Sentences with phrase «opinion pollster»

«He's getting more numbers right now than two city - wide office holders and someone who just lost narrowly for mayor,» said Marist Institute for Public Opinion pollster Lee Miringoff.

Britain's most respected opinion pollster has warned Labour its chances of winning a majority at the next election verge on the «improbable» and that blaming its defeat on a shift away from Blairism is «wholly inadequate».

In his Opinion Pollster column Stephan Shakespeare notes a 27 % swing in favour of EU membership in just eight weeks - simply because pro-EU voices have joined the argument.

He said it was «comical» that the director of strategy in Number 10 was also an opinion pollster (Andrew Cooper).

If this is the case, then opinion pollsters still have a lot of work to do.

If opinion pollsters are still sore from their election - night embarrassment, they can be consoled by the thought that economists fared even worse.

It wasn't long before people were telling the opinion pollsters that the chirpy, pipe - smoking Harold Wilson was making the prime minister Harold Macmillan look like an Edwardian fuddy - duddy.

These are busy times for opinion pollsters: elections are always the ultimate test of their ability to read the tea - leaves and - for good or ill - the pollsters love putting themselves to the test.

It's easy to blame the opinion pollsters for this, but this was a failure of journalism as much as a failure of opinion polling.

Compare that with the opinion pollsters and try to reconcile the discrepancy.

The second of two Democratic mayoral primary debates is set for Wednesday, but leading public opinion pollsters have yet to study the full Democratic primary field or take stock of the competition between Mayor Bill de Blasio and his lone debate opponent, challenger Sal Albanese.

If Ipsos Mori want to become opinion formers rather opinion pollsters, they'll need to be rather more persuasive than that.

This «research» only reveals the public opinion pollsters» low opinion of the public.

Not exact matches

That holds true whether pollsters are trying to approximate voter opinion in Rhode Island (about 1 million residents) or the entire US (nearly 320 million residents).

Pollsters say that at this point in a government's mandate, public opinion has often begun to turn against an incumbent prime minister.

An era when less than 10 percent of voters respond to pollsters, and where mass opinion changes rapidly, will be one where Election Day is again a day of drama.

Thus Brexit and Trump ran counter to both established opinion and the predictions of pollsters.

The analysts and pollsters might have their opinions on likely outcomes but plenty of questions remain unanswered.

Voters are already hesitant to share with pollsters opinions they may believe are unpopular, so it is hard to imagine many freely admitting that their decisions are driven by the pleasure they get when they see others suffer.

Developing from work he did for the Conservative Party in his Deputy Chairman role, since 2010 [46] Lord Ashcroft has been a major independent public pollster of British political opinion.

BEN EPHSON»S OPINION POLL ON WEIJA - GBAWE I read with utter dismay Pollster Ben Ephson's assertion that I'll lose the Weija - Gbawe parliamentary race come December 7, 2016.

At least as surprising is Nigel's apparent view that pollsters are trying to do anything other than reflect public opinion as accurately as they can.

«Three quarters of the voters in this state don't know enough about Rob Astorino to have an opinion of him,» Siena College pollster Steven Greenberg told WCBS 880's Paul Murnane.

Some admittedly are quite sophisticated, allowing for pollster (aka house) effects, but they are nonetheless estimates of current public opinion and not future votes.

Astorino's biggest problem remains the fact that he is unknown to most New Yorkers outside of his home base — a whopping 74 percent said they don't know enough about him to form an opinion, which Q pollster Mickey Carroll called «a big plus for Cuomo.»

The pollsters get opinions from everyone that picks up the phone, but determining which of those people will actually show up to vote is the challenge.

Indeed, 2011, Ghana's own pollster, Ben Ephson, confirmed a wikileaks cable that Akufo - Addo's nephew, Gabby Otchere - Darko, came to offer him a bribe of $ 20,000 so he would publish opinion polls in favour of Akufo - Addo ahead of the 2008 elections.

Ken Polkalsky from the Business Council speaks about the fracking ban, while Siena Pollster Steve Greenberg shares poll results about public opinion on the drilling process.

Republican pollster Bill McInturff of Public Opinion Strategies put it bluntly: «Lots of them are simply lousy polls; they don't accurately reflect younger voters, African - Americans and Latinos.

Top GOP pollster Glen Bolger of Public Opinion Strategies wrote in even harsher terms last week: «The Midwest is going to be a killing field for Democrats this year from western [Pennsylvania] through to the Plains, Republicans are going to sweep a LOT of Democrats right out of office.»

«Either way lawmakers go, they risk offending a major group that they need to win re-election,» said pollster Lee M. Miringoff of the Marist College Institute for Public Opinion.

And, how do pollsters get at the «grey area» of public opinion?

At the moment the Conservatives are ahead in the opinion polls — amongst some of the pollsters it is their first lead since the fuel strikes.

When a pollster asks their opinions about a race, low - participation voters might migrate to the candidate they've actually heard of, which would favor Clinton over Sanders.

The campaign claimed momentum, though polls still show nearly 90 percent of Democratic voters still don't know enough about Teachout to form an opinion, and the pollsters hadn't even bothered to ask about Wu.

I don't put much faith in opinion polls, pollsters always claim to have solved past apparent flaws, but they haven't said exactly how they now how reluctant a particular parties supporters may be to support that party, how exactly they quantify it, indeed a lot of the assumptions opinion polls make seem to be based on opinion themselves.

Those pollsters who do seek a more thorough understanding of public attitudes find a marked lack of knowledge of the basic facts and even an acknowledgment of that ignorance — resulting in uncertain and highly malleable opinions.

This channel features political and public opinion topics from independent pollster Scott Rasmussen.

The pollster shows them / reads them a brief description, and then asks their opinion on the spot, with presumably seconds to digest the description, no further information, no background and no context.

As any researcher can immediately note, such surveys have little usefulness as objective evidence, because they are based on subjective opinions that can change based on who is working in classrooms, because survey designs can be flawed with leading questions yielding results favorable to the pollster, and because survey designs can change drastically from year to year.

I've seen a lot of surveys over the past thirty - five years and I've conducted many public opinion surveys but I've never seen a pollster or client change the wording — after the fact — in order to report that survey reveals some piece of information when, in fact, it does not.

ALL in the debate need to act as «scientists» (and engineers, and statisticians, and physicists, and computer programmers, and political administrators)... and NOT as «pollsters» or «opinion counters.»

It's easy for people to get confused about immense inertia of public opinion on climate change because advocacy pollsters are constantly «messaging» an «upsurge,» «shift,» «swing» etc. in public perceptions of climate change.

Now, it's important to keep in mind that, despite what most pollsters might tell you, the public has very few firm, informed opinions on public policy.