UTokyo (Kimura et al.), 4.68, Statistical
Monthly mean ice extent in September will be about 4.68 million km2.
NIPR / UT (Kimura et al.), 4.67, Statistical (Same as July)
The monthly mean ice extent in September will be about 4.67 million km2.
NIPR / UT (Kimura et al.), 4.67, Statistical
The monthly mean ice extent in September will be about 4.67 million km2.
Not exact matches
The
monthly mean of the September sea
ice extent can then only be determined in October.
Kauker et al. (AWI / OASys), 5.58 (+ / - 0.41), Modeling (same as June) We estimate a
monthly mean September sea -
ice extent of 5.67 ± 0.40 million km2 (without assimilation of sea -
ice / ocean observations).
While the changes in both the
mean and higher order statistical moments (e.g., variance) of time - series of climate variables affect the frequency of relatively simple extremes (e.g., extreme high daily or
monthly temperatures, damaging winds), changes in the frequency of more complex extremes are based on changes in the occurrence of complex atmospheric phenomena (e.g., hurricanes, tornadoes,
ice storms).
Since its inception 8 years ago, the NCAR / CU sea
ice pool has easily rivaled much more sophisticated efforts based on statistical methods and physical models to predict the September
monthly mean Arctic sea
ice extent (e.g. see appendix of Stroeve et al. 2014 in GRL doi: 10.1002 / 2014GL059388; Witness the Arctic article by Hamilton et al. 2014 http://www.arcus.org/witness-the-arctic/2014/2/article/21066).
Ice extent (monthly means, April) southern border of 30 % ice concentration, in the Greenland Sea / Fram Strait and Barents Sea, based on passive microwave satellite data (red = April 2011, orange = April 2010, green = April 2009, blue = April 200
Ice extent (
monthly means, April) southern border of 30 %
ice concentration, in the Greenland Sea / Fram Strait and Barents Sea, based on passive microwave satellite data (red = April 2011, orange = April 2010, green = April 2009, blue = April 200
ice concentration, in the Greenland Sea / Fram Strait and Barents Sea, based on passive microwave satellite data (red = April 2011, orange = April 2010, green = April 2009, blue = April 2008).
Kauker et al (Alfred Wegener Institute [AWI], Ocean Atmosphere Systems [OASys]-RRB-, 3.95 (± 0.39), Modeling We estimate a
monthly mean September sea -
ice extent of 3.95 ± 0.39 million km2.
From further ensemble runs with differing initial conditions we conclude that the initial
ice conditions in March can be responsible for a difference of 1 - 2 million km2 in the
monthly mean September sea
ice extent.
Bosse (Citizen Scientist / Public), 4.1 (± 0.43), Statistical (Same as June) Just as in the two years before I calculate the value for the September - minimum of the arctic sea
ice extent of the year n (NSIDC
monthly mean for September) from the Ocean Heat Content (0... 700m depth) northward 65 ° N during JJAS of the year n - 1.
AWI Consortium (Kauker et al.), 4.32 (± 0.30), Modeling (
ice - ocean) We estimate a
monthly mean September sea -
ice extent of 4.32 + - 0.30 million km2.
Starting in 2017 we are accepting both pan-Arctic and pan-Antarctic sea
ice extent (either one or both) of the September
monthly mean.
The wide range of studies conducted with the ISCCP datasets and the changing environment for accessing datasets over the Internet suggested the need for the Web site to provide: 1) a larger variety of information about the project and its data products for a much wider variety of users [e.g., people who may not use a particular ISCCP data product but could use some ancillary information (such as the map grid definition, topography, snow and
ice cover)-RSB-; 2) more information about the main data products in several different forms (e.g., illustrations of the cloud analysis method) and more flexible access to the full documentation; 3) access to more data summaries and diagnostic statistics to illustrate research possibilities for students, for classroom use by educators, or for users with «simple» climatology questions (e.g., annual and seasonal
means); and 4) direct access to the complete data products (e.g., the whole
monthly mean cloud dataset is now available online).
