Sentences with phrase «new climate model projections»

New climate model projections of the world's coral reefs reveal which reefs will be hit first by annual coral bleaching, an event that poses the gravest threat to one of the Earth's most important ecosystems.

New climate model projections of the world's coral reefs reveal which reefs will be hit first by annual coral bleaching, an event that poses the gravest threat to one of the Earth's most important ecosystems.

Not exact matches

The new study builds on this earlier research, extending the projections globally using a variety of climate models and taking into account future population growth.

Richard Betts, head of climate impacts at the Hadley Centre of the U.K.'s Met office presented to reporters in Copenhagen today a new analysis of modeling data showing how conserving tropical forests is going to be crucial if the world is to make a target of 2 ˚C, even under the most conservative projections of how much carbon the forests contain.

The researchers explain that these new findings can help constrain model climate projections over the Arctic region.

«The new work improves our understanding of history, allowing better model tests and allowing better assessment of how the ice responded to climate changes in the past,» Alley said, «and this will help in making better and more - reliable projections for the future.»

Several media outlets are reporting that new research shows climate model projections of rainfall extremes may be «flawed» or «wrong».

We used new satellite records of fire incidence to create fire models which we then drove with a broad range of future climate model scenarios to get a sense of where the climate projections agreed on the sign of the change in fire frequency and where they did not.

And, the IPCC projection is probably too high because it was driven by a collection of climate models which new science indicates produce too much warming given a rise in atmospheric carbon dioxide levels.

Different models with equivalent current projections may project very different future ranges based on how those models interpolate new climate combinations not represented in the current climate data [58].

Their work encompasses a range of problems and time scales: from five - day model predictions of hurricane track and intensity, to understanding the causes of changes in extremes over the past century, to building new climate prediction models for seamless predictions out to the next several years, to earth system model projections of human - caused changes in various extremes (heat waves, hurricanes, droughts, etc.) over the coming century.

A new study published in Geophysical Research Letters has organized a Model Intercomparison Project (AMOCMIP) in order to realistically consider Greenland Ice Sheet melting in state - of - the - science global climate model projectModel Intercomparison Project (AMOCMIP) in order to realistically consider Greenland Ice Sheet melting in state - of - the - science global climate model projectmodel projections.

To establish credibility for climate model projections, past projections must be presented along with new projections.

Despite all the ludicrous adjustment machinations this newest NOAA revision relies on, the per century global warming trend fabricated (for the 1998 to 2012 period) remains well below even the IPCC's average climate model projections.

Here seven GVMs are used to investigate possible responses of global natural terrestrial vegetation to a major new set of future climate and atmospheric CO2 projections generated as part of the fifth phase of the Coupled Model Intercomparison Project (CMIP5)(6), the primary climate modeling contribution to the latest Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change asseclimate and atmospheric CO2 projections generated as part of the fifth phase of the Coupled Model Intercomparison Project (CMIP5)(6), the primary climate modeling contribution to the latest Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change asseclimate modeling contribution to the latest Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change asseClimate Change assessment.

Downscaling has been carried out for Canada by the Pacic Climate Impacts Consortium for the newest Global Climate Model (GCM) and Regional Climate Model (RCM) projections.

Robustness and uncertainties in the new CMIP5 climate model projections by Reto Knutti and Jan Sedlácek

And beyond the post-facto model evaluation, it will be interesting to see whether new climate models will take advantage of emergent constraints to improve their simulation of present - day climate and to reduce uncertainties in future projections.

pdf) Ruosteenoja, K., T.R. Carter, K. Jylhä and H. Tuomenvirta, 2003: Future climate in world regions: an intercomparison of model - based projections for the new IPCC emissions scenarios.

Future climate in world regions: an intercomparison of model - based projections for the new IPCC emissions scenarios

In that report by Christopher Booker, headlined «Top scientists start to examine fiddled global warming figures,» he points out that a new team of five scientists has begun investigating the increasing evidence that the data being used for climate - change projections by computer models has been intentionally distorted by analysts wedded to the global warming hypothesis.

With the new climate modelling experiments (CMIP5) that exploit updated greenhouse gas forcing scenarios at our disposal, we will maintain and improve our ability to provide relevant future projections.

An important objective of PRIMAVERA is to produce new, more robust and trustworthy projections of European climate for the next few decades, based on improved global models and advances in climate process understanding.

There is a new critique of IPCC climate projections doing the rounds of the blogosphere from two «scientific forecasters», Kesten Green and Scott Armstrong, who claim that since the IPCC projections are not «scientific forecasts» they must perforce be wrong and that a naive model of no change in future is likely to be more accurate that any IPCC conclusion.

Rosenzweig et al. (2005) found that climate change based on downscaled general circulation model (GCM) projections would exacerbate the New York City UHI by increasing baseline temperatures and reducing local wind speeds.