Sentences with phrase «normal voting intention»

Polls like this can only either be hypothetical, so we'll never know what will really happen until Blair is replaced, but what would give us the best idea is a normal voting intention question prompting with party leader names, and then another voting intention question but with Gordon Brown as the Labour leader (and then possibly, just to put the cat among the pigeons, some with Alan Johnson, John Reid, Hilary Benn, etc, etc...)

Using a split sample they asked three questions — one was a normal voting intention question.

Voting intention with Johnson was CON 42 %, LAB 25 %, LDEM 22 % — a 17 point Tory lead, compared to 13 points in the normal voting intention question in the same Populus poll.

The Labour lead would be 7 points under David Davis, but only 3 points under David Cameron (bear in mind that these figures are not adjusted for turnout, so aren't comparable to MORI's normal voting intention figures).

In a normal voting intention question in Con - v - LD seats the Lib Dems are in third place on 18 %, asked using the constituency specific wording they are on 31 %.

The reason for the difference is most likely tactical considerations — people answer Labour to a normal voting intention question because that's the party they really support, but know that they happen to live in a seat where Labour could never win, so actually vote Liberal Democrat.

The first is that normal voting intention questions do not include prompting by the party leaders names, so realistically you should only compare the results of a question asking «how would you vote with Milliband in charge» with one saying «how would you vote with Brown in charge».

In our normal voting intention surveys, we list the main parties that secured significant support, regionally or nationally, at the last general election, adding the option «some other party».

Not exact matches

The ICM poll for the Guardian also included a voting intention question with Brown as Labour leader, which showed the now normal pattern of the Conservatives doing better against Labour with Brown instead of Blair.

Hence in addition to the normal reports on new polls, I'm also going to re-introduce something I used to do back in 2004 — a monthly round up of voting intention polls.

Topline voting intention is CON 32 %, LAB 44 %, LDEM 8 %, UKIP 8 % (so towards the higher end of the normal variation around a ten point lead).