The ozone losses predicted in the study are much larger than losses estimated in previous «nuclear winter» and «ultraviolet spring» scenario calculations following nuclear conflicts -LSB-...] A 1985 National Research Council Report predicted a global nuclear exchange involving thousands of megatons of explosions, rather than the 1.5 megatons assumed in the PNAS study, would deplete only 17 percent of the Northern Hemisphere's stratospheric ozone, which would recover by half in three years.
Not exact matches
«Accordingly, it is impossible to
predict the potential severity of
ozone losses in a future climate.»
Although this year's
ozone loss has been unprecedented, it was not unexpected - scientists had
predicted that such cold conditions in the stratosphere would lead to increased
ozone loss.
They found that average daily
ozone loss was around 50 % more than
predicted by a state - of - the - art chemistry model that excludes halogen chemistry.
«The big surprise is that this study demonstrates that a small - scale, regional nuclear conflict is capable of triggering
ozone losses even larger than
losses that were
predicted following a full - scale nuclear war.»