«Gross misrepresentation of the findings» of
New Hockey Stick Paper — Claimed Hottest temps in 4000 years!
Not exact matches
The high level of confidence ascribed to the
hockey stick inferences in the IPCC TAR, based upon two very recent
papers (MBH) that, while provocative and innovative, used
new methods and found results that were counter to the prevailing views.
And, just as the original Mann et al «
hockey stick» was followed by additional work leading to the «spaghetti diagram» of the IPCC in 2007 showing numerous similar reconstructions, with a robust common signal, we can expect that this
new paper will for now serve as the standard, but will stimulate additional studies that motivate even stronger conclusions.
Just within the last 5 months, 58 more
papers and 80
new graphs have been published that continue to undermine the popularized conception of a slowly cooling Earth temperature history followed by a dramatic
hockey -
stick - shaped uptick, or an especially unusual global - scale warming during modern times.
Mr. Watts, while you are presenting this
new study by Melvin et al. as something that provides results which allegedly refute Mann's
hockey stick you do not tell your audience here that the temperature reconstruction shown in the graph, explicitly mentioned by you here, in the Melvin et al
paper is done only for a region of Northern Scandinavia, unlike the temperature reconstruction in Mann et al., (1999), doi: 10.1029 / 1999GL900070, which was a reconstruction of the Northern Hemispheric temperature.
Everytime an author publishes something different from what the IPCC published in their last report — from Solomon et al. on stratospheric water vapor trends to all the
new hockey sticks post the so - called «iconic» Mann hockeystick, each of which is somewhat different, to all the GWP - replacement metrics proposed by Fuglesvedt et al., to practically any
paper published in the scientific literature or any talk given at AGU... scientists don't make their name by publishing
papers that say, «yup, we're just saying exactly what the IPCC said.
4 See, for example, «35 scientific
papers: Global sea levels were 1 - 2 meters higher than now for most of the last 7,000 years» (6 February, 2017); «17
new (2017) scientific
papers affirm today's warming was not global, unprecedented, or remarkable» (26 January, 2017); «The
hockey stick collapse: 60
new (2016) scientific
papers affirm today's warming isn't global, unprecedented, or remarkable» (22 December, 2016).
Two
new research
papers, appearing this month in the journal Geophysical Research Letters, find that while there is a statistical snafu in the
hockey -
stick math, it may not strongly affect the graph's accuracy.
The big selling point of Mann's
new paper was that you could get a
hockey stick shape without tree rings.
Professor Michael Mann, of Penn State University in the US, who led research that produced the famous «
hockey stick» graph showing how humans were dramatically increasing the Earth's temperature, told The Independent the
new paper appeared «sound and the conclusions quite defensible».