To determine whether this may be due to internal variability, they filter out the ENSO (El Nino Southern Oscillation) and COWL (Cold
Oceans Warm Land) signals.
Not exact matches
Rising temperatures will
warm the
oceans and accelerate melting of
land ice, affecting sea - levels along the California coast.
Co-author Hayley Hung, a scientist with Environment Canada's Air Quality Division who studies toxic organic pollutants in the Arctic, said that in recent years, researchers had posited that
warmer conditions would liberate POPs stored in
land, ice and
ocean reservoirs back into the atmosphere.
The simulations also suggest that the removal of excess carbon dioxide from the atmosphere by natural processes on
land and in the
ocean will become less efficient as the planet
warms.
He said: «The
warmer, wetter winters predicted for the future will result in more phosphorus transferred from agricultural
land into the rivers and ultimately the
oceans.
Map of current
land and ice separating the Weddell and Ross seas, courtesy of Wikimedia Commons / Wutsje / CIA Octopuses have made themselves at home in most of the world's
oceans — from the
warmest of tropical seas to the deep, dark reaches around hydrothermal vents.
About 90 percent of global
warming is ending up not on
land, but in the
oceans.
Terrestrial ecosystems have encountered substantial
warming over the past century, with temperatures increasing about twice as rapidly over
land as over the
oceans.
The
land probably began to
warm up again after a few years, but the marine fossils indicate that the
ocean depths stayed cold for another two millennia.
One idea, for example, was that the formation of the Isthmus of Panama, the narrow strip of
land linking North and South America, could have altered
ocean circulations during the Pliocene, forcing
warmer waters toward the Arctic.
That means studying changes in the Pliocene atmosphere, the
land surface and most of all the
oceans, which absorb the bulk of planetary
warming.
As the
oceans continue to
warm, so will the
land around them.)
Pollution of the
ocean by runoff from the
land and the fouling of the air with carbon dioxide (which is
warming the
ocean and acidifying it) are accelerating and expanding the threats to the world's coastal waters.
Local pressures, in particular overfishing, destructive fishing, and pollution from nearby
land - based human activity, are paramount, but global
warming has caused increased bleaching and
ocean acidification, which makes it harder for corals to grow, compounding the problems, the World Resources Institute (WRI) and 24 other organizations concluded in «Reefs at Risk Revisited,» an update of a 1998 report.
This is one way that
warming oceans could be helping to shift Greenland's ice off the
land and out to sea.
Sea levels have been rising worldwide over the past century by between 10 and 20 centimetres, as a result of melting
land - ice and the thermal expansion of the
oceans due to a planetary
warming of around 0.5 degreeC.
The list is long and familiar: too much carbon dioxide
warming the atmosphere and acidifying the
ocean; too much
land being cleared, leading to deforestation and desertification; overfishing causing crashes in one stock after another; and habitat destruction reducing biodiversity so drastically that some consider a sixth mass extinction to be under way.
«There is evidence for global
warming on a number of levels, and the planet has been
warming, the
oceans have been taking up heat, sea levels have been rising,
land snow has been melting, glaciers are melting, and all these other things, so the reality of global
warming is uncontroversial.»
Understanding how carbon flows between
land, air and water is key to predicting how much greenhouse gas emissions the earth, atmosphere and
ocean can tolerate over a given time period to keep global
warming and climate change at thresholds considered tolerable.
This study also offers a slice of pterosaur life history that is out of reach of fossil evidence, suggesting that the reptiles lived within easy access of
warm thermal wind currents near open spaces of
land or near the
ocean.
Because the vast plateau at such altitudes absorbs a huge amount of solar radiation, the atmospheric layer above it in summer is much
warmer than air at similar elevations over lower
land or the
oceans.
Launching on four legs, the pterosaur would have flapped its wings till it caught these small pockets of
warm air rising from
ocean or hot
land, and then coasted easily on these for several hours.
Low - lying coastal regions like Chile's are subject to advection fog, where
warm ocean air crosses a band of cold water before reaching
land.
What scientists discovered in 2014 is that since the turn of the century,
oceans have been absorbing more of global
warming's heat and energy than would normally be expected, helping to slow rates of
warming on
land.
Studies of past climate changes suggest the
land and
oceans start releasing more CO2 than they absorb as the planet
warms.
