Sentences with phrase «npcc2 sea level rise scenario»

The report, «Global and Regional Sea Level Rise Scenarios for the United States,» provides regional sea - level rise scenarios and tools for coastal preparedness planning and risk management.

The study (1) creates maps of land and transportation infrastructure that, without protection, could be inundated regularly by the ocean or be at risk of periodic inundation due to storm surge under a range of sea level rise scenarios; and, (2) provides statistics to demonstrate the potential extent of land areas and transportation infrastructure affected.

The overall effect from the ancillary coastal changes is to take the damage estimates and number of people affected by a future sea level rise scenario and multiply it by ten.

Because of the uncertainties in projected sea level rise over the remainder of this century, Sasmito and his co-authors use both the low and the high sea level rise scenario from the most recent International Panel on Climate Change (IPCC) report (AR5).

This analysis modeled exposure to coastal flooding for four different points in time (2012, 2050, 2070, and 2100) and two different sea level rise scenarios.

Each base's exposure is calculated based on the National Climate Assessment's midrange or «intermediate - high» sea level rise scenario (referred to in this analysis as «intermediate»), which projects a global average increase of 3.7 feet above 2012 levels, by 2100; and a «highest» scenario based on a more rapid rate of increase, which projects a global average increase of 6.3 feet.

The station's exposure to coastal flooding is projected for the years 2050, 2070, and 2100 based on the National Climate Assessment's midrange or «intermediate - high» sea level rise scenario (referred to here as «intermediate») and a «highest» scenario based on a more rapid rate of increase.

I have no doubt that the Navy has done extensive vulnerability assessment for various sea level rise scenarios.

The shipyard's exposure to coastal flooding is projected for the years 2050, 2070, and 2100 based on the National Climate Assessment's midrange or «intermediate - high» sea level rise scenario (referred to here as «intermediate») and a «highest» scenario based on a more rapid rate of increase.

And here is how New York City's busiest airport, John F. Kennedy International, would fare under a 10 - foot sea level rise scenario:

Scientists who reviewed the article found that while it accurately described recent research on these processes, it should have provided more accurate context on the timescale of these sea level rise scenarios and the scientific uncertainty about how likely these scenarios are to come to pass.

The Report considered 6 sea level rise scenarios from 0.3 m to 2.5 m by 2100.

A recent NOAA Technical Report has developed sea level rise scenarios for the United States.

«A semi-empirical approach to projecting future sea - level rise» «Testing the robustness of semi-empirical sea level projections» «Kinematic constraints on glacier contributions to 21st - century sea - level rise» «Contribution of Antarctica to past and future sea level rise» «Global sea level rise scenarios for the United States National Climate Assessment» «Reconstructing sea level from paleo and projected temperatures 200 to 2100AD» «Global sea level linked to global temperature» «Upper limit for sea level projections by 2100»

The final result has confused users and scientists alike and confounded the application of AR4 sea level rise scenarios to subsequent assessments of risk to coastal zones around the world for years.

While that 55 inches may sound exaggerated, it's less than half of what scientists project could happen in an extreme sea level rise scenario.

The bases» exposure to coastal flooding is projected for the years 2050, 2070, and 2100 based on the National Climate Assessment's midrange or «intermediate - high» sea level rise scenario (referred to here as «intermediate») and a «highest» scenario based on a more rapid rate of increase.

Future sea level rise scenarios ignore all contributions from natural climate variability, and rely on climate models that are apparently running too hot that are anchored by unrealistic emissions scenarios

Parris, A., P. Bromirski, V. Burkett, D. Cayan, M. Culver, J. Hall, R. Horton, K. Knuuti, R. Moss, J. Obeysekera, A. Sallenger, and J. Weiss, 2012: Global Sea Level Rise Scenarios for the United States National Climate Assessment.

Global Sea Level Rise Scenarios for the United States National Climate Assessment.

Prior research into the effects of sea level rise had not quantified the number of people who would lose services in various sea level rise scenarios, Hummel said.

But the results can lay the groundwork to devise more accurate projections of sea level rise scenarios due to melting ice from Greenland and other ice sheets, Stibal said.

Download complete lists of affected communities (Excel) Lists of affected communities by state Lists of affected communities by year and sea level rise scenario

Explore interactive maps of affected US coastal communities for all time frames and sea level rise scenarios included in the analysis.

Even the US government National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration's 2012 US National Assessment Report had a higher estimate of 2 meters as its «worst - case sea level rise scenario for 2100,» Masters says.

Future 100 - year flood zones for New York City based on the high - estimate 90th percentile NPCC2 sea level rise scenario.

Not exact matches

Research group Climate Central has created a plug - in for Google Earth that illustrates how catastrophic an «extreme» sea - level rise scenario would be if the flooding happened now, based on projections in a 2017 report from the National Oceanic and Atmospheric Agency (NOAA).

Various models running different scenarios predict sea - level rise as little as 18 centimeters (seven inches) or as much as 59 centimeters (23 inches).

In the 2 - meter, sea - level rise scenario, 91 percent of Midway's Eastern Island is projected to be inundated, compared to 19 percent in the passive model.

