A modern weather forecasting system consists of several building blocks:
As Peter Moore recounts in The Weather Experiment, the need to avert another such catastrophe impelled the development of
modern weather forecasting, and the telegraph was the cutting - edge technology that made it possible.
No one was more aware of this than Richardson, who is recognised as one of the founders of
modern weather forecasting.
Modern weather forecasting relies on complicated computer models of the atmosphere.
Not exact matches
Apart from ground stations,
weather forecasts are heavily dependent on
weather satellites for information to start or «initialize» the numerical
weather prediction models that are the foundation of
modern weather prediction.
This may be a bit pedantic, but I take issue with the claim «[R] eanalyses are effectively the
weather forecasts you would have got over the years if we had
modern computers and models available».
In fact, a major rationale for doing reanalysis at all was the possibility to create long records of
weather, using
modern analysis /
forecast systems, and without the operational discontinuities.
Thus, a deterministic
weather forecast can not be accurate after a period of a few weeks, and the time interval for skillful
modern forecasts is only somewhat shorter than the estimate for this theoretical limit.
I have used
weather model output extensively for
forecasting weather and air quality and it is amazing how well our
modern weather models can
forecast the
weather for several days compared to what I saw in college days in the early 1970's.
OZ, India, USA etc have experienced very extreme long periods of drought and flooding over the paleoclimate record and at present we are fortunate that we live in a
modern era with better monitoring and
forecasting of
weather, backed up with
modern technology plus the ability (if we have the brains) to quickly use more R&D.
The
weather forecast looks promising for the next 10 days, let's celebrate with a Spring Mantel and
Modern Easter Printable.