June — August 2014, at 0.71 °C (1.28 °F) higher than the 20th century average, was the
warmest such period across global
land and
ocean surfaces since record keeping began in 1880, edging out the previous record set in 1998.
June 2013 tied with 2006 as the fifth
warmest June across global
land and
ocean surfaces, at 0.64 °C (1.15 °F) above the 20th century average of 15.5 °C (59.9 °F).
According to the
Land &
Ocean Temperature Percentile map above, a region of coastal west Africa, part of Greece, northwestern Iran, much of the southern Philippines, and central and south central Australia were record
warm for the period.
I expect the rate of
warming to proceed at a steady pace, about one and a half degrees over
land in the next 50 years, less if the
oceans are included.
With ENSO - neutral conditions present during the first half of 2013, the January — June global temperature across
land and
ocean surfaces tied with 2003 as the seventh
warmest such period, at 0.59 °C (1.06 °F) above the 20th century average.
This is the seventh consecutive season in which the globe (
land and
ocean) was record
warm, starting with summer (Jun - Aug) 2014.
However, for the globe as a whole, surface air temperatures over
land have risen at about double the
ocean rate after 1979 (more than 0.27 °C per decade vs. 0.13 °C per decade), with the greatest
warming during winter (December to February) and spring (March to May) in the Northern Hemisphere.
They are seen in
warming of the
oceans, the
land surface, and the lower atmosphere.
The observed fact that temperatures increases slower over the
oceans than over
land demonstrates that the large heat capacity of the
ocean tries to hold back the
warming of the air over the
ocean and produces a delay at the surface but nevertheless the atmosphere responds quit rapidly to increasing greenhouse gases.
Warming oceans and melting
land ice have caused
oceans to rise about seven inches since 1900, which has also led to more frequent coastal flooding.
When all the heat accumulating in the
oceans,
warming the
land and atmosphere and melting ice is tallied up, we see that global
warming is still happening.
The observed patterns of
warming, including greater
warming over
land than over the
ocean, and their changes over time, are only simulated by models that include anthropogenic forcing.
Note the more spatially uniform
warming in the satellite tropospheric record while the surface temperature changes more clearly relate to
land and
ocean.
Warming, particularly since the 1970s, has generally been greater over
land than over the
oceans.
Paul S also noted that much of the NH / SH ratio comes from the greater
land /
ocean warming ratio in the NH than is generally modelled, which is another mystery.
Warming has occurred in both
land and
ocean domains, and in both sea surface temperature (SST) and nighttime marine air temperature over the
oceans.
Is it possible for climate effects to outpace
ocean &
land warming rates?
The former is likely to overestimate the true global SAT trend (since the
oceans do not
warm as fast as the
land), while the latter may underestimate the true trend, since the SAT over the
ocean is predicted to rise at a slightly higher rate than the SST.
«The reason for the layering is that global
warming in parts of Antarctica is causing
land - based ice to melt, adding massive amounts of freshwater to the
ocean surface,» said ARC Centre of Excellence for Climate System Science researcher Prof Matthew England an author of the paper.
How does a more acid
ocean interact with things like
warmer seas, or human encroachment such as overfishing or
land - based run - off?
With the contribution of such record warmth at year's end and with 10 months of the year record
warm for their respective months, including the last 8 (January was second
warmest for January and April was third
warmest), the average global temperature across
land and
ocean surface areas for 2015 was 0.90 °C (1.62 °F) above the 20th century average of 13.9 °C (57.0 °F), beating the previous record warmth of 2014 by 0.16 °C (0.29 °F).
The former is likely to overestimate the true global surface air temperature trend (since the
oceans do not
warm as fast as the
land), while the latter may underestimate the true trend, since the air temperature over the
ocean is predicted to rise at a slightly higher rate than the
ocean temperature.
By combining the
ocean heating rates, TOA observations (figure 4) and other energy storage terms (
land, atmosphere
warming and ice melt), the authors calculated Earth's energy imbalance from January 2001 - December 2010 to be 0.5 (± 0.43) W / m2.
Nearly all of Eurasia, Africa, and the remainder of South America were much
warmer than average, or within the top 10 percent of their historical records for their regions, according to the
Land &
Ocean Temperature Percentiles map above.
[SLIDE 17] And so not surprisingly sea level is rising as a result not only of the loss of mountain glaciers and the great
land ice sheets — losses from the great
land ice sheets; but also thermal expansion of sea water because the
ocean is getting
warmer.