Ice extent (monthly means, June) southern border of 30 % ice concentration, in the Greenland Sea / Fram Strait and Barents Sea, based on passive microwave satellite data (red = June 2012, orange = mean June 1999 - 2008, purple = mean June 1980 - 1999, green = mean June 1979 - 2008)[Gerland et al
Ice extent (
monthly means, June) southern border of 30 %
ice concentration, in the Greenland Sea / Fram Strait and Barents Sea, based on passive microwave satellite data (red = June 2012, orange = mean June 1999 - 2008, purple = mean June 1980 - 1999, green = mean June 1979 - 2008)[Gerland et al
ice concentration, in the Greenland Sea / Fram Strait and Barents Sea, based on passive microwave satellite data (red = June 2012, orange =
mean June 1999 - 2008, purple =
mean June 1980 - 1999, green =
mean June 1979 - 2008)[Gerland et al.].
If other data sources for sea
ice extent are used, the corresponding
mean monthly ice extent values can be adjusted by an offset to roughly correspond to the NSIDC value.
Figure 3: Percentage difference in
monthly mean surface ozone concentrations in March, between the run in which spring and summer sea
ice is removed («extreme scenario») and the run in which no perturbations were applied.
If these sources are used, the corresponding
mean monthly ice extent values can be adjusted by an offset to roughly correspond to the NSIDC value.
In early summer, the first to third week of July, employees make guesses about the minimum daily
ice extent, which is a slightly lower number than the
monthly mean extent targeted by SIO and NCAR.
Ice extent (monthly means, July) southern border of 30 % ice concentration, in the Greenland Sea / Fram Strait and Barents Sea, based on passive microwave satellite data (red = July 2010, orange = July 2009, green = July 2008, blue = July 200
Ice extent (
monthly means, July) southern border of 30 %
ice concentration, in the Greenland Sea / Fram Strait and Barents Sea, based on passive microwave satellite data (red = July 2010, orange = July 2009, green = July 2008, blue = July 200
ice concentration, in the Greenland Sea / Fram Strait and Barents Sea, based on passive microwave satellite data (red = July 2010, orange = July 2009, green = July 2008, blue = July 2007).
Fig. 5:
Ice extent (monthly means, June) southern border of 30 % ice concentration in the Greenland Sea / Fram Strait and Barents Sea, based on passive microwave satellite data (red = June 2011, orange = mean June 1999 - 2008, purple = mean June 1980 - 1999, green = mean June 1979 - 200
Ice extent (
monthly means, June) southern border of 30 %
ice concentration in the Greenland Sea / Fram Strait and Barents Sea, based on passive microwave satellite data (red = June 2011, orange = mean June 1999 - 2008, purple = mean June 1980 - 1999, green = mean June 1979 - 200
ice concentration in the Greenland Sea / Fram Strait and Barents Sea, based on passive microwave satellite data (red = June 2011, orange =
mean June 1999 - 2008, purple =
mean June 1980 - 1999, green =
mean June 1979 - 2008).
Monthly mean sea
ice extent for the month of July from 1979 through 2011 based on the NASA Team sea
ice algorithm.
Figure 2: Percentage difference in
monthly mean surface OH concentrations in August, between the run in which late - summer sea
ice is removed («realistic scenario») and the run in which no perturbations were applied.
Ice extent (monthly means, July) southern border at 30 % ice concentration, in the Greenland Sea / Fram Strait and Barents Sea, based on passive microwave satellite data (red = July 2011, orange = mean July 1999 - 2008, purple = Mean July 1980 - 1999, green = mean July 1979 - 200
Ice extent (
monthly means, July) southern border at 30 %
ice concentration, in the Greenland Sea / Fram Strait and Barents Sea, based on passive microwave satellite data (red = July 2011, orange = mean July 1999 - 2008, purple = Mean July 1980 - 1999, green = mean July 1979 - 200
ice concentration, in the Greenland Sea / Fram Strait and Barents Sea, based on passive microwave satellite data (red = July 2011, orange =
mean July 1999 - 2008, purple =
Mean July 1980 - 1999, green =
mean July 1979 - 2008).