of laymen about an unverified, unvalidated computer model with assumed boundary conditions and parameters, which ignore the sun and clouds and that are currently falsified warrents NO study of the nature you are doing here, and you can not come to some statistical value of uncertainty analizing these phenomena, I don't care how many pages of stats you cite.

Some commentators suggest the uncertainties in our knowledge of carbon cycle and physical feedbacks may mean the Earth will warm faster than models currently estimate.