Dr Svetlana Jevrejeva from the NOC, who is the lead author on this paper, said «Coastal cities and vulnerable tropical coastal ecosystems will have very little time to adapt to the fast sea level rise these predictions show, in scenarios with global warming above two degree.

Silver Award: Alex Kuffner The Providence Journal «Rising seas, rising stakes» Nov. 20, 2016 «Losing ground» March 19, 2017 «On the brink» July 9, 2017 Judges praised Alex Kuffner for his comprehensive look at the risks facing Rhode Island communities from either a once - in - a-century hurricane or a sea level rise of seven feet by the end of the century, as projected in a worst - case scenario by researchers at the National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration (Rising seas, rising stakes» Nov. 20, 2016 «Losing ground» March 19, 2017 «On the brink» July 9, 2017 Judges praised Alex Kuffner for his comprehensive look at the risks facing Rhode Island communities from either a once - in - a-century hurricane or a sea level rise of seven feet by the end of the century, as projected in a worst - case scenario by researchers at the National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration (rising stakes» Nov. 20, 2016 «Losing ground» March 19, 2017 «On the brink» July 9, 2017 Judges praised Alex Kuffner for his comprehensive look at the risks facing Rhode Island communities from either a once - in - a-century hurricane or a sea level rise of seven feet by the end of the century, as projected in a worst - case scenario by researchers at the National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration (NOAA).

The analysis, which used land elevation and tidal data, found that 460 acres, or about a sixth of Hallandale Beach, would be below sea level during high tide under a 3 - foot scenario of rise, according to Nancy Gassman, a natural resources administrator for Broward County's Natural Resources Planning and Management Division who worked on the assessment.

«Regional sea - level scenarios: Helping US Northeast plan for faster - than - global rise: Global sea level could rise by as much as 8 feet by 2100 in a worst - case scenario.»

«When we modeled future shoreline change with the increased rates of sea level rise (SLR) projected under the IPCC's «business as usual» scenario, we found that increased SLR causes an average 16 - 20 feet of additional shoreline retreat by 2050, and an average of nearly 60 feet of additional retreat by 2100,» said Tiffany Anderson, lead author and post-doctoral researcher at the UH Mānoa School of Ocean and Earth Science and Technology.

Moreover, in a worst - case scenario, global sea level could rise by about 8 feet by 2100.

The report provides a range of possible scenarios, from at least 1 foot of global sea - level rise by 2100 to a worst - case rise that's 1.6 feet higher than a scenario in a key 2012 study that the report updates.

Rising sea levels and human activities are fast creating a «worst case scenario» for Native Americans of the Mississippi Delta who stand to lose not just their homes, but their irreplaceable heritage, to climate change.

With less than 14 inches of sea - level rise, most of the 90 U.S. coastal cities studied outside of Alaska would see a 25-fold increase in disruptive and damaging flooding by around 2080, 2060, 2040 or 2030 under the low, intermediate - low, intermediate and intermediate - high scenarios, respectively.

«It's a powerful conclusion that these two different scenarios give rates of sea level rise that aren't that different from one another,» Cloern said.

Given that we now have several years more data, we can essentially «test» the IPCC predictions and we arrive at the conclusion (i.e., message 1) that the climate system is tracking the «worst case scenario» (or worse in the case of ice melt and sea - level rise) presented by the IPCC.

Looking at sea level rise, water would rise 37 inches in the moderate warming scenario and 48 inches in the faster model.

The international team of co-authors, led by Peter Clark of Oregon State University, generated new scenarios for temperature rise, glacial melting, sea - level rise and coastal flooding based on state - of - the - art climate and ice sheet models.

Florida would see the largest increase of people exposed to hazards by 2100 under one sea - level rise scenario highlighted by the researchers.

In addition to documenting the amount of defensive ecosystems in the U.S., the researchers fed data about property values, population, income and age into a model that tested four sea - level rise scenarios.

This is distinctly alarmist... It is common ground that if indeed Greenland melted, it would release this amount of water, but only after, and over, millennia, so that the Armageddon scenario he predicts, insofar as it suggests that sea level rises of 7 metres might occur in the immediate future, is not in line with the scientific consensus.

Including the elevation effects in the model increases the estimated sea - level rise by a small but significant amount (5 % enhancement of melt by 2100 and 10 % by 2200 for a climate warming scenario).

Consequences of global sea level rise could be even scarier than the worst - case scenarios predicted by the dominant climate models

For the Netherlands, the best estimate of sea level rise is 0.83 meters, but the calculations show that there is a 26 % chance that it will exceed the existing high - end scenario of 1.05 meters and a sea level rise of up to 1.80 meters can not be excluded.

Sea levels under such a scenario rise at least nine inches - likely more — by century's end.

«Hybrid» solution with small barriers affordable now Assuming a «middle climate change» scenario of about a foot of sea - level rise by midcentury, the team further assessed the cost - effectiveness of each flood - control strategy by measuring whether its benefits, or avoided risk, would outweigh the investment costs.